Search
Login
Sign Up
May 1, 2026
A Numbers Game | May 1, 2026 | Hour 1
A Numbers Game | May 1, 2026 | Hour 1
00:00
48:20
1×
Transcript
0:00
Buy smart, drive for less, and trade for more. That's Toyota affordability, and it all starts with a great deal on a truck from your local Toyota dealer.
0:08
Make a smart buy on the off-road-ready Tacoma or half-ton Tundra, two of Toyota's most capable and longest lasting trucks.
0:16
Built with the strength for the tough jobs, the tech to power your next big adventures, and the rugged style for everything in between.
0:22
Or discover Toyota's off-road lineup, including the iconic 4Runner and Land Cruiser, designed to go beyond the everyday.
0:29
And with Toyota's proven reputation for quality and reliability, plus available hybrid power on many models, you can get more for every mile and drive for less along the way.
0:38
And long after you leave the lot, your Toyota keeps delivering with great resale value, so you can trade in for more when you're ready for your next Toyota.
0:47
From a great deal today to a great value tomorrow, a Toyota is right for you. Shop toyota.com for deals and details, or stop by your local Toyota dealer today. Toyota, let's go places.
1:00
We have the tech to get food delivered in 15 minutes, but we all have horror stories about buying tickets. The Gametime app gives fans the advantage. Get amazing tickets in just a few taps.
1:11
Fees are included, so what you see is what you pay, and the Gametime guarantee means authentic tickets at the best price every time.
1:19
Take the guesswork out of buying tickets to concerts, sports, comedy, and more with Gametime. Download the Gametime app and create an account for $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply. This is VSiN,
1:33
the sports betting network. [upbeat music] The numbers told the story, they always do. It's one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a Numbers Game with Gil Alexander on VSiN. Good Friday morning to you.
1:49
It is a Numbers Game at VSiN, the sports betting network, vsin.com, Game Plus, iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, and of course SiriusXM channel 158. Gil Alexander, Kelly Bidlin- Hey... in the hizzy on this great Friday.
2:02
How you doing, man? I'm doing great. How about you? Uh, this is fantastic 'cause we gotta have us a stacked show today. Loaded show, yeah. Low dead Paul Carr on the Prem.
2:12
We will start there after his easy-peasy over in that, uh, Champions League semi earlier in the week. Got there by halftime. Chris Felica, one more appearance, Kentucky Derby and more.
2:23
He's got more to say about the Derby. 152nd Run for the Roses, a little more than 24 hours away. Felica will be here to discuss, as will Drew Dincic live from, we don't know exactly where. The track?
2:37
I, I saw him post a video this morning from the track, so- Yeah, maybe... I'm expecting him to be there. Okay. Hint, hint, Drew. Wink, wink. [laughs] We look forward to that.
2:46
But for, like, that was, you know, th- that would be like three hours before his scheduled spot with us, so I don't know what he'd be doing at that time. I don't know. We'll see. Yeah. Yeah.
2:52
Drew Dincic is in, is in Louisville, that's for sure. Yes. And we believe he's at Churchill Downs. He'll also talk, and w- sh- should we even ask him an NBA question while he's there? He'll be so in horse racing mode.
3:03
Well, you know how Drew goes. Maybe, may be real quick on the way out. Yeah. "Hey Drew, you got 45 seconds." A Colombo kind- "One final thought on the NBA"... a Colombo kind of thing. Yeah. [laughs] "Uh, one more thing."
3:13
And, oh, and Stormy Bonatony is on the show today, co-host of Money Moves. I guess that email worked out. That's right. For those who missed it yesterday, uh, Kelly was, uh, very considerate of Stormy.
3:24
He thought that it would be too early to, uh, text her, so he, uh, he decided he would email [laughs] he would email Stormy- [laughs]... much to my great amusement.
3:32
[laughs] "Dear dearest Stormy," You know what I'm realizing right now? "It is not lost upon me that I seek to contact you at this ungodly hour." Yeah.
3:41
[laughs] I probably should, probably shouldn't be talking about this, 'cause th- there's a lot of other guests I do not, uh, give the same courtesy to. No, that's what I mean. And I'm just ding, ding, ding, wake up.
