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Jul 17, 2026
A Numbers Game | July 17, 2026 | Hour 1
A Numbers Game | July 17, 2026 | Hour 1
00:00
47:20
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Transcript
0:00
Buy smart, drive for less, and trade for more. That's Toyota affordability, and it all starts with a great deal on a truck from your local Toyota dealer.
0:08
Make a smart buy on the off-road-ready Tacoma or half-ton Tundra, two of Toyota's most capable and longest-lasting trucks, built with the strength for the tough jobs, the tech to power your next big adventures, and the rugged style for everything in between.
0:22
Or discover Toyota's off-road lineup, including the iconic 4Runner and Land Cruiser, designed to go beyond the everyday.
0:29
And with Toyota's proven reputation for quality and reliability, plus available hybrid power on many models, you can get more for every mile and drive for less along the way.
0:38
And long after you leave the lot, your Toyota keeps delivering with great resale value, so you can trade in for more when you're ready for your next Toyota.
0:47
From a great deal today to a great value tomorrow, a Toyota is right for you. Shop toyota.com for deals and details, or stop by your local Toyota dealer today. Toyota, let's go places. [upbeat music] This is VSiN,
1:03
the sports betting network. The numbers told the story. They always do. It's one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander on VSiN.
1:17
[upbeat music] July the 17th be with you on a Friday morning. Welcome on in to a numbers game. I'm Justin Sweetilson. That is Kelly Bidlin. Yo.
1:28
We got you covered for the next three hours right here on VSiN, the sports betting network. Appreciate you hanging out with us.
1:35
Sirius XM channel 158, YouTube TV, the VSiN Watch app, and radio affiliates across the United States of God Bless America, and Game Plus in Canada. I did it without a reminder. What's up, Kelly Bidlin? Nailed it. Got it.
1:46
Good morning, Dustin. How we doing, man? I'm doing good. Yeah. I'm doing good. I woke up.
1:51
I, uh, I updated my leaderboard on, on my phone as soon as I could open these eyes at 4:30 in the morning with the alarm going off, and I said, um, "Who are these people?"
1:59
[laughs] As I'm sure a lot of people are doing at the Open Championship over the past couple days, yes. Yeah, I was like, "Okay, we'll do, we'll do plenty on the golf throughout." It is live currently in action.
2:09
The sun, despite the odds, still out at this course, something I did not anticipate seeing throughout the weekend at Royal Birkdale. We have a lot to get to as far as the W- uh, uh, uh, the World Cup is concerned.
2:19
It is our final weekend of World Cup action. We'll be sad to see it go. We have one match tomorrow for third place. We have one for the title on Sunday.
2:27
I'm fascinated by all the [laughs] storylines with all four teams remaining. It does, however, feel a bit un-American, though, that there is even a third place, third place game.
2:36
I feel like it's 50/50 whether I'll watch it or not. No, you're gonna watch it. It's a third place game. But it, it's France, and it's England, and there's a lot of history there.
2:48
And I'm not gonna start yelling the years of the wars- [laughs]... [laughs] that, that we've been in with all of them. You're gonna keep- Look- You're gonna keep bringing it back...
2:53
there's good people on both sides of these wars each ti- well, not the, the big one, but- [laughs]... you get my point. The French have helped us in the past is all my point is.
3:01
If it wasn't for the French, we'd still be p- speaking the old English. Someone tweeted us that earlier this week- That's right... and I thought it was very good. [laughs] Um, no, you're gonna watch.
3:09
Mbappé with the Golden Boot. Here, I'm gonna force you to place a bet for the Golden Boot, and that's gonna make you have to watch on Saturday. Oh, yeah, we dove into that market yesterday.
3:17
Should I do my PSA now on that, I guess? Yeah, do it. Uh, be very careful with your markets and what you're betting if you're in- interested in Golden Boot. Uh, we were talking about that yesterday with DraftKings odds.
3:29
B- be very careful. FanDuel has clearly Golden Boot odds to win Golden Boot. Odds to win Golden Boot is not the same thing as top goal scorer in the tournament. Just keep that in mind.
3:41
I, I, I've seen a lot on Twitter about w- way different odds floating around on this. At FanDuel, y- you've got Messi's, like, -200 to win Golden Boot, uh, as we got it up there.
3:51
We know he's gonna be playing in, in the final, and then that's where we were talking about the assist tiebreakers coming into play.
3:57
You and I [laughs] were both kind of like, "Wow, Messi feels a little light at even money." Well, that makes sense for the Golden Boot race. Yeah, we, we were right. He's, he's, he... That was too light.
4:06
He should be -200. Top goal scorer, you can find him around even money 'cause I'm assuming if there's any d- uh, any ties there, that is gonna be a dead heat situation. Yeah, I want Mbappé, by the way.
4:17
I, I, I, I think- See how you flipped? Yeah. Yeah, I, I flipped my, my mentality.
4:20
One, I, I don't think, myself, I'm not gonna include other people in it, it feels like sharp soccer people have, have given Spain a lot of credit for the style that they play with. Mm-hmm.
4:29
I think there's one team that's a really tough m- matchup, you know, for Messi to, to get one in the back of the net. It's Spain with the way they play. It's gonna be limited possessions.
4:37
It's gonna be limited shots on net. They're gonna try and smother him defensively, keep him from beating them. Because of the way Spain plays as a team, I think it's gonna be tough for Messi to score.
4:45
And on the other side, Mbappé has a golden matchup, right? He's got England licking their wounds. Yeah. You've got a, a manager for England that's not gonna be around the next time the World Cup happens.
4:55
He's probably getting fired as soon as that match ends on Saturday. And then you're gonna have backups in that matchup. Mm. The motivation's not there for England.
5:03
The motivation for France is for Mbappé to continue to add to his legacy. I think he's gonna get one, maybe two, in this matchup with, with England.
5:10
I can't wait to talk to Paul Carr, Chris Falica about this situation 'cause I do... I, I just... W- we don't know, right? You and I don't know so much of how many backups are gonna play and how...
5:19
what does that mean for an Mbappé, right? Do stars... Do you, do you wanna win this award, or do you just wanna make sure you're, you're healthy for your next actual game that matters and not a third place game?
5:29
I think this, these are all interesting questions. Can't wait to get in, uh, into it with those guys. You want real analysis on the World Cup, vsin.com. Nigel Sealey, Alex Blowers- Yeah...
5:37
already with articles up on both of these final matchups. They've done yeoman's work, really.
5:42
I don't know what a yeoman is, but I know that's the work that they've been doing on the website because I use it every day to prep for the show. I use it every day to find the bets that I like, the angles.
