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Apr 7, 2026
A Numbers Game | April 7, 2026 | Hour 3
A Numbers Game | April 7, 2026 | Hour 3
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46:08
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Transcript
0:00
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0:59
[electronic music] The numbers tell the story. They always do. You're one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a Numbers Game with Gil Alexander on VSiN.
1:08
Hour number three of a Numbers Game at VSiN, esports betting network, vsin.com, Gain+, iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, SiriusXM channel 158. Any which way you take us in, we appreciate it. We really do.
1:19
Gil Alexander, Kelly Bidlin. I think I can speak on behalf of Kelly when I say that. Yes? Yes. Yeah. Kelly's like, "What did you say?" Yeah, take it or leave it. [laughs] Take... Kelly says take it or leave it.
1:29
[laughs] We appreciate it. Uh, this hour, Chris Fallica will join us. That can't be right. That's right. Back, back in action. Back. Firing away. Back from an intergalactic journey.
1:40
He was everywhere, he and the wife, all over, all over the, the globe, and the galaxy. It was amazing. And he's, uh, now he's back firing. Like, as soon as he landed, he was firing on stuff.
1:51
College football, NFL Draft, the Masters, the Derby. Who knows what else. We'll get to that with Chris, uh, coming up on the show. Uh, do I have any tweets that I didn't read?
2:01
I'm excited to start firing away on draft bets. Oh. I wi- I wish I had more in mind, but. I'm starting, I'm starting to get there. Uh, let's see here. Colin Murphy, "Is Further Adu related to US soccer phenom Freddy Adu?
2:12
If so, I am fading the heck out of him." [laughs] When's Freddy Adu gonna happen? When's that happening? Yeah, it's c- it's coming. American soccer, he's leading the way.
2:20
Buddhist man- I think Christian Pulisic's just taken that over, right? [laughs] I mean, I guess he's a better international player, but, uh, Captain America ain't doing much. Buddhist man going after, uh, Drew.
2:30
"Settle down there, former minor league swimmer Drew Denzik, with your little league slander against college basketball."
2:35
[laughs] Trip Tepper, "I had two future tickets on Arizona and a no bet on Duke or Michigan to win the title, so I'm listening to a Numbers Game while driving to the blood bank to sell my plasma." Oh, that's never good.
2:46
Sorry about that, Trip. Arizona was a complete dud on Saturday. Yeah, really was. Yeah. Yeah, remember that was supposed to be the, uh, the, the battle of the... That was supposed to be the NCAA championship on Saturday.
2:58
Remember that? Uh, ladies and gentlemen, the NFL Draft is but two weeks and two days away. That cannot be. From Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
3:06
Todd was already saying how they were already cleaning the streets, cordoning off the streets for the draft there in Pittsburgh. Uh, we have some props out here. This is courtesy of DraftKings.
3:15
NFL Draft player to be drafted in the top five, and it proceeds to list a bunch of, uh, guys at, uh, prices, some of which are going to be obviously, uh, prohibitive.
3:27
For instance, Arval Reece mocked often to go second, but as Drew just said, eh, he's fading that. Yeah. But to go top five, it's at minus 1,400. I don't know anybody who's laying that.
3:39
David Bailey of Texas Tech, the linebacker's minus 245 to go top five. Sonny Stiles and Jeremiah Love are also minus money to go in the top five. And then you get to the plus money prices. So the latest mock draft...
3:55
So remember last time we talked NFL Draft, I talked about Mel Kiper's last draft, Field Yates's last one, and Daniel Jeremiah's last one. Mm-hmm. Pete Prisco from CBS Sports is the most recent guy to put out a mock.
4:05
He did that a couple days ago. So I've added him as a fourth. So in these plus money prices to go top five, we'll just do it through the prism of those four most recent mocks.
4:15
Yeah, and I've got Peter Schrager actually just put one out this morning. Oh, he did. Yeah, I've got it in front of me right now too. Oh. Oh, okay. Well, the four that I tracked,
4:24
one of the four, [clears throat] pardon me, has Francis Maigoa going top five. Francis Maigoa, the offensive lineman from the U. Yeah. He's at, he's at plus 175. Schrager's got him fifth in his mock this morning. Whoa.
4:37
So make that two of- For the Giants, yeah... so make that two of five, and he's priced at plus 175. Reuben Bane Jr. is priced at plus 240 to go top five.
4:47
One of the four I track have him going top five as well, namely Prisco, who has Reuben Bane going third to Arizona.
4:55
I, I think what, real quick, I think what's, like, kind of the most fascinating part to me at this point, like, in the draft process is are, are we sure, like, that we know who the first wide receiver, offensive lineman, and even p- even pass rusher is?
5:11
No, no, and no. And there's a lot of good ones. Yeah. And, and it's, Reece has been the, I feel like the one that we've seen the most consistently at number two, but Schrager doesn't have him there.
5:21
Schrager has him at three. We know the first quarterback and we know the first running back. That's all we know. I don't think we know anything- Safety and tight end... and we know tight end. Yeah. We know tight end. Um,
5:32
first safety is who? Downs. You sure about that? Yeah? Okay. I think so. Downs, Downs is a little bit of a... Might have a little injury issue. Uh, okay. So by the way, Caleb Downs, plus 285 to go top five.
5:48
One of the four that I tracked also has him going top five. That would be... Oh, that was Kiper who had him going fifth to the Giants. Well, yeah, and we've seen him, I mean, early on we saw him real early.
6:01
But like, I, I think the one, if you pull up random mocks, you could see him top five. Yeah. You could see him 20th. He's all over the place. He's all o- yeah, he's all over. How about to be drafted top 10?
6:11
You know, real quick. Yeah. This, look, this is, we, we talk about it with draft betting all the time. You and I love betting the draft. Love betting.
6:18
Do not pretend to sit here and know anything about talent evaluation- No... nor do I watch that much college football through the year. These are, these are not assessments of future success.