3:49
That's why [laughs] I'm so- Wake up, Paul Carr, and answer me... [laughs] That's why I think it's so funny that you did with Stormy. "I come to you on bended knee in hopes that you will spend 10-" [laughs]...
3:57
to 12 minutes with us today to discuss a rubber disc flung upon frozen water to what results- Most people are on the East Coast, though... no one knows. I don't feel bad for them. [laughs] You don't feel bad?
4:11
Uh, but most people are on the East Coast. I don't feel bad. I, I try to be cur- a little courteous with Drew Dincic- Yeah... you know, if I text him. But even him, I know he's up early, so it's not that big a deal.
4:20
It's a whole game. It's a whole game. "I humbly await your response. Kind regards, K. Michael Bidlin," producer number nine, so much more than a producer. Well done. "P.S. Behold my weight loss."
4:33
[laughs] That's how I picture that whole thing, and she was like, "Bet I'll do it. Just don't ever email me again." Did they do P.S. back then? "Just don't ever email me again." Did, did they do P.S. back then, though?
4:41
I don't know. Or did, did they write it out, "Post script"? Sounds like a, uh, sounds like a deep dive on P.S. and P.P.S. coming up. That's right. How did that start? Yeah.
4:49
Why couldn't people just put all of their thoughts in the first paragraphs? It's, it's [laughs] somebody one day- [laughs]... just decide, "Oh, by the way, I should add a line." You know what? You know what?
4:58
This actually had to have started back then because it's e- e- it would have never started if you just had the option to delete what you had written already and just rewrite it.
5:06
[laughs] You, you, you, someone clearly wrote something and then was like, "Ah, crap, I forgot." That's what I mean. But it must have been some famous document of some sort- I, I agree...
5:13
and then everybody was like, "Oh, cool, I guess we can P.S. this." Gil and I have gotten to the bottom of the P.S. That's right. Yep. We're done here today. I'm not even gonna look it up. I know we're right.
5:21
Fezzik Fridays as well today on the show. Steve Fezzik, he's got a lot on his mind, and I mean a lot on his mind, from tanking to baseball to what makes a good bettor. All kinds of things on his mind this morning. Yeah.
5:34
And, and he's coming in swim trunks, we're told, 'cause he's going to Circa. He's going to Stadium Swim after the show. Yeah, that's gotta be the lead. Not, not NBA- We start with that... draft lottery thoughts. Yeah.
5:43
No, we start with that. Uh, al- also, he's just screwing with me at this point, right?
5:47
Like, these texts get longer every Friday, and you realize that, like, y- y- what I, what I try to do for our audience is to make sure I've got all of the guests' bets prepared and in our nice graphic.
5:59
And Steve likes to bury what his bets are in the middle of the, of the seven texts in, you know, in the longest paragraph. So it's like a little Easter egg. Yeah. I, he, it, it's like it's required reading. You know?
6:10
It's like the, uh, give the playbook with the $100 bill at the end, like, to test if you read through it all, so it makes me read through every single word he has. I'll work it out. Yeah.
6:19
It'll, it'll come out okay once, once, once it's in the wash a couple hours from now. So all of that on the show today.
6:24
Uh, we started out yesterday by saying, you know, this amazing NBA playoffs and, and NHL postseason, and just in terms of the Stanley Cup playoffs, just in terms of how it's worked out where we had two sweeps in the NHL
6:36
with Colorado and Carolina, and we had a sweep with OKC and then a four to one win with the Spurs in the NBA. And then everything else in both hockey and basketball s- game sixes across the board.
6:49
Six of them in the NHL, six of them in, in, in the NBA. How many would get to game seven? Well, we had our first answer before yesterday, which was, well, the Flyers didn't let the Penguins push it to a game seven.
6:59
We had two more hockey games [laughs] two more games last night, uh, Kelly, where the Ducks didn't, didn't let the Oilers get it to a game seven, and the Wild didn't let the Stars get it to a game seven.