5:49
You don't blindly follow, but once you sort of get the gist of the way people who, who analyze the sport day in and day out feel about certain games and situations, you can come up with your own way to handicap these things.
6:00
We also have the baseball second half. 28 teams get underway for their second half tonight, in case you missed it last night. The Mets victorious against the Phillies 4-1 as Francisco Álvarez goes yard twice.
6:13
Brett Baty hits a homer. Christian Scott, five and two-thirds, three hits, no runs, no walks. We lost that prop on the over one and a half walks, but seven strikeouts.
6:20
We did cash plus 117 on Aaron Nola ha- to have over five and a half Ks in that game.
6:26
But the story coming from the Mets out of that, Kelly, they've informed teams that everyone except Juan Soto, Nolan McLain, Carson Benge, A.J. Ewing, and Christian Scott are available.
6:37
That's per Chelsea Janes, who covers the team. Mm. Which, a name that was not mentioned as untouchable would be shortstop Francisco Lindor- Yep... which is fascinating to hear.
6:45
And as a Mets fan, I just can't help but reflect and s- and think back to signing Juan Soto. Literally Ted Williams, of his generation. 27 years old, putting up monster numbers across the board.
6:58
But it does feel as if the New York Mets have sold their soul for, for Juan Soto.
7:02
And for all the, the, the transgressions of Francisco Lindor on the field, where there's been a lot of down moments, there's been plenty of up moments in clutch situations where he's come through.
7:11
The one thing that I can appreciate about Francisco Lindor is the way that he meets with the media. He stands up when they're in the middle of adversity.
7:18
He wants to ca- have control of that clubhouse to motivate his teammates, while Juan Soto has made it very clear he has no thoughts of being a leader, despite having the richest contract for a position player outside of Shohei Ohtani.
7:30
Because of that, I feel like the Mets are losing their soul here if they do trade Francisco Lindor. Mm. Yeah. Well, maybe it makes sense, man. I think it's a good point.
7:40
All right, ACC media days going down in North Carolina. We will check in with Alex Donno later on in the program live on the scene, and we're gonna play two clips for you later on in the show.
7:50
A crazy statement by a coach that's straight up just lying. I mean, it, it's one of the greatest lies of all time I've ever heard.
7:55
[laughs] And another head coach in the ACC apparently going through an identity crisis, but more importantly, we need to update you right now on the British Open.
8:05
I look at this leaderboard, Kelly Bidlin, and there is a gentleman by the name of Lucas Herbert at the top of it right now. Eight under for today. He shot a 70 in round one.
8:15
He is currently your leader with 132 as his total score, and he was one putt away from history not long before we started the program today. Yeah, he tied history.
8:26
A bogey on 18, uh, send, it sends him to finishing with a 62. He had 61 in sights. Uh, that would've been the lowest round ever at an open championship.
8:35
Uh, instead, the 62, he ties with Brandon Grace, uh, from 2017 at this exact same s- course, uh, who went with a 62.
8:44
And, uh, while everybody was kinda waiting for the Lucas Herbert, was on Lucas Herbert watch for 62, y'all forgot about Sam Burns, 'cause my guy Sam Burns came rushing, uh, down the back nine too.
8:54
Went eight under on his round with six birdies on the back nine. He, uh, also finishes his round with a 62. He is five under for the tournament, eight under on his day.
9:06
Uh, so tho- uh, those are now three times, let me make sure this way, since 2017, we have had three different courses that have given up 62s, uh, to two different golfers in major championship golf. Wow.
9:19
This isn't just an open championship thing. This is just how much better golfer, golfers are these days. That, that's what that tells me. So, um, Lucas Herbert is your leader right now, eight under.
9:29
He is two clear of Jackson Sueber, and the guy everybody seemed to forget about this week, Cameron Young, has m- uh, just finished his round too. He is six under par as well, tied with Jackson Sueber there.
9:41
Uh, then it is Sam Burns, Sungjae Im at five under par. Big group then at four under par. Lucas Herbert's updated odds, go to the live odds for this event. Scottie Scheffler, your favorite, plus 420.
9:54
Then it is Cameron Young at plus 680. Lucas Herbert, plus 890. What was he before the round, [laughs] Dustin, over at DraftKings? 290 to one. [laughs] What was he before, what was he before round one? 280 to one.
10:07
And this is, we wrote, we had great write-ups at vsi.com on this. Go check that out. Myself, Matt Brown, uh, Wes Reynolds, Matt Humans, all writing out, uh, about the first round action that we all saw.
10:19
The one thing that I wanted to make clear in my piece, Dustin, was there, I know there are a lot of casuals that, that, that catch on for major golf. Jackson Sueber, not a nobody.
10:29
There are some nobodies and some surprise names that are, often happen on the top of the open championship leaderboard, but this is a guy that has played very well to...
10:36
He has six top six fi- or three top six finishes in his last six events. He's been playing very good golf coming into this open. He's just never played links golf before. That's the surprise.
10:47
Scottie Scheffler just underway, Kelly. Yeah. And his first shot of the day, he's in a group with Tyrrell Hatton as well right now. I know someone that a lot of people were high on coming into this event.
10:56
Also getting going in the next five or six minutes there at Royal Birkdale, Tommy Fleetwood, Jon Rahm, all set to tee off their first holes of the day. We will keep you posted all day long.
11:06
Scottie Scheffler right now still the favorite, plus 420. At what point, Kelly, do we just go, you know what, it's either too low, 'cause it was about seven, eight to one yesterday- Yeah...
11:16
two days ago before this event started, or at this point in time, now that someone ha- has set the bar for what the expectations are- Mm-hmm...
11:23
to win this event, with the leaderboard shaking out the way that it has, do we anticipate a surge from sc- from Scottie here? Man, I would think so. I think this continues w- uh, with, with Scottie Scheffler.
11:33
Two under par, though, you're talking, you're talking six shots off the lead. [sighs] I'm not gonna hate that. I mean, I, look, I don't think Lucas Herbert is the guy who ends up winning this event.
11:42
Uh, but I do expect scoring to continue. That was something you and I brought up throughout the course of the week.
11:48
If conditions were gonna be like this, and the wind is relatively calm, the, it's really more about the baked-out golf course that these guys are having to work their way around than really dealing with any elements.
11:59
So, I, I know I mentioned it once or twice throughout the week. I'm not really shocked that we saw a couple of 62s today. I think there are some... It's an open championship course. There are gonna be some ugly scores.
12:09
We are s- we are seeing some big names that are gonna miss the cut, but these low scores are, I think are gonna be out there for the next couple days.
12:15
I appreciate you including me for a statement that I did not make- [laughs]... that you made, but it looks right. So it looks like you, you're giving me credit means that I brought up- Hey, man, we're a team...