6:27
So while I can mock, eh, mock the mocks. While I [laughs] while I can laugh at the idea of taking a running back in the top five, especially after what we just saw with the Raiders and Ashton Jeanty,
6:38
it, I mean, it is, it... Have you seen Jeremiah Love outside of the top five- Nope... from anybody recently? Uh, he, uh, saw him seventh, as low as seventh to Washington. Okay. I- But that's it...
6:47
and I don't know that I feel like playing the game of picking f- whether it's four or five. I think I would lay -145 here on Jeremiah Love right now.
6:54
I, I will say it again, though, Washington doesn't think Jeremiah Love is gonna last to Washington. Yeah.
6:59
I just can't believe, man, I was listening to this conversation yesterday, I think it was, about him to the Titans, and that's where Shrager has him slotted right now, and I just [laughs] can't believe it, I'm like, but you're hearing these NFL experts talk about, "Okay, he's so good you can't pass up on him," but it's, "Well, they have some holes in the offensive line, though.
7:14
It could be an issue." Yeah. And just, like, I don't, I, the, I can't. The running back conversation, like, it doesn't matter if he's great, if he has nowhere to go and the team's not going anywhere.
7:25
I am told the offensive line matters. I'll still, I'll still bet it, though. I'll still bet it. You'll still bet it. I don't understand it- Yeah... but I'll still bet it. Absolutely.
7:32
But most have him going to the Titans at four. Some have him going to the Giants at five. Then still a few others have him going to Washington at seven, if all of that remains, you know, un- with no trades. Mm-hmm.
7:44
Uh, how about player to be drafted top 10? So you're gonna have a bunch of these that are gonna have massive numbers. Reese is -20,000. Here you see Bailey, Styles, Love. These are top 10 now.
7:54
Carnell Tate is huge minus money. Mansoor Delan, uh, is, is massive minus money, so is Maui Goa, so is Reuben D- Bain Jr., Caleb Downs. Now we're starting to get lower here, but at -225. Plus money on these,
8:11
hmm, let's start with, let's start with the Spencer Fano and, and move down from there. Yeah. This t- I m- I mean, he's the one, him, he's the single one that I've seen that at plus money has been mocked.
8:24
Of, of the four that I tracked, he's top 10 in one of them. Monroe Freeling at +160 has actually been mocked in two of the four, top 10.
8:34
So that, to me, in terms of just, in terms of the ones that I've looked at, Monroe Freeling to go top 10 at +160 might be the best call.
8:41
The other one that, that, you know, I asked that about wide receivers, 'cause I feel like Carnell Tate is the, is the one I've seen as the first wide receiver the most. But, like, Mekhi Lemon's not.
8:51
Like, I, I've seen him in the top 10 a couple times. I don't know if I've seen him top 10. But again, it's how much do you buy, how much do you buy into mocks? Right. Whose mock do you buy into?
9:02
Uh, you know, I think Daniel Jeremiah considered the best of the bunch. As you go further down this list, Jordan Tyson was w- was in the top 10 in one of the four that I tracked. Mm-hmm. He's +210.
9:12
That's what, you got all three of those wide receivers. Yeah. I, I have, I, I have seen Tate go first the most, but-
9:20
The interesting thing about Kenyon Sadique, who is the, who's absolutely gonna be the first tight end picked, everybody believes that. I haven't seen one mock with him in the top 10, though, which is why he's +650.
9:32
Yeah, me neither. And Ty Simpson, who now most people think is going to get drafted in the first round, I think that's kind of getting to be the consensus, but nobody has him in the top 10, so he's +750 to go top 10.
9:45
Same thing with, uh, Dylan Thieneman over at, from Oregon. Everybody has him going top, uh, excuse me, first round, but nobody has him top 10. 14 to 1. Yeah, I'm interested to see what Felique has to say on, uh- Yep...
9:58
on Simpson especially, 'cause I, and that, the one I keep hearing is the, is the report fr- from a reporter talking to a team.
10:06
The team says, "We don't have a first-round grade on, on Ty Simpson, but we think someone's gonna take him in the first round." But it's like, I keep hearing that over and over again.
10:15
These are now to be drafted in the first round. So we did top five. We did top 10. Now this is just to be drafted in the first round. And again, I just mentioned that about Thieneman, who's -4,000.
10:28
Then you see Omar Cooper Jr. from Indiana, K- uh, Keldric Faulk, Blake Miller from Clemson. All these guys are, are huge to go in the first round, huge price. Of the plus money guys or of the short minuses,
10:44
so a bunch of these are Prisco, this latest draft. I think he has Cassius Howell at -150 would go first round. Um- Wow... Max Hiniatchor at -140, Malachi Lawrence at even money, Zion Young +120, and Caleb Banks +140.
11:02
He has those guys going first round.
11:04
I don't know that that would induce a bet for me, but just to let you know, some of these plus players, plus priced players first round, are being mocked to go first round, at least with Pete Prisco over at CBS.
11:16
How about, how about this one from Shrager? He's got Jadarian Price, the r- second running back from Notre Dame, going 32nd, uh, to the Seahawks. Yeah. Well, I saw that Jadarian Price.
11:25
Remember, that was, that came up earlier. Yeah, it did. It wasn't just, it wasn't just him. Jadia- No, we've, yeah, we've brought it up once or twice already...
11:31
Jadarian Price went 32nd somebody's mock earlier, and that would come down to also the running back prop of one and a half. Right, yeah. Jeremiah Love is absolutely one. Will, will his teammate- It's crazy...
11:45
be the second pick, and will it be in the first round? 'Cause that's, that's the big thing with running back and quarterback. They're all set at one and a half. We know about Mendoza and Love. Do we know about Ty Simpson
11:56
and Price? 113 carries a season ago. Yeah.
12:01
So, uh, it's interesting, and we're, again, right, I feel like, you know, were this three, four years ago, we would've been so much more immersed in draft stuff, but it hasn't been as profitable the last few years.