7:09
And then we had three NBA games, and only one of those three gets to a game seven, and it's probably not the one you would've predicted, I'm guessing. Yep. Maybe. Maybe not. Maybe you would've.
7:20
Uh, but this was just, uh... And we'll do them in chronological order, but this was
7:25
from, from just the blowout of all blowouts to what drama in Minnesota, beginning with the historic blowout of the Atlanta Hawks over, or excuse me, the Atlanta Hawks getting blown out by the New York Knicks.
7:37
Uh, Atlanta led this game 11 to nine. This is game six in Atlanta. Atlanta needed it to force a game seven. 11 to nine Atlanta. New York then closes out the first quarter on a 31 to four run. 31 to four.
7:54
Uh, they start the second quarter 22 to four. That's a 53 to eight run. They led by 43, 62 to 19. They led by as many as 51,
8:06
76 to 25 and 78 to 27, then 83 to 36 at the half, the largest halftime lead in NBA playoff history. I, Kelly, slept through most of the first half.
8:16
When I woke up, I was, had the Sixers game on, and I looked at the bug in the top right corner, and I had to squint. I was like, "That can't be right." Yeah, you didn't believe it. I, that can't be right. Yeah, exactly.
8:24
It, it was... Gil, just to catch you up, I, I, I don't, I don't remember that big of an ass whooping in the first half. And the, and the numbers back it up. Well, because it's historic.
8:34
But it was- You couldn't have remembered it. Right. Exactly. Yeah. It was, it was like watching...
8:37
You ever go to, like, one of those, like, high school basketball games where you're like, [laughs] "All right," like, "there's, there's a couple college prospects here." Yeah.
8:43
"And then there's, like, nobodies on the other..." It literally looked like... I mean, OG Anunoby looked like Michael Jordan out there.
8:49
OG, OG Anunoby led the Knicks, uh, in scoring in the game as a, as a matter of fact, with 29. Uh, but then the, the Hawks, the first 13 minutes of the game, the Hawks had 12 turnovers. Oh, man. Span of 13 minutes. Yes.
9:01
Uh, okay. So here's, here's the math on this. There have been 4,550 playoff games in the history of the NBA to that point, 9,099 teams, in other words, the Hawks performed worse than in the first half.
9:13
There have been 37,964 games that have been played in the NBA since the '96-'97 season, regular season and playoffs. The Knicks-Hawks was the first game where the road team scored 100 points before the home team had 50.
9:27
You could go on and on. Yeah, yeah. Jonathan Kuminga was minus 40 in his first 12 minutes on the court. He was minus 44 for 22. In 12 minutes. [laughs] That's hilarious. Minus 40 in 12 minutes. Yeah, in 12 minutes.
9:38
Anyway, third quarter, the, uh, the Knicks scored the first 10 of that half, 93 to 36. They led by 61, the largest lead in a playoff game in the play by play era. 99, 38 and 101 to 40.
9:52
And the Hawks would never get it closer than 49 the rest of the way. [laughs] What a, this is amazing. 117, 64 after three. Final score, 140 to 89. That's it. Knicks shot 58.8% for the field.
10:05
They had 15 steals, and Atlanta had 19 turnovers. What kind of league is this, Kelly? What is this? Oh, just an ass whooping. It, the Knicks, it, it, look, no, it's, it's... What kind of league is this?
10:15
What kind of team is this, right? The, i- if you're a Knicks fan, this type of game, you just won a playoff series, and I would assume you are frustrated as hell.
10:25
Because you watch OG Anunoby and Mikal Bridges, who you have paid so much money and so many draft picks for, actually go out there and play great games.
10:34
And whenever you see this, Gil, you sit back and you say, "Why can't this team do this more consistently?
10:38
If you have these two guys doing this, Karl-Anthony Towns doing what we know he can do, and Jalen Brunson being one of the best closers and best players in the league, why isn't this team better more consistently?"
10:50
Uh, let's close the book on the Hawks. They lose by 51. They were down by as many as 61. We just talked about all the records. Still an, still a positive season for the Hawks? Oof. That huge end to the regular season.