12:23
the same thing. Uh, below the cut line right now, well, we're a team on this one, Matt Fitzpatrick below the cut line. Yeah.
12:28
Justin Rose, Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama, and Brooks Koepka all currently below that cut line. A lot of big names. They may, uh, be going home early. Fire up the PJ.
12:36
See if you can, uh, you know, group together on the way home. Yeah, that's right. Little carpool. Might be able to sa- yeah, save some, uh, save some gas money, yeah.
12:43
All right, when we return, baseball, second half, 28 teams underway. I like this dog at plus 110 despite the opposing pitcher on an absolute heater. I'll tell you who that is next on The Numbers Game.
13:00
You're here because you want an edge. That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real, mindset alone doesn't get bets home.
13:07
Pros win because they've got the tools, the data, and the discipline, and now so can you. VSiN Pro gives you access to the same real-time insights the sharps use.
13:15
No secrets, no fluff, just actionable info that moves markets. Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with VSiN Pro. Buy smart, drive for less, and trade for more.
13:31
That's Toyota affordability, and it all starts with a great deal on a truck from your local Toyota dealer.
13:36
Make a smart buy on the off-road-ready Tacoma or half-ton Tundra, two of Toyota's most capable and longest-lasting trucks.
13:43
Built with the strength for the tough jobs, the tech to power your next big adventures, and the rugged style for everything in between.
13:50
Or discover Toyota's off-road lineup, including the iconic 4Runner and Land Cruiser, designed to go beyond the everyday.
13:57
And with Toyota's proven reputation for quality and reliability, plus available hybrid power on many models, you can get more for every mile and drive for less along the way.
14:06
And long after you leave the lot, your Toyota keeps delivering with great resale value, so you can trade in for more when you're ready for your next Toyota.
14:15
From a great deal today to a great value tomorrow, a Toyota is right for you. Shop toyota.com for deals and details, or stop by your local Toyota dealer today. Toyota, let's go places.
14:27
[upbeat rock music] A Numbers Game on VSiN, the sports betting network. Back on a Numbers Game. Friday, Friday, Friday.
14:44
Shout out to Rebecca Black, still getting it done on Friday. Yeah, for real, man. Uh, that is Kelly Bidlin. I'm Dustin Switelson. British Open leaderboard. L- Lucas Herbert is your leader. Historical day for him.
14:55
Eight under today for Herbert. He is up a few strokes on Cam Young. Lucas Herbert, any relation to Justin Herbert? If it is, uh, I know how the fourth quarter's gonna go.
15:04
Eh, don't let it get to a playoff, that's for sure. Ooh. We should- We- we- We made that joke off-air earlier... we kind of o- oversold it in the break.
15:11
We thought we had something there, and then, uh- It's still funny... the delivery. It's funny, but maybe not as funny as we thought it was.
15:17
For people that listen to this show and hear, hear me talk crap about Justin Herbert all the time- That's true... they're gonna appreciate that. I, I, every time I look at you, I notice the thermostat in the background.
15:25
It's on 70 degrees. This was a heated debate on Follow the Money the last few weeks. I told Mitch Moss and- Oh, really?... a- and Paulie Howard that they were psychopaths.
15:33
I also told Mitch that CPS is gonna take his kid away. I think he said he keeps the th- thermostat at, like, [laughs] 74 degrees. [laughs] So wait, 74 degrees? Okay, all right. Maybe even hotter. All right.
15:44
F- f- first of all, we- we'll get back to this. You know, you know the, the, you know the reg- the most common question as I've lost weight you get, right? Yeah.
15:51
It's, it's the one like, "Oh, you must have so much more energy now." And I'm like, "No, not at all." Oh, you don't? Not at all. I could go to sleep at any time for, like, four hours. But you're cold. You're cold now.
16:00
But I've gotten... I'm cold now. I used to run hot, but now I'm cold. I, I, I need, I need this Wegovy to kick in. [laughs] Don't worry.
16:07
We- we- I need [laughs] I need, I need it to, I need it to do its magic so I can start getting cold now. I, I will say one of the nice things about working with Gil Alexander is the man is like a robot.
16:16
Doesn't go to the bathroom, doesn't drink water, doesn't care what I turn that thermostat to. Wouldn't even notice if you put it- W- wouldn't notice... cranked to, like, 82. Does not notice.
16:23
You turned it into a sauna and there was condensation on the windows. Actually, that's a good point. Let's... Remind me of that, Danny. We gotta test the boundaries of this.
16:30
You know, you know, like go real cold or real hot. Does he get angry? No, not really. He's very, he's what? He's very level. I feel like he's always here. Yeah, he looks very level, yeah.
16:38
I mean, I couldn't get to that level of stoicism unless I was on multiple, multiple medications. [laughs] Like the, like we're talking, like, an SSRI- On a lot of Xanax.
16:50
[laughs] We- yeah, SSRI with something that also balances the anxiety, so it's, like, happiness and less anxiety together. I don't know what I'd do with myself. Here's my biggest fear.
16:59
This is legitimately, my biggest fear in life is actually being happy because I'd have nothing to complain about. [laughs] And complaining is my favorite thing to do. Uh, yeah, that's fair. All right. That's fair.
17:10
The thermostat's on 70, though. Back to your number. Oh, wait, wait, wait. What do you keep your home at? Oh, it's... Okay, yeah. Well, okay, at- Fat Kelly ver skinny Kelly. No, like, no, that really is...
17:18
Like, at home, it hasn't really changed. Yeah. It's just more how do the, how me being out in public do I feel now, right? Yeah, 'cause when, when I'm at home, I just want it cold.
17:25
I'm willing to put on a hoodie in the summer if I have to. Mm-hmm. I just want my home cold. I, it's, I don't, I don't know why. So I'm the guy who, like, like I change the thermostat when I leave.
17:34
I put it, set it at, like, 70. I won't let it go too high though, because I wanna get home and not be, like, miserably hot. Yeah. Right? 'Cause guess what?
17:40
Breaking news, it's, like, 100 degrees every day in Vegas right now. Uh, when I'm sleeping, it's 66 degrees. That's where I'm at when I sleep. 66 is pretty low, dude.
17:48
[laughs] That's where I go when I'm sl- when I sleep, 66. I'm- I need it cold... I'm 69, sometimes 68. I can do s- 70 to 72 if I have a fan going. Yeah, yeah.
18:00
That's a big de- I don't have a ceiling fan right now in my bedroom, so yeah So I have a ceiling...
18:02
Here, but here's the thing that I had to eliminate from my life, is the, the fiance does not approve of me having the small fan directly in my face. That was, like, a go-to for me.
18:10
[laughs] And apparently that is a- What, just, like, on the, on the side table? [laughs] Yeah, I think that's, like, a very single fat man move. I don't think there's a lot of skinny people doing that.
