🏈 How Many Survivor Entries Did the Cowboys Just Kill?
Yesterday, we asked who in the world was betting on the 0-4 Buccaneers.
Turns out, they had the right idea.
Tampa Bay didn't just cover the spread Thursday night. The Bucs upset the Cowboys 24-16 to open NFL Week 5. The game went Under 49.
VSiN.com senior editor Zach Cohen had pointed to possible sharp money on Tampa Bay at Circa, where 92% of the spread handle was on the Bucs when we checked Wednesday night. Circa's line closed at Tampa Bay +9.5.
And Zach wasn't the only one who saw trouble coming.
Chris “Wilbo” Wilberding was warning about Dallas on Thursday's Follow The Money with Mitch Moss and guest Derek Stevens.
Wilbo is Circa's director of operations, making his perspective particularly interesting given the betting action we highlighted yesterday.
>> Watch Wilbo Predict the Cowboys' Downfall
FYI: Wilbo went with Cincinnati in VSiN's internal Survivor contest.
But how many Circa Survivor contestants did go with Dallas?
There were 5,972 entries still alive entering Week 5, plus just 24 remaining in the $100,000-entry Circa Grandissimo.
PoolGenius estimated that 35% of Survivor entries would pick Dallas. If that projection holds, we're talking about roughly 2,100 entries potentially eliminated before Sunday's games even begin.
We won't know the actual damage until Saturday at 9 p.m. ET, when Derek and Jeff Benson reveal the selections on The Football Contest Show.
“This game will go down in Circa Survivor lore,” wrote Tony Farmer, a regular contributor to the show with Matt Brown.
>> See PoolGenius' Projected Survivor Selections
And if you're still alive in your Survivor pool, Adam Burke has a Week 5 recommendation that doesn't involve Dallas.
>> Adam's Week 5 Survivor Pick
A couple of acknowledgments: Congratulations to Zach and everyone who backed Tampa Bay. And well done to VSiN Community member Ryan Barrett, who correctly called George Pickens' anytime touchdown at +120.
As for our resident Cowboys loyalist Dave Ross? I'm guessing VSiN By The Books will be appointment listening this morning (7–10 a.m. ET).
>> NFL Week 5 Betting Hub: Expert Picks and Analysis
🏈 Five College Football Games Tonight
A robust five-game Friday night menu is on tap, with Adam Burke focusing on Florida State at Louisville.
>> Adam's Best Bets for Friday's Five-Game Card
Steve Makinen has picks for tonight's Wyoming–San Jose State and Washington State–Utah State matchups.
>> Steve's Week 6 CFB Best Bets
Looking ahead to Saturday? Dave Tuley has his Week 6 takes, including the underdogs he's considering.
>> Tuley's Week 6 College Football Takes
>> VSiN's CFB Week 6 Betting Hub
🏆 25 Handicappers. Their Week 5 Picks. Tonight.
Matt Youmans unveils the Week 5 selections from all 25 handicappers in the Circa Friday Football Invitational tonight from 7–10 p.m. ET on VSiN.
Joining Matt on Friday's show: Steve Fezzik, Jeff Jarvis, Chris Macero and Clyde Walker.
>> Follow the Circa Friday Football Invitational
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EdgeBoost is offering a $2,000 bonus with a deposit of at least $100 for finishing first in the Week 5 Average Joe standings.
⚾ The Rays May Be the Biggest Winners of Game 5
The Guardians scored just two runs in their first two ALDS games at home. Then they went to Chicago and scored 18 runs in two games to force a winner-take-all Game 5 on Saturday.
But the biggest beneficiary might be Tampa Bay.
Adam Burke sees a pitching problem for whoever survives.
Cleveland manager Stephen Vogt needed Gavin Williams in relief to finish Game 4, potentially complicating his availability for Game 5. Chicago's bullpen is stretched thin, too, with Hagen Smith and Grant Taylor looking exhausted.
And the winner gets a Rays team that makes plenty of contact and has a strong pitching staff.
Adam's betting angle: He likes the Rays at -175 to win the ALCS at DraftKings, as of Thursday night. His expectation is that the price will be higher once the Guardians–White Sox series is decided.
Meanwhile, the National League matchup is set: Dodgers vs. Brewers, beginning Sunday.
>> Adam's Dodgers–Brewers NLCS Preview and Best Bets
🏈 Why the Owner of Wunderdog Sports Turned Down Six Figures
When I told Hewlett-Packard I was leaving, they offered me six figures to stay. I said no, and I've been making sports picks for a living since 2001. Every one of the more than 89,000 picks I've released is still on my site, losses included. VSiN readers get a $50 credit toward my Pro Picks with just an email address.
🏈 Strike Point Sports Is on a Football Run
Strike Point Sports is on a 74-51, +$6,690 overall football run and is 37-23 (63%), +$6,350 on football plays rated 5.0+.
“Mr. Saturday” has posted winning results in four of five college football weeks and three of four NFL weeks. See the documented results.
>> Get a Free Trial at Doc's Sports
📖 DonBest Football Rotation Guide
The updated second-half College and Pro Rotation Guide is available for $4.99. Already purchased? Download the updated version.
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