11:02
You know what? I mean, ob- obviously for just that team going forward with the end of the, end of the s- regular season- Yeah, I think so... you gotta feel good on h- how the season ended.
11:10
I, I question some of the moves still and how it sets up for the future. Uh, but, you know, that's a problem to deal with down the road. Not the end of the end, but the end of the season was great. Mm-hmm.
11:20
The end of the regular season. Mm-hmm. Not this last game, obviously. Um, the interesting thing about the Hawks, though, is- I would've liked one more win, though, Atlanta [laughs] For your bet?
11:28
What'd your, what was your bet? I had a win total. I had a win total that fell one win short. Oh, that's right. Yeah. Yeah. Well. You should probably never have been in that to begin with, but yes, they teased you.
11:35
The interesting thing with the- Yeah... the interesting thing with the Hawks is they have to re-sign Kuminga. Kuminga was really good for them. They have to get that done, and probably C.J. McCollum as well. Yeah.
11:46
[laughs] So- You know, I-... I don't know if it continues, right? It, it, true. We don't know. I think there's a lot of questions. And w- like, I mean, we're gonna get to Denver where there's even more questions.
11:54
But there's, I think there are these teams in the East, this, uh, this, this roster's not good enough. And how do you make it, to get it one step, two steps better? It, that's the big question I think they face.
12:05
Here's a question for you And we'll get to this game next after the break. But who do the Knicks, if I gave all the Knicks truth serum, who do they wanna play? Do they wanna play the Celtics or the Sixers?
12:15
That is- This is a great question... that, a great question. Yes. A great question.
12:19
I said to Chris Foster, Chris Foster and I were talking, um, in the back before the show, and said if Phil- if Philly beats Boston, like, I think, I think the Eastern con- I think the, the, the winner of Sixers-Knicks is in the NBA finals.
12:35
The Sixer- if they... 'Cause that means the Sixers stayed healthy enough to beat the Knicks. But let's get to the q- but let's get to that question, though.
12:41
The question of, do you want a Sixers team that will have beaten Boston that all of a sudden has Embiid back and is playing at this level? Yeah. Or would you rather play a Celtics team that is potluck from game to game?
12:55
So I would... I mean, I would s- if they have to answer that question or I have to answer that question right now, I'm saying Boston because- Right... I don't know what the status is of Jason Tatum. He says he's okay.
13:03
I think he's gonna be okay too, but you gonna push that with him? It's pretty, pretty interesting with that series. Yeah. We'll get to that. We'll get to the Nuggets and the T-Wolves on the other side.
13:15
Man, that was a blowout of all blowouts, but still fascinating, the whole night in the NBA. Coming back on a numbers game at VSiN, the sports betting network. [upbeat rock music] You're here because you want an edge.
13:32
That's what separates listeners from winners. But let's be real. Mindset alone doesn't get bets home. Pros win because they've got the tools, the data, and the discipline, and now so can you.
13:41
VSiN Pro gives you access to the same real-time insights the sharps use. No secrets, no fluff, just actionable info that moves markets.
13:49
Tap the link and see why serious bettors are turning knowledge into profit with VSiN Pro. Buy smart, drive for less, and trade for more.
14:00
That's Toyota affordability, and it all starts with a great deal on a truck from your local Toyota dealer.
14:06
Make a smart buy on the off-road ready Tacoma or half-ton Tundra, two of Toyota's most capable and longest lasting trucks.
14:13
Built with the strength for the tough jobs, the tech to power your next big adventures, and the rugged style for everything in between.
14:19
Or discover Toyota's off-road lineup, including the iconic 4Runner and Land Cruiser, designed to go beyond the everyday.
14:26
And with Toyota's proven reputation for quality and reliability, plus available hybrid power on many models, you can get more for every mile and drive for less along the way.
14:36
And long after you leave the lot, your Toyota keeps delivering with great resale value, so you can trade in for more when you're ready for your next Toyota.
14:44
From a great deal today to a great value tomorrow, a Toyota is right for you. Shop toyota.com for deals and details, or stop by your local Toyota dealer today. Toyota, let's go places.