18:18
But, like, right next to me on the nightstand. I don't think there's many people doing that, end period Ready? Th- this, this is maybe the fattest thing anyone can say. It's next to my CPAP for sleep apnea- [laughs]...
18:27
is the little fan to, to go right in my face to cool me off. I love you, man. [laughs] All right. [laughs] All right. We do have baseball later today to get into.
18:35
Uh, looking at the board, some things jumped out to me, and I hate being this guy, but y- y- you know this at, at this point, uh, of the game in, in, in betting, Kelly.
18:43
Sometimes there's such an overwhelming conventional thought about a team that I just start going in my brain, "You know what? It's contrarian time." And the Boston Red Sox are a team that I've heard everybody- Mm-hmm...
18:54
from guests here, hosts here, callers when I go on VSIN Live!, on Mad Dog Sports Radio with Patrick Maher, they love the Boston Red Sox.
19:02
And I'm not gonna deny anyone making a case for anyone in the American League, but I think the hype has gotten a little bit out of control. Yeah. I bring that up because Boston's taking on Tampa Bay today.
19:10
It's Griffin Jax facing Jake Bennett, and we'll do more on Jake Bennett later, 'cause this dude's been awesome. 25 years old, a 1.39 ERA over the last month. He's off seven shutout innings against the White Sox.
19:22
Facing Griffin Jax, who's been converted to a starter this year. Very good. Couple tough outings lately, but mostly good. Better ERA on the road, but a higher, um, uh, opponent batting average facing Griffin Jax.
19:34
At Boston, May 7th, four innings, four hits, two earned, three K's, in an 8-4 win for the right-hander. I'm gonna back Tampa Bay here. Okay. I just, I think we've gotten- The Jacks...
19:44
a little out of control with the Boston love. And let's also keep in mind that Jake Bennett has faced Tampa Bay before, okay? Earlier in the year he took on these Rays, and they're used to seeing him.
19:54
Five innings, four earned, fi-, uh, five and a third, as I mentioned, uh, four earned runs in that game. Tampa Bay's numbers aren't crazy against lefties this year.
20:02
This is a team last year, splits wise, tremendous against southpaws. This year just 21st in OPS, 29th in runs. But I went and looked at the numbers. They're 19 and 7 straight up, plus 11.6 units when taking on a lefty.
20:14
They're 19 and 8 straight up, 11 plus units up in division this season. And then Boston, 6 and 10 at home in division on the year. When those trends back what I was already thinking- Yeah... looking at the plus price.
20:27
And when I look at these plus prices, it's just, I think it's better than a coin flip that this guy's gonna win. Uh, so I'm gonna take Tampa Bay and Griffin Jax on the road. Okay. All right. I like it.
20:36
I know another one you're looking at a little later tonight. Reminder, that game starts in about three hours. That's true. That is a 1:35 p.m.- Double header... Eastern, uh, time. Double header for them, yep.
20:45
Uh, later tonight, I know another one you're looking at, Dodgers and the Yankees. Man, these are some real bad match-ups for the first- This-... uh, first day back. Roki Sasaki on the mound for the Dodgers.
20:53
Gerrit Cole on the mound for the Yankees. Over at DraftKings, Dodgers -111, Yankees -108. Your total's set at nine. Yeah, this is a tough one, man. You got Roki Sasaki on the road.
21:04
Dodgers just got swept by Arizona to end the first half. Yankees won four in a row after a rough patch. Sasaki, though, 7.23 ERA his last four starts. Not going deep. Less than five innings in all of those.
21:16
A 6.25 road ERA in seven starts. Opponent batting average away,.252. It's his first start ever against the Yankees, and he's a guy who really doesn't do well with pressure so far in his career.
21:26
Outside of the reliever role in the playoffs last year, I'll give him credit for that, but in terms of being a starter, it's TBD on this, if this guy's gonna last in the majors. Mm-hmm.
21:34
Gerrit Cole, he's just not himself yet. Will he get back to that at 35 years old? What version of himself does he have to be with the emergence of Slittler and Freed coming back, and Rodon there in the rotation?
21:45
Three earned at Tampa Bay last go around, six and a third, six K's, but a 5.33 ERA ver- over his last five. Strikeouts are still there, 29 in 27 innings. He's better at home. 3.22 ERA versus 4.73 on the road.
21:59
But, uh, um, if I'm doing anything, I'm thinking about the over. I was just gonna say, everything you're laying out sounds like an over to me, Dustin, but- Total's nine... total's set at nine, though, right?
22:09
Like, this is baking this in a little bit. Yeah, and what's crazy is I think I would actually back the Dodgers, even though with everything I said about Sasaki. If I was doing anything, it'd be the over or the Dodgers.
22:19
Gerrit Cole against the NL since 2024 is 0 and 6. Dodgers 5 and 0 after losing four of five. They got a break. They got to rest and relax. Shohei should theoretically be a little bit healthier.
22:31
Dodgers 30 and 17 on the road, but they're down a half a unit 'cause they're such big favorites normally. Yankees 23 and 20 at home. That's down 12.4 units. The Yankees, though, they have been struggling lately.
22:42
10 and 15 straight up over the last month. Okay. I like it, yeah. Over, over is what, uh, I took away from that as well. Maybe Dodgers team total. Maybe Dodgers. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Uh, okay.
22:51
Later on in the evening, Pirates at the Guardians. Jared Jones on the mound for the Pirates, Gavin Williams for the Guardians. Guardians a -123 favorite here at Circa, +111 on the other side for the Pirates.
23:02
Seven and a half your total. I'm a big Gavin Williams guy, and I thought about, when I went into, to betting this one, my mentality was wha- why or how can I back Cleveland here?
23:13
And then everything led to me to Pittsburgh. So because of that, as of right now, it's a no play. [laughs] Okay. The gut instinct didn't match, didn't match the research.
23:21
So Pittsburgh just swept Milwaukee to end the first half. Cleveland's won four in a row. Both teams coming in playing really good baseball. Jones is off a controversial start for him.
23:29
Six perfect innings, eight strikeouts against Atlanta, where he was pulled. And by the way, I think it was the right call. Pirates have playoff aspirations. Pittsburgh has a bevy of arms.
23:38
They need to keep him healthy coming off surgery. He doesn't get the glory, he doesn't get the history, but they get to keep him in the rotation 'cause he didn't blow his arm out, uh, back-to-back years.
23:47
He's been finding his form recently, and on the other end, Gavin Williams off seven innings, two earned, 11 punch-outs at Minnesota. Three ERA for him in s- in 54 innings, 62 strikeouts. Pittsburgh strikes out a lot.