12:12
It just hasn't been. Yeah. Um, it used to be an ATM machine We were so far ahead of the curve on the draft, it was unbelievable. Had- We'd have years of eight and one, 12 and one. It was incredible.
12:22
But the last few years, not so much. It, it's been one or two good hits every year the past couple years it feels like. I, I... Right. What's his name? What's his name?
12:29
[laughs] Ted McMillan, top 10 was big for me last year. I remember that. Daryl Stingley going third saved me three years ago. That ended up... Joe Alt saved me last year, going to the Chargers at five.
12:40
So there's been that more than just a boom- Mm-hmm... throughout. Chris Fallica joins us to talk about multiple sports and all his bets.
12:48
Back in the States, it's the Numbers Game right here at VSiN, the sports betting network. You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real.
12:56
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13:06
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13:14
[upbeat rock music] A Numbers Game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
13:29
Masters this week, then of course the NFL Draft, the Derby. Then of course the NBA and NHL playoffs are almost here as well. Final seats are still being decided. Every game matters and so does every bet.
13:40
VSiN Pro gives you daily best bets, real-time betting splits from DraftKings to Circa, AI-powered prop tools and matchup analysis, plus 24/7 video and show replays. Get ahead of the playoffs now.
13:49
Start today for just $9.99 for your first 30 days, or save 50% with an annual subscription. Visit vsin.com/subscribe. That's V-S-I-N.com/subscribe. Uh, ladies and gentlemen, you may know him as The Bear.
14:02
He works at Fox Sports. Uh, he was just on a, uh, global tr- it's f- felt global. It was really in the Western hemisphere. Let's not exaggerate.
14:10
Uh, but he's been around and he's seen a lot of things, and well, we'll just ask him what his favorite part was. But he's back now firing on all kinds of sports.
14:18
It's Chris Fallica, everybody, courtesy of the Progressive Guest Line. How you doing, Chris? Good to have you back. I, I, I'm well. I, I kind of missed almost the entire NCAA tournament.
14:27
I left the, the Wednesday of the play-in game and came home, uh, yesterday morning, so I was home for the title game. But pretty, uh, pretty amazing trip. Uh, Rio was an awesome place.
14:40
Uh, Puerto Madryn in Argentina was a, was a great place, beautiful scenery. Uh, Iguazu Falls w- was, uh, incredible. Uh, we, we caught a couple of really rough days at sea.
14:51
People on our, our boat, our ship were just saying how, uh, what we had caught between Falklands and the back of the coast of South America was worse than what they encountered anything ever, uh, in the Drake Passage.
15:03
So we m- we lost a couple of days because, uh, there were gale force- Oh, wow... 65, 70 mile an hour winds that did not allow the, the Zodiacs to, to come ashore at the Falkland Island.
15:14
So missed out on some sightseeing stuff, but other... It, it was a- Wow. It was an awesome trip, and, uh, good to disconnect and kind of refresh here as we, uh, we get back into Masters week. All right.
15:24
And as soon as you touched ground, you were firing on all kinds of things.
15:28
[laughs] Before, before we get into some of those things, Drew was just on, our buddy Drew Dincic, who you know very well, was just on talking Derby, and he was talking about a jockey decision.
15:36
You're saying that decision has been made? Yeah. R- R- Yeah. Ar- Arrad Ortiz Jr. is gonna ride, gonna go to ride and run again. He, he'll ride for, uh, Todd Pletcher and Mike Repole. That, that's out there.
15:47
Johnny Velazquez, who's won the Derby a couple of times as well, he's going to ride, uh, Further Ado. So, uh, it... W- We'll see where, uh, Flebian Pratt decides to go and, uh, and, and Luis Saez.
15:58
But, but, but the two d- big dominoes there with Further Ado and Renegade kind of have fallen. So I think that does solidify Renegade's position as the favorite in the race.
16:09
Um, I think what Drew was talking about with Chief Wallaby is going to be very, uh, interesting because he feels like the Bill Mott type of perfect horse, like really prepping to kind of peak the first Saturday in May.
16:22
Uh, obviously won it last year with Sovereignty, got put up with Country House a few years ago. I, I, I think Chief Wallaby is gonna be a horse that you look at kind of like the point...
16:30
You remember in the Champions League like last year, uh, PSG finished like 17th or 16th- Mm-hmm...
16:35
and had to go through qualifying, and they were low in the tables, so their price really wasn't reflective as to how they were.
16:40
Uh, I think Chief Wallaby might be a little bit forgotten about because he's like 19th on the point standings right now, but he's got a huge shot on, uh, on Derby day. Uh, okay. And your money will be on or is on?
16:53
Um, well, I, I, I hate saying the is because the is, the price is no longer available, but- Okay...
17:00
um, I, I have a Renegade future at 15 to 1, and he's gonna be the favorite, so at least I don't have to worry about betting him. Uh, I, I'm probably gonna have to see the way the field looks. But
17:11
will, will there be enough speed on the front end? Will it be a, uh, a slow pace? Will it be a, a lone speed type of scenario like we got with Medina Spirit, uh, a few years back?
17:20
We'll have to see how it goes, but I can certainly see myself using Chief Wallaby, uh, very, very liberally in all three spots in the tri. Okay. All right. And Steve Fezzik, do not penalize.
17:30
No, no, no fine for Chris Fallica. I asked the question, he already has the ticket. You did. That's what I found. My fault. Okay. Sorry.
17:37
The reason we have you- That's why I said I, I hate the is because I, I hate giving out stuff that's no longer available. Yeah. No, I understand. Okay. So, uh, let's get to the Masters.
17:45
We have you on early in the week so we can get you on before the Masters. The 90th Masters begins, which by the way, now we're at 90. I think I remember half of these now, which makes you feel [laughs]...
17:56
Which makes you feel very old. [laughs] Um, where did you land and how many outrights are you going with? Uh, I, I don't have, uh, any outrights right now- Okay... even though I, I see Scottie, Scottie a plus 550.