14:57
We have the tech to get food delivered in 15 minutes, but we all have horror stories about buying tickets. The Game Time app gives fans the advantage. Get amazing tickets in just a few taps.
15:08
Fees are included, so what you see is what you pay, and the Game Time guarantee means authentic tickets at the best price every time.
15:16
Take the guesswork out of buying tickets to concerts, sports, comedy, and more with Game Time. Download the Game Time app and create an account for $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply.
15:27
[upbeat rock music] A numbers game on VSiN, the sports betting network. Don't forget about the website and everything on vsin.com. Kentucky Oaks and Friday best bets. Greg Peterson's MLB best bets.
15:44
The Worth 400 simulation as well on the website. Coming up today, Zach Cohen's NBA best bets, Jonathan Davis's best NHL plays and props, and the Kentucky Derby guide and best bets still available on the website.
15:56
Get 14 months of VSiN Pro for only $199 with promo code PRO, P-R-O. Check it out at vsin.com/subscribe. Remember Brady used to call people pro? He's like, "Gotcha, gotcha, pro." Remember that? Who?
16:11
Brady- Brady, Brady Cannon used to say that. Dude, that was his thing. Oh, okay. I was like, "Tom Brady?" Pro. Brady Cannon, yeah. Not bro, pro he used to say. I thought I saw Brady Cannon the other day. Did you?
16:18
Why'd you say hi? No, no, it was one of those, like, do you ever see people across the casino and they're, like, walking, like, they're...
16:23
I wasn't gonna run after him like, uh, 200 yards, but I was like, "I think that's Brady Cannon." I had that with, uh, uh, in the parking lot the other day. Love Brady Cannon. In the parking lot the other day.
16:31
I was like, "Is that Mike Palmer?" I was like, I couldn't really recognize it was Mike Palmer. I drove away. And then you're like, you're on your way out. Yeah. Oh, I'm out of here anyway. Yeah, yeah.
16:38
All right, game two last night, speaking of the Celtics. Celtics, this is the one that goes to seven.
16:43
The only one of the hockey games and the basketball games that goes to seven of all the game sixes yesterday and the day before. Celtics led by as many as seven in the second quarter, by three twenty...
16:53
Excuse me, the first quarter, pardon me. By three, 23 to 20 at the end of the quarter. Second quarter, Sixers took over at 30 to 29 and never trailed again.
17:02
Led by as many as 12 in the second quarter, by nine at the half. Third quarter, kept going from there. Led by as many as 21, by 19 at the end of the third, 82 to 63, and then they led by 23, 88 to 65.
17:14
Boston did get within 12 after an 11 to nothing run, but never closer than that. 106-93 Philly. Tyrese Maxey with 30. Embiid two assists shy of a triple-double. 19, 10, and 8.
17:28
And what's always the story with Boston when they lose? Three-point shoot. 12, 12 of 41 from behind the arc. You got three, the three losses. 29.3%. The three losses sub 30% from three. Yeah.
17:42
You know, usually we just, we always joke how you can't bet the Celtics to sweep. They're gonna mess around and have one of these game. You got three now, three, where you're 26, 28, 29% from three.
17:52
It's kinda, kinda back and white. It's a problem. Yeah. It's a problem. This will be the 100 and... This is per ESPN. This will be the 156th game seven in NBA history. 156th. Boston- Really? Yeah.
18:07
Do you think- I feel like every time I hear these stats, I think there's gonna be more. Yeah. Not that many, huh? Yeah. Uh, Boston went up three to one in a game seven ensues. 32 and 0 straight up in game seven.
18:19
Philadelphia went down three to one in a game seven in Suez- Real bad. [laughs] 0 and 18- I didn't know it was 0 and 18 they were in bad... lifetime. Something's gotta give. It, it... What, Sixers...
18:31
I put it, put it on now. Or, or maybe it doesn't have to give. Sixers, uh, re- have not beaten the Celtics, uh, in the playoffs in about 40 years or something like that. I just, I just wanna say this.