23:59
I thought about Gavin Williams over seven and a half K's at plus money. It was just the, it's, it's the high number here. Pittsburgh, 26th in K rate, third-worst on the road. That's why I went there.
24:08
But, uh, I'd consider at this point, after doing all the research, Pittsburgh plus money. I mean, teams after a three-game sweep versus division rivals in an interleague series, uh, are 76 and 32, 70.4%.
24:21
So that's off of a three-game sweep. Taking down a team in their division than in an interleague series next. That's 70.4%. Going back to 2017, Pirates are 16 and 8 in interleague play.
24:33
They're also 40 and thir- 42 and 30 against right-handed starters this year.
24:37
So while as of right now it's a no play, Gavin Williams, K's, or the Pirates +109 right now would be the only direction I'm looking in that match-up between those two teams. It is a numbers game. I'm Dustin Swedelson.
24:51
That is Kelly Bidlin. Lot to come on the program. Plenty of World Cup coverage coming your way, but wanna remind you there's no shortage of betting opportunities this summer.
24:59
Daily MLB World Cup, we got a few articles up breaking down this weekend's action. It's a perfect time to lock in VSiN's football special for just $175.
25:07
You'll get VSiN pro access through the Super Bowl, including our all new betting guide for the NFL. It is out right now. You just ha- have to head to vsin.com/subscribe. That's V-S-I-N.com/subscribe.
25:32
[upbeat rock music] A numbers game on VSiN, the sports betting network. Dustin Swedelson in the big chair for another day here on A Numbers Game. That is Kelly Bidlin.
25:44
Thanks for hanging out with us here, SiriusXM channel 158, YouTube TV, the VSiN Watch app, radio affiliates across the United States of God bless America.
25:53
Your leader right now over at Royal Birkdale, British Open, Lucas Herbert eight under. Cam Young, though, making a move here. Six under for him, tied now with Jackson Suber.
26:03
We have Sam Burns tied for fourth at five under. He shot an eight under today, and it, it appears no one's really talking about that. Uh, [laughs] I am. I've got him outright. I've got him [laughs] uh, top 20.
26:14
What's the number outright? F- uh, 52 to 1. Geez. So yeah, that would be nice. Sam Burns, keep doing it, man. He, uh, hi- him and Lucas Herbert setting some matching history today at, uh, Royal Birkdale with those 62s.
26:24
You got me thinking 'cause you mentioned that Lucas Herbert was what? 290 to 1 win outright pre- pre-flop? Yeah. We talked about this, how you and I strategize with futures.
26:33
I- if- the futures we really like, we will place one regular bet and then one a little bit... I do, do mine the second one a little bit smaller, or I'll split it up and I'll intend on cashing out one of them. Mm.
26:45
Maybe if you're willing to take a swing at 290 to 1 on someone, that is one you split up on two different bets. That way you can cash one of them out once it's, you know, paying out something nicely.
26:54
I don't know what it would pay out right now. We're still early in round two, but eight under for the day, and he, he certainly looks like he's in pretty good form at this course.
27:02
Yeah, I mean, he enters the tournament that 280 to 290 range or whatever, I mean, whatever ridiculous number.
27:07
I'm sure, I'm sure w- if you saw his number before or if you've seen it on Twitter, I'm sure you've seen a lot of different numbers quoted because when you get up that high it could be anywhere- Sure...
27:16
from 150 to 350, uh, to 1. Um, but look, right now at DraftKings he's +870.
27:23
Yeah, I think that this was a perfect example of using that strategy, Dustin, of hey, maybe, maybe ride one of those smaller tickets and see if you could actually hold onto this for the next couple days, and I would be cashing out the rest, yeah.
27:34
Yeah, yeah. So I, I th- I mean, Cameron Young is on his tail. Sam Burns is on his tail. Bryson DeChambeau is right there. There are some big names that are right behind him.
27:42
Well, and this is kind of the age-old, especially for me when it, when it comes to betting o- on, on sports with spreads. I think about college basketball a lot. I think about the NFL and college football.
27:51
A- and while the teams may not be aware of their roles all the time, whether they're a favorite or an underdog- Mm-hmm...
27:56
it is very different when you're a Lucas Herbert and you're punching up and you're not expected to do anything, but all of a sudden when you're atop the leaderboard and there's pressure on, that's when these guys, you find out what they're made of, what their constitution is.
28:09
I'm not saying to doubt Lucas Herbert, I'm just telling you he's never been here before, so even he doesn't know how he's gonna react. Does have a win on, uh, on LIV this year, one of the LIV golfers, so.
28:18
Oh, that's still a thing? It's still, for right now, I guess, [laughs] for real. [laughs] That's still like day, day-to-day. Yeah. [laughs] Yeah, you check in.
28:24
I don't think anybody's making any big time plans or anything. We're, we're, we're waiting for that breaking news, LIV has folded operations. [laughs] Yeah, exactly.
28:30
Um, yeah, one of the other ones, you know, uh, Eagle Marine tweets this, and I'll address it. Yeah, everybody was on Matt Fitzpatrick this week. This happens. Looks like Matt Fitzpatrick is going to, uh, miss.
28:39
This is also why you don't in- construct an outright card with one guy and they, guess what? Even if everybody in the world's on someone, they could still lose. He's still s- 18 to 1 for a reason.
28:49
It do- just because everybody loves him doesn't mean that automatically flips. It does, it is becoming very annoying, especially for me. I will include Dave Ross 'cause he's gone through this with the Hoy Guards, I know.
29:00
The pick which week is the right Fitzpatrick is becoming really annoying 'cause last week- Okay...
29:05
I was on Alex, who missed the cut, and right now Alex Fitzpatrick is four under par for the tournament, just four shots off the lead at the Open Championship, while his brother, who everybody loves so much, is gonna be h- heading home early.
29:18
This makes me think about, uh, Social Network, the Facebook movie, and the, the, they called them the Winklevi twins 'cause it was the Winklevoss- Yeah. Yeah, yeah... but when it was multiples.
29:25
What if sportsbooks started offering you the brothers as one bet? Y- you lost a little juice on the longer one, but you can combine them together here.
29:32
Sh- sh- What if the books offered a Fitzpatrick Brothers bet to do a certain way? Should be an automatic prop. Should be an automatic prop. This is, uh...
29:39
But yeah, uh, uh, Eagle Marine, I mean, it's just, like, this is not how you construct an outright card, right?
29:42
If you're gonna, you construct an outright card, it, most people are usually going with more than just one guy. Get the anger. I get when it, you hear everybody's on him.
29:50
It, it feels safer than what the odds are indicating, but nah, like this is... I've got, my three other outrights are all top 20 or better right now, so I'm feeling pretty good overall, Dustin.