18:10
Uh, that, that seems like a number where that could be three to one or lower than that after the first round if he plays well.
18:18
Uh, what I did play, um, in terms of, uh, certain out- markets that are available, like, like, Kelly was alluding to this earlier in the show when I texted him.
18:29
I, I said, "Why shouldn't I be unloading on Zach Johnson to be top senior at minus 102 available, uh, at DK?"
18:40
You look at the group that he's in, you're looking at Angel Cabrera, Fred Couples, Mike Weir, Jose Maria Olazabal.
18:49
Like, I- these guys, well, Vijay Singh, like, each of those other players besides Zach are minus 400 or longer to miss the cut. Uh, Zach Johnson finished in the top 10, I believe, last year.
19:02
He's got a, a couple of made cuts on the PGA Tour this year. Uh, he's done very well in the Seniors Tour. I, I, I could see him being the only one that makes the cut here, and I, uh, I, I thought that was a great bet.
19:16
Uh, I played Xander Schauffele, uh, at FanDuel plus 105, uh, to finish in the top 10, including ties. Uh, outside of his first go-round at Augusta, the only time he has not finished, um,
19:32
i- in, in the top, or I should say, uh, he's finished top 10 a bunch. I was, uh, fast-forwarding to another event. But yeah, uh, plus 105, top 10, including ties, uh, I think is a really good bet.
19:41
I think it's the last three years, uh, he's been in the top 10 since missing the cut. Uh, really good form.
19:46
And then the other bet that I was kind of leading myself into, again, I know people can have their opinions on parlays, um, but th- this one, I, I think something has to go very, very wrong to lose.
19:59
It's a two-legged parlay. It's available at DraftKings. Uh, you can parlay Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele to finish in the top 20, including ties, and that comes out to 110.
20:12
Uh, Scottie has never not finished in the top 20 at Augusta.
20:16
Xander, as I was saying, the only time, uh, he has not finished in the top 20, outside of the first time he played the event, was the year he missed the cut when he was hurt with a bad back.
20:26
Uh, something's gotta go wrong to see either one of those guys not finish in the top 20. So I thought that was a g- a good bet at minus 110 for both to finish in the top 20.
20:35
Cam Smith, uh, to miss the cut at plus 196 at FanDuel. I just don't know if he cares anymore. Uh, he missed the cut in every major last year. He's missed the cut in five straight majors.
20:50
Um, his form isn't necessarily great. I, I... Nearly two to one on a, on a guy to miss the cut th- there.
20:57
Look, usually the, you're, you gotta try hard if you're a class player to miss the cut there, just because the, the field is so small.
21:05
But, but I think Cam Smith is a guy who I'm, uh, if I can get pl- uh, nearly t- two to one on him to miss the cut, I'll, uh, I'll take my chances there. And then two matchups I played.
21:14
I played Tyrrell Hatton, uh, plus 110 against Shane Lowry. Uh, that's at FanDuel. Uh, Hatton early in his career did not play the Masters very well.
21:24
Uh, but three of the last four years, he's finished in the top 20, uh, top 10 last year, top 15 the year before that.
21:30
Uh, Shane Lowry is a guy who does not have a ton of great finishes at, uh, Augusta National, and his form since really giving that, uh, golf tournament away, I think it was the Arnold Palmer a few weeks back, uh, has not been great.
21:43
So, uh, Tyrrell Hatton plus 110 against Shane Lowry. And then, uh, Patrick Reed, uh, minus 138 against Brooks Koepka at FanDuel.
21:51
I heard one of your other guests talk, I, I couldn't remember which one it was, talking about Patrick Reed not really wanting a whole bunch. Uh, Brooks Koepka on his card.
21:59
Patrick Reed's form at Augusta has been, uh, fantastic, and then Brooks is kind of two men without kind of a tour right now.
22:06
But Reed has been fantastic, and I, and I'm in agreement looking to, uh, kind of fade Brooks Koepka here. Wow, very thorough. Okay, so I have two follow-up questions. One, and I'll bring Kelly in for this. Yes.
22:16
What was the, what was the golfer that, who was the golfer that Chris brought up? We were like, "Oh my God, I haven't even thought about that guy." Z- Zach Johnson. Zach Johnson, right? Top senior. Yeah.
22:23
[laughs] I, I think I'll be joining, uh, Chris on this one. Yeah.
22:25
[laughs] It is not one that I had really thought about, but, uh, as I, uh, as I texted Chris, I, I, you know, I, we, we, I, I let everybody down on our Champions Tour coverage here, uh, every single week.
22:35
But yeah, it's, uh- Unbelievable. Inexcusable. I know, I know. It's just, uh, it's just a failure on my part. But, uh, quality finishes so far.
22:42
Top five in everything that he's done, Champions Tour, and I, yeah, I, I'm with you, Chris. I don't think there's much to get excited about with those other seniors. I like that.
22:49
So I will, uh, I think I'll be joining you there. And yeah, I haven't bet it yet either, but I'm gonna be with you on Xander top 10. Zach Johnson, top senior, or as Matt Brown calls it, top old. Top old. Top old. Yeah.
23:00
Um, and- Yeah, top past old champion. Yes. [laughs] I mean, I mean, look, if, if Angel Cabrera just happens to make the cut and beat me two years at a prison in Argentina or Venice, wherever it was- [laughs]... fine.
23:12
So don't be. I'll, I'll take my chances. All while smoking a cigarette on the course.
23:16
All right, and then the last thing, 'cause I always love the last thing on the Masters preview, because I always love asking this question of folks, and I haven't asked it on the show today of anyone, but I'll ask it of you, which is, who's the golfer that wins this that creates the most self-loathing in you, that you're like, "I thought about betting him, but I never got around to betting him"?
23:33
Uh, I'd say probably Cam Young, 'cause I haven't bet him, and I haven't gotten any of the good numbers, and now he feels like he's one of those real trendy guys.