18:40
My, here's my thing, going into game seven, Celtics at home. I have a Celtics Spurs NBA finals matchup. I would not be surprised if the Sixers won the game, and I would not be surprised if the Celtics won by 30.
18:55
Yeah, rec- I agree. La- last time the Celtics eliminated, or the 76ers eliminated the Celtics in the postseason was in 1982. That's how long it's been. Last time the Sixers, that was, uh, Moses Malone.
19:05
Knocked out the Celtics, yeah. Yeah. So, um, I completely agree with you. Was that the first year of Malone, or, or was that the- I'm not sure... the year prior to Malone? Sixers won the championship in '83. Oh, oh.
19:17
That's it. I don't know. Um, th- but that's, I mean, that's when... I mean, I'm a child at that point. Okay, so the eights are gone. I was staring hard at this on open at eight.
19:27
Like, man, Sixers plus eight, like this is- Yeah... if you've got Tatum kind of banged up or limited, you don't know what you're getting. Seven and a half-ish right now.
19:34
It's seven and a half per everywhere on my screen right now. Yeah. Seven and a half, 206 and a half. Gil, there's no, there's no way I'd lay it. You can't lay it. Can't lay it. Nope. Can't lay it.
19:44
But to your point, I think if you're betting Sixers, this is where, no matter how you, you usually split up how you bet spread and money line.
19:52
I would be going a little bit heavier on the money line, to your point, than I usually do, because yeah, if it's a Celtics no-show from three-point land- Yeah... this could easily be a Sixers win.
20:02
Let's pin, pin the thought on the Celtics, 'cause I have, I have to come back to this. Yeah. Contrast it with something in the T-Wolves game. The g- the big game last night, I think the biggest- Mm-hmm... of course.
20:11
The T-Wolves eliminate the Nuggets. Nuggets, by most people's rankings, the third-best team in the NBA behind OKC and San Anton. This guy, yep. First quarter, Nuggets by five.
20:24
That would be their biggest lead of the game. T-Wolves led by as many as six, Nuggets up by one at the end of the first quarter.
20:29
Second quarter back and forth till at 42 to 41 Denver, Minnesota with a 12 to two spurt to go up 53 to 42. Biggest lead of the game at that point. They led by seven at the half.
20:38
Now, third quarter, Nuggets tie it up at 67, 67 and 69, 69. They have chances to lead both times with the ball, but on one occasion, McDaniels steals it from Brown, and Jokic then misses a three in the next one.
20:51
T-Wolves put it back to 82 to 74 by the end of the quarter. Nuggets come again. They cut it to eight. This is the fourth quarter now. They cut it to 86, 85 and 88, 87. That's 88, 87 with just under eight minutes left.
21:03
But a Reid, a Naz Reid splash three keeps Denver at arm's length again, 93, 88. Shannon, by the way, Terrence Shannon Jr., remember that final year at Illinois how great he was? Sh- welcome to the NBA.
21:14
He hits a touch three when the shot clock is going down. Oh, Gobert with this unbelievable pass- Mm-hmm... whip pass around the defender to Shannon.
21:22
Hits a touch three to make it 96, 88 with under six minutes left to play. Minnesota 98, 93 now. Jokic hits Gobert in the face. Rudy hits Murray in the face. Neither is called.
21:32
They call a push in the back, called on Gobert. 98, 95, Minnesota hanging on by a thread with less than five minutes to go. But no one really scores much from there.
21:42
So we go to under two minutes left, and instead of 98, 95, it's only 100 to 97 at that point. Less than two minutes to go. Shannon Jr. lay up high off the backboard, and one. 103, 97. Cam Johnson fouled with 1:27 left.
21:54
He hits one of two. It's 103, 98 Minnesota. McDaniels with the size advantage on Murray from 19, bang. 105, 98 with 1:06 left. That was the real dagger. At that point, he had 30.
22:06
Then Jokic throws it away, stolen by McDaniels, ahead to Randall who's fouled. Hits first, misses second, but Gobert rebounds, is fouled, makes them both. 108, 98 with 55.6 seconds left.
22:15
It's their largest lead of the game. All said and done, Denver had one field goal made in the last 8:05. You ain't winning games that way. Your best offense in the NBA. The best offense in the NBA. Academic from there.