29:59
I'm not, I'm not beating myself up about it. Uh, Ben Griffin I did add, uh, actually right before the show. I just forgot to bring it up early. Uh, live top 10- Pass post. No, I'm just kidding... right.
30:09
I'd do it right now. He's even par through two, [laughs] two, through two. I'm fuck- I'm mess- I'm messing with you. The, uh- You're allowed to place bets and not in the same second immediately mention them on the air...
30:17
I just felt bad for forgetting at the top. Um, Ben Griffin, though, top line- Well, we had to get that handicap of those two no bets in Major League Baseball in. That's right.
30:24
[laughs] Ben Griffin, a live top 10 play, pays seven to one right now. He was one of the guys statistically that just jumped off the page to me yesterday. One of the best after round one tee to green.
30:33
He was top five tee to green stats. Had a really bad putting day. Putting is where you most often see regression, both positive and negative, Dustin. He's one of the more consistent, better putters on the PGA tour.
30:46
I would be pretty su- Ben Griffin doesn't have a ton of Open Championship experience or success. That would be the fair counter here, but he's one of the better putters in the world.
30:54
I, I think you could take a nice little long shot price on him to finish top 10, top 20. We get tweets @VSINLive, @DustinSwedelson, @KellyBidlin. Kelly, turn around and wave You're not looking? Where is he? What we got?
31:05
Cheap Prop Bets just tweeted us. Yeah. There he is. "Here to sign up for Circus Contest." Got him. Turn around and wave. Yeah. [laughs] Looks, looks like a University of Miami shirt on, though. No, no. No? All right.
31:14
Okay. It's a Lucky Brand shirt. It's, it's North Dakota State colors, though. Oh, okay. It's green and yellow. All right. That's awesome. He's here hanging out with us.
31:21
I've won some and lo- and lost some money on North Dakota State over the years. That's for sure. You know what?
31:24
There, there's some odds up for North Dakota State that I was thinking about over the weekend when I was looking at it. College football? Uh, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Are they, are they still dominating, uh, the, uh...
31:33
What, what are we calling it these days? Well, no. They- FCS? I, I believe they've made the- Big at the pump? I believe they made the move to the Mountain West. Wow. Let, let me confirm that I'm, I'm tal-...
31:41
Sometimes with the Dakotas, and there's a few other states out there, the New Mexicos at times, my brain will just revert this early in the morning, where I'll go, "Uh, you know what? That's, uh, that's the wrong Dakota.
31:52
That's the wrong this." Yeah, North Dakota State- Yeah... third shot on the board for the Mountain West Conference. Uh, that league took a hit. Uh, I'm not really blown away by some of these teams.
32:01
I would not be sh- overly shocked if North Dakota State just shows up and wins it. Oh, man. That, that might be a... That we might need to play that game later, Danny.
32:08
I haven't done a ton of research on it yet, but I just, there's a lot of systems in place, and it's like,
32:14
just because you're moving up a level, and peop- And as someone who, who covered Division II, there was always this thought that, like, these certain athletes at the lower levels weren't good enough. No, no.
32:23
There's a lot of circumstances. There were injuries. There were schools that they went to, didn't know how to get them the, the, the next opportunity at the next level.
32:31
There were guys that said, "I would rather play here versus hit the bench somewhere else and get good film." The, the kids go to North Dakota State for several reasons.
32:39
I, I don't think there's, there's anything that lea- would lead me to believe the way that they won at FCS would have to change that, all that drastically on a move up to the Mountain West.
32:49
If we were talking about going to a bigger, bigger league, absolutely. But the Mountain West is good. I, it's a transitional league right now. Mm-hmm.
32:56
It's somewhere for players who were at big schools to get a chance to play on the way out because they didn't ha- they didn't-- they either lost that opportunity, lost a job, or didn't have it wherever they were.
33:06
Or it's a place for someone to show up and shine early and make it, make more money and get the bag at another school down the road.
33:11
At North Dakota State, those kids are built to go there, and th- they're gonna be able to be pretty good year one. Yeah. I would think so, too. They dominated FCS for so long. What's the, uh...
33:19
I, I think I could name a combined, like, six teams in the Mountain West and Pac-12 now. Well, the Pac-12 is the one. Like, how many p- how many teams are we in the Pac-12? Well, Boise's the favorite in the Pac-12.
33:28
That's- I mean- Sure. You got- That's why the Mountain West is wide open. UNLV's the favorite- Right... at plus 260. I love Dan Mullen. I, I can't bet it at plus 260. Yeah. San Diego State's in the Pac-12 now.
33:39
Fresno's in the Pac-12. Utah State's moved to the Pac-12. Uh, Washington State is in the Pac-12. Oregon State. So it's like, it, it's, it's a very... We're in a constantly evolving college football world these days.
33:52
Yeah. All right. We get tweets- Very true... @dustinswedelson, @kellybidlin, @vsinthelive. We, we should mention, I know you were tweeting back and forth to our guy, Colin Murphy. Not everyone forgot about Cam this week.
34:01
He's on a little bit of cam. Boom. So congratulations. Well, I don't wanna say congratulations, but nice call thus far, Mr. Murphy. All right. Darren Frazier. I always wanna call him, like, Brendan Fraser.
34:12
Darren Frazier. [laughs] "Dustin, Kelly, just two bearded bros talking shop on a Fezzik Friday." You guys are great together. Does Fezzik know this is better than fireworks to make some money this weekend, boys?
34:22
Uh- Thanks, Darren... Fezzik doesn't like fireworks? No. Fezzik is obsessed with fireworks. Like, like the childlike love of fireworks. He's sh- I'm, I'm trying to dance around this without being offensive.
34:34
He loves math, too. [laughs] Like, he's just kind of a nerd for things. I don't know how to explain this better, but- [laughs]... all this sort of tracks that he's mesmerized by fireworks. Okay. All right.
34:45
[laughs] I think he's into trains as well. Yeah. Do, uh... Yeah, yeah, yeah. He, he always takes off July 4th. He's never coming in. He, he wasn't coming in on July 4th. He's always got big fireworks for that.
34:54
But then he's al-... He is the biggest proponent of the downtown fireworks. Well, those are great. Like, I think they're ev- like, every week during the summer, right? First Fridays. Yeah, yeah.
35:02
Fezzik's here every Friday watching. Is it only the summer? I feel like it might be year-round. I thought it was just during the summer. Yeah. I, I- But I don't know... I think it might be year-round. I, yeah.
35:09
I've, I've been there a time or two. Sometimes intentionally, sometimes accidentally. But it's a, it's a good time. [laughs] Sometimes accidentally. Yeah. Yeah. Sometimes you're just like, "Oh, I'm here.