23:47
I hate hopping on those guys at worse numbers than were available. So I'd say Cam Young is probably that guy. Okay. Uh, Chris, hang out. College football. Okay. Your bread and butter.
23:57
We'll talk, uh, some bets that you've made, and the NFL Draft just over two weeks away. Got some thoughts on that- Perfect... as we ramp it up. Chris Fallica, The Bear.
24:06
You can follow him on Twitter at chrisfallica, F-A-L-L-I-C-A. Coming back on The Numbers Game at Beastin, the sports betting network. [upbeat music]VSiN, the sports betting network Once again, breaking news.
24:24
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25:09
Just go to splashsports.com/vsin and use promo code VSIN. We do have the tiers now. Maybe tomorrow on the show we can, uh, dive into that. Yeah, great contest. Get involved.
25:20
Gil and I will, uh, go through, uh, who we would pick in each tier tomorrow. That is correct. Boy, this, uh...
25:25
By the way, the whole time we've been doing this show I've been, uh, compartmentalizing the tennis match we have bets on here. You mentioned it like the first break. How is this match still going on?
25:33
This is a th- this is a three-set up, so Donna Vekic. We are- we're on Katie Volynets. I got her at minus 106 for subscribers last night. It was minus 132 this moment, this morning, which is too, too high to play.
25:44
CL- what, what could go wrong with CLV, right? So Vekic comes out, she wins the first set. Katie, our girl, she comes back, she wins the second set. Then Vekic goes up a break in the third. Volynets breaks back.
25:56
Vekic goes up a break again, leads 5-2, and now Ve- and now our girl Katie has broken back. It is on serve in the third. We are down 4-5. We are still serving now to stay in the match, but we are on serve. Okay.
26:13
On serve in women's tennis, not quite as powerful as on serve in men's tennis, so we're still- You're like minus 500 to lose in a tiebreaker. Oh, there's no question. [laughs] There's no question about it.
26:23
It's what happens to us. Uh- We've seen it too many times. Chris Fallica joins us once again from Fox Sports. You may know him as The Bear. We just know him as Chris. How you doing, Chris? What's happening?
26:34
I'm, I'm, uh, okay, Kelly's like minus 500 to lose in a tiebreak. Yeah. Shoot, I was gonna say you're like minus like three-fifty to get broken on, uh, broken on and lose the match on a serve.
26:43
[laughs] And that would be Vekic, I think. It's no question. Uh, but hey, being, being I was gone and haven't had a chance to, to wind you up in a while- Oh, here we go...
26:53
uh, I, I think I speak for both Ben Wilson and myself. Actually, I, I'm joking, but I'm kind of a... I would love there to be some type of market, some type of bet.
27:02
What, what would the price be if I could bet Iga Swiatek to have a, to be ranked higher than Iga Swiatek at the end of the year?
27:12
Iga currently ranked fourth and falling amidst all coaching changes and mental issues- [laughs]... and struggling- Mental issues... results.
27:21
That's really true And the up-and-comer, the 18-year-old Eva Lys was ranked 16th. I wonder what kind of price I could get on Iga Swiatek to be ranked, uh, ahead of Swiatek at the end of the year.
27:30
I don't know, Chris, but just because of that, I'm gonna send you a barrage of videos today of Rafa Nadal coaching up Iga Swiatek on clay just to prove my point that I don't like the question. [laughs] How about that?
27:41
How about that? Rafa Nad- I, I wonder if that's, I mean, the French Open could be, you know, a little bit more wide op- more, little more wide open than usual, uh, just because of everything that's going on right now.
27:51
Yeah. She didn't win it last year, and now- I don't know, man... could be interesting. I don't know, man. I, uh, I- Just like four...
27:56
if I, if you see these- Okay, I'm, I'm- If you see these videos- I'm, I'm, I'm- 'Cause I, I think this is the smart thing that Iga did. I think Iga was like, "You know what? Let me not act like I'm anybody."
28:05
I am basically the female Rafa, right? Rafa won 22 Slams, 14 on clay, eight on hard and grass. Iga has won six, four on clay, two on hard courts and g- and grass.
28:18
And I think she is leaning into this now finally, where she's like, "You know what? This is what I'm gonna do. This is my idol. This is the guy that I'm like. Watch this." And so let's see. Let's see what happens.
28:29
So no bet, uh- That's right. That, that... If that, that's a decision sh- that's a very wise, a very- Yep... good way of g- going about doing it. It's very smart.
28:38
You, you're really taking, uh, a lot more pressure off yourself at every single Slam outside of Roland Garros. Yeah. Iga- Well- Iga and Sabalenka both plus 240 to win the French over at DraftKings right now. Give me Iga.
28:51
Iga Swiatek, 50 to 1. [laughs] Just, just saying. Just saying. Oh, she's not gonna win. Just saying. She's not going to win on clay. 50 to 1. She's not gonna win. Who was that now? He said by the end of the year, though.
28:58
That's interesting. Okay. Um, once Iga wins her seventh Slam in the, at Roland Garros, this won't be a discussion anymore. All right- [laughs]... let's go to college football, where you made bets already.
29:07
You landed on the, you were on the tarmac in New York and you made bets. What do you have? I did. I got accused of being, uh, having an utter lack of focus, uh, taking a vacation during the, the hoops tournaments.
29:18
I just wanted to show everybody that I had immediate focus upon landing at JFK yesterday.
29:24
Uh, I can't bet them in Connecticut, so immediately when I landed, uh, got in the car and bet a couple of college football win totals over at FanDuel.
29:32
Uh, I bet, sorry Kelly, I bet Florida State under six and a half wins. Great.
29:38
Uh, early reports out of spring camp, uh, the quarterback play has not been great, and getting Ashton Daniels as your quarter, I, I don't know what you kind of expected with that.
29:48
Uh, I think, uh, Sperry is the other kid that they have, and he's kinda... Like I, I, I think Florida State has problems. You lose Gus Malzahn. I think there's a really good chance they don't win a road game this year.
30:00
Your road games are Alabama, Louisville, Miami, uh, and then BC and Pitt.
30:07
Like, uh, uh, you could be three and, or three and six or whatever, three and five by the time you get to BC, and you might, the season might be over.
30:17
So, uh, in addition to that, you got the home games against SMU, Virginia, Clemson, Florida. Like I- I don't see it this year, my man.
30:26
Um, I got under six and a half on Florida State, and I am under four and a half on Colorado. I, I go through Colorado's schedule and I think this is the l- uh, only team that legitimately could win two games.
30:38
Like, you got the game against Weber State, who, who you should win, but, but outside of that, uh, your, your road games are Georgia Tech, Northwestern, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Arizona State, and Cincinnati.
30:50
You, you, you, you may go oh-for-there. Texas Tech, Utah, Kansas State, Houston are the best teams in the Big 12. They're all at home. And then you get UCF at the end of the year.
30:59
Like, five wins I think is gonna be nearly impossible. I... Look, they lost a ton of coaches. They lost, uh, Jordan Seaton, probably their best, uh, definitely their best offensive lineman in the portal.
31:11
Other players have left. Um, look, they had two generational players at the college level in Scheider Sanders and Travis Hunter for Sh- uh, for Deion's first two seasons there. Last year they weren't very good.
31:23
I can't see them being any better this year. I, the, the, these pr- these are priced at, like, minus 140 or so. Uh, look, I don't wanna say I don't care about the, the laying a, a number like that.
31:35
It's more about the actual win total, uh, than it is the price for me. But I look at that schedule, I don't know how Colorado is getting to five.
31:44
So, uh, I, I feel really, really good about both of these win totals, but this Colorado one, like, if you could find an alt total, like, under three and a half at a better number, I'd even feel great about doing that.
31:55
Under FSU, under Colorado. What did you lay on volleys to get broken to lose the match? What did you lay on that? Uh, I, I laid 350 on that. It cashed. It cashed. Yeah. Of course it did. Of course it did.
32:08
Of course it did. It's incredible. It's incredible. CLV store. Yeah, man. Worth nothing. Uh, okay. To the NFL- I, I, I got, I got a nice CLV trophy here for you though. Yeah, thanks so much. Appreciate it.
32:18
I got so ma- Unbelievable... you see all those Emmys behind the, behind your head? I have, uh, 10 times the CLV trophies on this. [laughs] Uh, okay. Your, uh, your NFL draft thoughts or anything you've bet so far.
32:30
You bet anything so far? Yes. I have. Um, they're starting to pop up in places far, far away, and Calci. I would suggest everybody look at Calci if you don't have any books that have a lot of draft props.
32:45
Uh, there is a ton of stuff, exact pick, top 10 pick, first round, team to draft a player.
32:53
Uh, I, I wo- I would examine those, uh, those prediction markets if you're looking for a little, uh, early draft action before stuff gets posted, uh, at your legals an- and whatever other far away places you may have.
33:05
But three things that I did bet. Uh, I bet Zion Young to go in the first round to plus 120. Uh, I, I think he is a f- an athletic freak. I think he's someone who you will see go in the first round. I bet T.J.
33:17
Parker from Clemson, who was kind of a disappointing season, but again, I think people will see his size, his measurables, uh, kind of a, a guy who p- an NFL team could get the most out of. That was minus 160.
33:30
And then I took a chance on, uh, Kayden Proctor, the big offensive lineman from Alabama, uh, to go in the top 10 at around- Ooh... 490, plus 490 or so. That was on Calci. Wow. Uh, right now that, that is available.
33:44
Uh, people look at his tape and aren't necessarily like, "Okay, what am I missing here?"
33:49
Like, uh, it doesn't all add up, but there i- I am told that there is a team in the top 10 who has done extensive research and extensive due diligence on Proctor, a team that needs offensive line help.
34:02
So I thought Kayden Proctor plus 490 was worth a, uh, worth a flyer here to go in the top 10 at a nice price. You mentioned Monroe Freeling. I've, I've heard mixed reviews on him.
34:11
I think he's kinda fallen out of the top 10, so I m- I might look to, uh, to avoid that one. I know you guys were talking about that before I came on. Is there a...
34:19
We have Kayden Proctor, by the way, six to one here at DraftKings to go to top 10. Is there a- Okay... is there a mock drafter that you trust more than the others, or you just do a, an aggregate?
34:29
I just kinda do an aggregate. I, I've known Todd McShay for 25 years, so, uh, I have a great relationship with him. So I, I, I, I tr- I pick Todd's brain.
34:39
Uh, Daniel Jeremiah's mock I think is kinda, uh, the gold standard as well.
34:43
So I kinda, uh, pick and choose between those two, and then other people who I know have, uh, in- i- intel with, like, certain teams or scout, uh, teams that have a, are scouting.
34:54
Like Jeff Schwartz is tight with a lot of the offensive line, uh, coaches as well. So I, I kinda formulate an opinion with all those. Derby, Masters, college football, NFL draft, and some Eaga slander thrown in.
35:06
[laughs] Love it. Great to see you, Chris. And a, and a, and a CLV trophy as well. Thank you, Chris. Appreciate it. There you go. You're welcome, guys.
35:12
[upbeat music] A Numbers Game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
35:29
Back at a Numbers Game live from Circle Resort Casino downtown Las Vegas. Gil Alexander, Kelly Biblet alongside. We got tweets, media to book. Always appreciate it. Uh, this is from, let's see.
35:41
Oh, Sam Ginsberg, our buddy in Pittsburgh, PA. Hey, Sam. Hey, Sam.
35:44
He says, he says, "When VSiN sends you and Kelly to Pittsburgh to cover the draft, you guys should decline the hotel room offer and stay in Todd's cork attic.