35:18
It is a First Friday." Yeah. "They are doing fireworks." That makes sense. If I end up downtown late on a Friday or Saturday night, it's usually by accident, too.
35:26
By the way, is the concert tour happening right now, the, the outdoor...? Do, are they doing that this year? Yeah. That's a great question.
35:31
I would assume yes, but I- I've been out of town so much, I haven't kept up with it... I would assume yes, but I do feel like I've seen very little on it.
35:38
If we really don't know what we're talking about, the Fremont Street Experience does these summer concerts- Yeah... for free. You can just hang out. I saw Alien Ant Farm a few years ago.
35:44
It's, it's us- it's names of bands you know. Hoobastank played. I, I'm looking at it right now. Ooh, Lee Brice I missed on May 15th. I love Lee Brice. That stinks. [laughs] I don't know who that is.
35:54
Fuel I missed on June 13th. Fuel. Oh, that would've been a good one. What's the next one? It's July 17th. It's not till August 8th. Mayday Parade- Okay... followed by Story of the Year, Protoje, Protege.
36:06
I'm a dumb person. Um, I don't know who any of those bands are. [laughs] Protoje. It's Protoje. I'm really, really stupid.
36:15
More on the World Cup, and more specifically, the rest of the baseball card forthcoming on A Numbers Game.
36:19
[upbeat rock music] A Numbers Game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
36:43
Back on A Numbers Game, Dustin Swedelson sitting here at the Circus Sportsbook in downtown Las Vegas. That, as always, is Kelly Bidlin, my bearded brother. What's up, dude? What's up, man? How we feeling?
36:54
I'm just learning about Pac-12 and Mountain West Conference. You know what? Texas State. We're, we're all learning. Texas State moving on up. Wow. Well, I would like to know- You know, sort of...
37:04
uh, what part of Texas touches the Pacific. The irony of Boise being in Idaho and being... Right? There's no part of... I, I, I gotta do geography right now. I'm, I'm stupid. Look, I admit I'm stupid.
37:14
That's one thing I want to acknowledge before I say these things. Boise, last time I checked, was landlocked, I believe. Yeah. Like, Washington up there would be the one that borders. California, yeah.
37:24
What are you, what are you saying? It has to be a, a state that's on the water? Well, Pac-12 would imply Pacific, which means the ocean. Sure. You're not there.
37:34
Before I say something dumb, is every, is everybody in the Atlantic Coast Conference? No, Stanford and Cal would be on the Pacific Ocean. [laughs] No. So they've botched this as well.
37:44
[laughs] This is the world we live in. Yeah. I, I think you're getting a little too biggy with the Pac-12. Well, it all, it...
37:48
Allowing them to name the leagues these things and then be factually incorrect, it actually began when the Big 12 had, like, eight teams. Right, right.
37:55
It had 10 teams, and the Big 10 had 12 teams, and it was like, all right, we can just change the name now. We can... W- we've now decided it's called the Big 10, but it, is it 16 teams? How many teams are in the Big 10?
38:05
Who was, who was the first one to screw it up? Was it... No, it wasn't it the Pac-12? 'Cause weren't they, like, 10? They were originally the Pac-8. I know. And then the Pac-10, then they went to 12.
38:15
They act- no, they actually evolved and changed their name. Right. But maybe at the end they didn't? I think they were less than 12. There's a... Yeah, okay, 18 in the Big 10.
38:25
There are just, there are just too many moving parts these days. We're just gonna get to a point where it's the power schools [laughs] and the non-power schools. Yeah. That's what we're getting to. All right.
38:35
Let's get back to the baseball because there are a couple games where I have plays on where I didn't understand the numbers, so I, I bet it, which usually ends up with me looking really weird.
38:43
But, uh, Tigers and Angels, Kelly. Hm. What are you seeing on the line for that one currently? Tigers and Angels. We have the Tigers minus 115 road favorites with Troy Melton on the mound. Angels minus 104 at home.
38:57
This is over at DraftKings. Eight and a half your total. All right, this moved a little, and it's moved in my direction, so I like that.
39:02
Uh, minus 104 I took last night on the Tigers 'cause everything tells me they're surging. Angels are falling apart. Angels have lost 10 of 12.
39:09
Detroit did lose two of three to Philly before the end of the first half, but they'd won nine of 10 before that. Troy Melton, four starts on the road, a 133 ERA,.76 ERA over his last four.
39:21
His strikeout numbers have improved over that time. And while, on the other side, you have Reid Detmers, who's not been in good form. Struggling three of his last four.
39:28
Outside of a run he had in June where he was striking everybody out, uh, he really hasn't been that good this year. 553 ERA over his last five. Worse at home than he is at road. 4-4, 4-7-7 for him.
39:39
In a small sample size, the Tigers 7 to 13 lifetime. That's a 538 average. Two dingers against him. I'm gonna trust the Tigers offense to get to Detmers.
39:48
I'm gonna trust Melton, who's been in awesome form, and may be a reason why they might trade Casey Mize at the deadline to add some pieces to the Tigers. Detroit's 14 and 9 over the last month.
39:58
Uh, the Angels just 29 and 42 straight up against right-handed starters. Reid Detmers against teams that are averaging 4.4 or less runs per game, 2 and 12 straight up. Those teams averaging 4.4.
40:10
Against Detmers, averaging 6.4. He's allowing bad team, or not bad teams, mediocre offenses to average two more runs per game in his starts. Give me Detroit. Better offense, pitcher in better form.
40:23
I think they get, get the win, and I think the number even at minus 115 right now- Yeah... is worth a look. I dig it. I might be joining you on that. Circa here, it's minus 106 too, uh, both ways on that game. Ooh.
40:31
So, yeah, I might be joining you on that one. Uh, okay. We... Last pitch of the night. No, we got... Let's go to this one. Twins and Cubs. Now, this is one you're looking at. This is an 8:05 Eastern first pitch.
40:42
Right now, the, here at Circa, the Cubs minus 134 favorites, Twins plus 120. 10 and a half your total at Wrigley. When it's over, Bailey Ober.
40:53
[laughs] Uh, Bailey Ober's on the bump for Minnesota, and he just pitches to too much contact.
40:59
So if you can identify him in certain match-ups with offenses that you trust to get to him to put the ball in play, I think it's always worth a look.
41:06
The wind blowing slightly out, about eight miles an hour to center field at Wrigley. That's right on the edge of it making a real impact.
41:13
Usually, you're, you're looking for about 10 miles per hour, but we're, we could get there. But even then, eight miles an hour will help you. Hm. And Bailey Ober 766 ERA on the road this year.
41:22
Opponent batting average on the road, 311. So put that into perspective.