35:52
I heard he used some of the, uh, college basketball winnings and added a swimming pool and tennis court just outside the attic." All right. Slumber party. Let's go. That'd be awesome. Hello, Mrs. Wishnev.
36:03
I'll just be using the tennis court. Uh, Buddhist Man also laying, still, still laying in on Drew Dincic is, and then taking unprovoked stabs on the Spurs as well. How dare you?
36:12
Oh, Buddhist Man's, he's stirring up some stuff on Twitter these days. He sure is. He's going after Matt Brown. [laughs] Cha- Matt Bro- Matt Brown and Buddhist Man arguing over B- uh, Masters merch.
36:23
When Matt went to the Masters. Yeah. Yeah. That was interesting. Chance Copper Pot.
36:28
That, that's, by the way, that's the most country club Twitter beef you will ever have It's, it's the Twitter beef I didn't realize I needed in my life I went to the Masters three years ago.
36:37
Uh, Chance Copper Pot, "Welcome back to Chris Felica, and thanks for the follow," he says, Chris Felica. "Who do you got for the Masters?" Well, he just told us.
36:44
Co Fred, "Listening on delay, but Bunk cash is at minus 2,000." Did I say Bunk? Hmm. I don't remember. I don't remember either. Brian M- You use that word every once in a while, though. Yeah...
36:54
Bunk comes up every once in a while. Uh, Brian M, "We have a new nickname for our numbers game. Chris Felica is now Chris 'The Ben Wilson' Felica." [laughs] It's really- You know, you know what I've decided, though?
37:05
Oh, I know what's coming. Chris- Yes. Yeah? Chris and multiple others are regular listeners to this show, which we appreciate. Ben Wilson gets a lot of positive t- talk on this show- Yeah... and jokes. He's too busy.
37:17
He never listens to us. Never. Like, he's not- Never... he's not hearing this. Nope. That's it. Moratorium. He only listens to the show when he's on it. [laughs] Jim @JamesSot, "Serious slander by Felica on Iga today.
37:31
Glad Gil had her back. I mean, training with Rafa? Fire." I actually put a fire emoji. I just decided to go fire.
37:38
Buddhist Man, "If the two women who came up to Kelly after the show the other day were Sarah Palin and Amanda Batula, would he have recognized who they were in the moment?"
37:47
[laughs] I have no idea who that second person is. He is, he is conducting a poll. I have no idea who that second person is. Recognize Sarah Palin, recognize Amanda Batula, recognize neither, recognize both.
37:56
Uh, Sarah Palin you know as the former Vice President of the United States of America. I mean, I haven't seen her in, like, feels like 10 years. Also a Glenn Rice hookup, 1989 Michigan National Champion.
38:07
Uh, and Amanda Batula is what I was trying to teach you yesterday about Summer House. You see, there's this girl named Amanda. Hmm. Ah. It's a whole Scandamanda.
38:16
There's this girl named Amanda, she's married to this guy named Kyle. And is it their summer house? No, it's all their summer house.
38:22
And then she had a bestie named Sierra, #TeamSierra, and apparently Sierra, right, she was dating this guy, West, who's kind of, like, loser-ish, but apparently, like, he's the man on this show.
38:33
And anyway, Sierra resisted West, resisted. Finally she gave in, and then guess what? Amanda, the married chick, apparently, like, right after she, or maybe even dur- We, we don't really know the timeline.
38:45
She now hooked up with West, so betraying Sierra. That's what, who Amanda Batula is. No way. Yes. That might as well have just been a different language. Let me tell you something.
38:54
If you don't know this information, you're just not that cool apparently. I d- You know, I w- I wanna make fun of you, by the way, but I'm that- No. No... I'm that guy that w- You shouldn't...
39:03
any one of these shows- Anybody who makes fun of people talking about that, you're kind of the uncool one. Yeah, no. Yeah.
39:07
Like, any, any one of those shows that pops up, like, I'll, I'll be, I'll be like, "Man, why, why is this on the TV? Why is this on..." And then six minutes later I'm, I'm, I'm hooked on something.
39:14
There is a subset of American society that is just completely into this, and it will be the highest rated show, The Reunion, in Bravo history. Andy Cohen doing his thing. Let's recap the bets, shall we?
39:29
You know what real quick my least favorite thing is about the Masters? Hmm. Is bragging about how cheap the food is. You're like, "Cool." Oh, yeah.
39:35
You're like paying a bajillion dollars to get in here, and I get a $2 egg, egg salad sandwich. Great. Rick Gamen not happy with Matt Brown's assessment of the event, though. Oh, you know what I picked up on that?
39:45
You know what I picked up? Did, did you hear one of the reasons Rick gave? Was that it's the, one of the few places just in the world anymore where nobody has a cell phone and you're locked in. Yeah.
39:55
Matt can't live without his cell phone. No, right. Yeah. That's, that's the key difference right there. Yeah, I think you might be right. That might be, it really might come down to just that. He, he, he- Yeah...
40:04
I love Matt. He's definitely the guy who gets, like, major anxiety if he hasn't checked his phone in an hour. [laughs] It's true. It's very true. Uh, but I think I would be like Matt though.
40:14
I think I'd go once and then I'd be like, "I'm good." I think I would too- Yeah... honestly. Uh, all right. We already lo- By the way, we already lost a tennis bet today on the show itself.
40:22
There was a bet at the beginning of the show. We lost it, I'm sorry. It was a three-setter. Katie Volynets could not get past the lovely Donna Vekic, although I don't consider her very lovely right now.
40:32
So we lose on a minus 106, which again, hopefully at minus 132 was not played by people this morning, 'cause that's too far gone. Once again, at the CLV store, big deal. We lose. Do have the Reds 35 to 1 though.
40:49
That's exciting, right? Seven and three out of the chutes. Uh, only four teams have eight or seven wins in baseball thus far, and the Reds are amongst them. The Reds are seven and three.