41:27
If a hitter faced Bailey Ober when he's on the road for every single at bat of his career, he'd be one of the greatest hitters of all time with a- [laughs]... 311 batting average, okay? That's what we're trying to say.
41:37
32 hits, 24.2 innings pitched. That is more than a hit per inning, obviously. 10 more hits than innings pitched. Lots of contact against Chicago. Their offense has been clicking.
41:47
54 home runs for the Cubbies over their last 36 games. OPS right around 786 the last two months for them. Colin Ray, 272 home ERA. He misses more bats when he's pitching at Wrigley, and he can be competitive.
42:01
Great at Minnesota the last time he saw them early in the year. Seven innings, one earned, three hits, five strikeouts. Minnesota is two games below 500 on the road. They are 30, 14, and 2 to the over.
42:11
I'd consider the over 10 and a half here. Uh, Minne- Minnesota's 11 and 19 interleague. They're 20 and 10 to the over in interleague play. Cubbies 27 and 19 at home, 16 and 6 the last month.
42:22
Ober's record for his team since 2024, 0 and 9 when taking on teams that average more than one and a quarter home runs per game. All of this says fade Bailey Ober.
42:32
Whether that's the Cubs team total, which last I looked I think was five and a half at plus money, I prefer just to lay the 138. Cubs are gonna get the win. Okay, like it.
42:40
And then last pitch of the evening, Los Gigantes at L- Los Mariners. I don't know how to say that in Spanish. Yeah, Mariners is probably the same. Uh, pro- maybe. Maybe. Maybe.
42:50
Mariners minus 167 home favorites with Bryce Miller on the mound. Giants plus 138 total, set at seven. Two offenses that I just don't trust. Mm.
43:00
San Francisco, uh, they took two of three from Colorado before the end of the first half. The Mariners have lost five of six.
43:06
You got Landon Rupp on one sa- side for San Fran off eight innings, three hits, one earned, two walks, five K's verse Toronto. He hasn't been as sharp on the road though, a 4.67 ERA, a 256 opponent batting average.
43:18
Little bit better with the K's though, just over one per inning, 53 in 52 innings. Bryce Miller was not great at Miami in his last go around. Four earned in six innings, four walks, three strikeouts.
43:29
But at home, he's been tremendous this year, a 0.40 home ERA in four starts, 28 strikeouts in 22 and two-thirds innings.
43:37
Because I don't trust either offense, and I think both starter- starters can be really good in this match up, more, more specifically, uh, Miller, I'm a big Bryce Miller guy.
43:46
A lot of the trends I looked at lean towards the over in terms of the match up, but I think this is gonna be an under. I think both offenses don't get going till the middle, late in this game.
43:56
They're gonna run out of room to really put up points on the board, or runs on the board. So I'm gonna go under in this match up between the Giants and the, uh, Mariners at seven. All right, I like it.
44:07
That is where I stand with all of the bets today on the baseball board, board. We'll do three up, three down. We'll tell you who's hot, who's not, as far as Major League Baseball is concerned.
44:16
But wanted to update everyone on this LeBron James situation. Did you see- Oh, he's got a team in Cleveland? He didn't, well, no, he doesn't have a team. Oh, no. Okay. Did you see the quotes making the rounds yesterday?
44:24
I did. I did. Well, for starters- At the Fanatics Fest? Yeah. For starters, we had Pat Riley at the Giannis intro talking about, "We gotta land one more plane here."
44:33
I guess that's referencing LeBron, or maybe it's just referencing another move. Okay, okay. I think that was... I'm glad you brought that one up first. I, I watched a lot of that.
44:41
I, I think, I know that's the easy quote to grab and attach immediately to LeBron, but, like, later in that press conference he s- he was talking about a- how they need to add another big.
44:51
Like, he was going on and on about it. Yeah, I saw that, rim protector.
44:53
So, I'm like, I'm like, I don't think we should automatically jump to those, but Riley was also doing the same old, "Hey, we're playing the same game as everybody else. We're waiting to hear.
45:02
We've been in contact with Rich Paul. Of course, we'd love to have LeBron," yada, yada, yada. Well, I'm looking at the next market for LeBron James, next team market at Cal Sheet.
45:12
Cleveland and Golden State are tied at 33%. Yeah. That is a six-point drop from Cleveland since yesterday. Shout out to Danny Higgins, our producer doing work here. He gave us a little la- uh,
45:25
l- l- l- lowdown, laydown, whatever it wor- whatever the word is. Sure. Uh, shout out to D'Lo Brown, WWE reference, uh, of how these odds have shifted over time.
45:34
So this is the betting odds, and over the last couple days it's kind of been crazy. Cavs pl- from plus 152 up to plus 165, up to plus 181 in the betting market. That was all just yesterday.
45:50
As the Golden State Warriors have come down from plus 207 to plus 198 and at plus 198. Sixers have seemingly pretty much stayed the same. The Heat have actually dropped from plus 528 down to plus 398. Mm.
46:04
It appears a little bit of steam coming in on Golden State and the Heat, but to me, that doesn't feel like sharp action. That's just reaction to people betting in the market, right? Yeah, I think so.
46:13
I, I, I think so, but you, that's all I can say, right? Who knows if there really is... I mean, geez, we talked about, we talked about President Donald Trump's teleprompter guy yesterday. Yeah. Like, who knows?
46:23
Who knows? There might be guys in buildings that know things. Um, eh, this is where we're living at in the, in the prediction market world right now.
46:30
Uh, but I would think this is like we see at most sports books when we talk about these things, movement based off of just headlines in the news, and people wanna get, get involved.
46:40
I, I just, I think this is very wide open. I don't really know. He says he's not gonna hold everybody hostage for much longer. He hasn't, he hasn't made up his final m- uh, decision yet.
46:49
Uh, but he said he's not gonna hold this up too much longer. Sure. We'll see. I really, Dustin, I don't know what to tell you. I think Cleveland is the most likely still at this point.
46:58
No, no, it's, I'll tell you it's Cleveland, because they already... We had a report that he's done 10 years of d- of video footage been recorded for this documentary.
47:06
If you're making this documentary, you have to tell a story. Yeah. And the story is going back home for one last ride, and hopefully one last championship. Who wins the championship in the World Cup?
47:15
Chris Felica breaks it down on the other side of a Numbers Game.
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Recent episodes
A Numbers Game | September 17, 2026 | Hour 1
Sep 17, 2026
Best of A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026
Sep 16, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026 | Hour 3
Sep 16, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026 | Hour 2
Sep 16, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026 | Hour 1
Sep 16, 2026
Best of A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 3
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 2
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 1
Sep 15, 2026
Best of A Numbers Game | September 11, 2026
Sep 11, 2026