40:59
35 to 1 by the end of April is what we're trying to get, but of course we are competing with [laughs] the Dodgers, Yankees, and Brewers. So there's that.
41:07
But the Reds' schedule is oh so favorable, and so that's, uh, a major part of that bet. You got some NBA plays tonight. I do. Three in the NBA for me tonight.
41:19
I also did Hardwood Handicappers this morning with Zach Cohen. Oh, did you? So that's out now. Yeah, we talk a lot of NBA goings-on there. Uh, Raptors plus one and a half. I am on the Thunder.
41:31
First half team total over 59 and a half. Why did I play it that way, Gil? That's a great question. Uh, I wanted to play the Thunder. I don't even need to be here. [laughs] Kelly's just gonna hack what my questions are.
41:41
It's- Yeah... I wanted to play the Thunder. This game's fascinating, like, 'cause it's, it's Thunder-Lakers, so big game for playoff positioning.
41:48
And the Thunder, like, they just wanna stuff that kid in the locker, right? It, it's, it's Lakers stay right where you are. We wanna see you in the second round without Luka Dončić, without Austin Reaves.
42:00
We'll see, we'll see updates on those guys. But right now, uh, they, they, Thunder need to clinch that one seed, and they wanna keep the Lakers exactly where they are.
42:08
So, uh, look, this point spread is 16 and a half, 17 points. No Jalen Williams. LeBron is questionable tonight. Why are you going first half team total?
42:16
I'm going first half because i- it's, it's 16 and a half, 17 points.
42:19
It could get out of hand by the s- by the, in the second half, but I don't really feel like laying 17 points against a team that's still in playoff contention. Thunder have been a solid first half team.
42:28
Lakers are actually one of the worst in the league. So decided to go team total over in the first half with them. And then yeah, stat chasers, I'm going right back to it. Cooper Flagg, 30-plus points tonight, plus 195.
42:38
If he's gonna beat you in Rookie of the Year, might as well cash on him in the, in the interim. Absolutely, Gil. Yeah. And then, uh, Masters bets real quick. Updated card.
42:44
Outrights that I've added this week, Matt Fitzpatrick and Cameron Young, and then top 10 on Fitz, top 20 on Cameron Young and, uh, Fitz.
42:52
Then a couple matchups I've gotten to is Andrew Shoffley over Tommy Fleetwood, Adam Scott over Shane Lowry. Plenty more to come. We'll keep updating it every day here. Okay, I like it.
43:03
Um, Peter Schrager, by the way, on the TV, he does have, you're right, he, he like w- Drew was betting no Arvel Reese II. Yeah. Peter Schrager does not have Ar- Arvel Reese going two either. He has him going third.
43:14
So there you go, if you are to believe what, uh, in, in what Drew was saying earlier for his one draft bet thus far. Jay Kahn was here earlier talking NHL with us. Uh, Flyers tonight. He's on the Flyers at the Devils.
43:26
Flyers are plus 109, and he's on VGK on the puck line, minus one and a half at even money at the Canucks. You looking forward to the Stanley Cup playoffs, Gillis? Oh, yeah, yeah. The, the Ducks.
43:38
[laughs] I think I'm right on that. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. I maybe even went and checked that, by the way. It's a very believable answer. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. N- nobody called me out, though, so I think I'm good.
43:45
Drew Dincic, uh, in addition to his thoughts on, uh, fading Arvel Reese at number two every which way possible, he's on the Celtics tonight, minus five versus the Hornets. That was his one NBA play.
43:56
He felt very strongly about that after the Celtics took care of the Hornets here, um, last time they played here, and I think it was last week, without Jaylen Brown. I went back and forth on that game tonight.
44:07
I believe Zach landed on the Hornets. Check vsin.com, though. Um, I was looking at the Hornets. Hornets actually have an opportunity to get out of that play-in still, and Celtics are kinda locked into the two seed.
44:19
But you know what? They're not locked in yet. So I, I kinda get where Drew's coming from. Mark Borchardt was on earlier with us to discuss baseball. He had a parlay of the day.
44:30
Fezzik loves when Borchardt comes on and gives out a parlay. He's like, "The guy's so smart." Then at the end he gives out a parlay? Yep, sure did. Mets Yankees, subway parlay. Hey, subway parlay. See what he did there?
44:40
Plus 129, and in terms of a straight bet, he is on the Red Sox. Red Sox with the worst record in baseball. Really? Oh, yeah. The, uh, the, that was another team that so many people- Yeah... loved this year.
44:52
You know who didn't? Joe Peta. Mm-hmm. Joe Peta's favorite season win total was Red Sox under. He is taking the Red Sox today, is Borchardt, over the Brewers. Chris Felica was all over the place with all kinds of sports.
45:03
At Masters, Zach Johnson, top senior, minus 102. Xander, top 10 including ties, plus 105. Parlay, Schauffele and Scheffler, top 20 including ties is minus 110. Cam Smith to miss the cut, plus 196.
45:16
I kinda like these make miss cut bets. Uh, head-to-head, he's on Tyrrell Hatton over Shane Lowry, plus 110. Patrick Reed over Brooks Koepka, minus 138. I would imagine that would be a very popular bet.
45:27
In college football, Colorado under four and a half wins from Chris. FSU under six and a half wins. A direct shot at Kelly Bidlin. Biased Miami fan. That's all it is. He doesn't really like FSU that much- [laughs]...
45:40
as we've seen through the years. That man knows his college football. I couldn't name one player on the team next to you. NFL Draft, he's on Zion Young to be selected in the first round at plus 120.
45:49
CJ Parker to be selected in the first round at minus 160. And his long shot, Caden Proctor of Bama as a top 10 pick at plus 490. And then Rick Gamin, Cam Young to win the Masters, 23 to one.
45:59
Ludwig Gobert, 17 to one to win the Masters. Patrick Reed, top 10 finish, three to one in the Masters. Prop Boys is next. Enjoy from VSIN, the sports betting network.
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