22:31
110, 98 Minnesota. They did it without Anthony Edwards. They did it without Dante DiVincenzo. They did it without Ayo Dosunmu, who was a scratch yesterday. They did it without Kyle Anderson, who was sick.
22:42
The T-Wolves take down what many felt, as I mentioned, was the best team, or excuse, the best team in the NBA not named OKC and San Antonio. They had won 12 straight, Denver had, to close the regular season,
22:55
and now T- w- the T-Wolves advance to take on the Spurs in the conference semifinals. What a win, and they do it with eight players in their rotation. Eight. That's it. McDaniels, 32 and 10.
23:08
Shannon Jr., 24 out of nowhere. Gobert, two assists shy of a triple-double. Rudy Gobert went 10, 13, and eight. He's never had eight in a game before, to my knowledge.
23:20
And the defense on Jokic was unbelievable from Rudy Gobert. Let us give him his, his props. Mm-hmm. Um, uh, Jokic, 28, nine, and 10, a rebound shy of a triple-double in defeat.
23:32
Uh, the T-Wolves out-boarded the Nuggets 50 to 33. They had 19 offensive boards, a plus 82 paint point advantage in this series. That Aaron Gordon injury really hurt the Nuggets it would, you would think.
23:46
What a s- what a game, what a series. Sorry about your Nuggets, any Nuggets tickets you had. Um- Oh, those were toast already. I just took long, uh, longer shots of them to win in five and six, so those are dead.
23:58
Can I make a... No, no. Going back to the Celtics for a second. Joe Mazzulla, we're g- we're gonna announce the NBA Coach of the Year next week, and Joe Mazzulla, according to many, is the presumptive
24:08
NBA Coach of the Year, right? People think he's gonna win this. Mm-hmm. He was the m- favorite in the betting market at the end over Bickerstaff. Think so, yeah.
24:15
Joe Mazzulla can't coach his way out of anything with these Celtics They play the same way every single game, right? We've talked about it on this show for, for years. Mm-hmm. They shoot the ball from three.
24:26
Sometimes they shoot a, a bunch of them that go in the hoop. A lot of times they shoot and they don't go in the hoop. And you can really determine if the Celtics are gonna win or lose simply based on this alone.
24:35
There is no changeup to their game. Mazzulla doesn't seem to be able to get them to change their behavior in any way whatsoever, and that dude's the NBA Coach of the Year?
24:45
As opposed to Chris Finch, the head coach of the Minnesota Timberwolves, who got Ayo Dosunmu out of nowhere to have this monster masterpiece the other day. Yesterday it was Taryn Shannon Jr.
24:58
who just comes off the bench and has this monster masterpiece from him. Maybe not quite the masterpiece Dosunmu, uh, Dosunmu did. How is that guy not a better coach than Joe Mazzulla? Yeah.
25:10
That's amazing what the Tim- what the Timberwolves were able to do, that those guys were ready to go for all of these games. Yeah, a regular season award, right?
25:19
Like that, that's, that's- But why d- but why does he get that for the regular season? Why? 'Cause, 'cause of the roster turnover and not having Jayson Tatum for that long, and winning as many games as they did.
25:26
He's a garbage coach. He's a garbage coach. I mean, is this a, is this a pro Chris Finch or an anti Joe Mazzulla? It's both. Okay. It's both. I'm j- I'm- 'Cause I, I think Cr- Minnesota...
25:34
I, it's both in the same d- it's exactly, exactly what I intend to communicate, which is this guy has these players playing outstanding. This guy can't adjust whatsoever.
25:43
So the, I wou- I would say remove Minnesota regular season, post-season thoughts though. I, regular season it, they would still, they underwhelmed. They were an underwhelming team in the regular season.
25:52
They were never consistent. They should've been much better. They, honest, the, the talent on that team, I think they should've had a better regular season than they did.
25:59
It's not like we, it's not like this is the first year we've seen Chris Finch be a great coach. They get, no, they get to the playoffs. Yeah. And I'm with you, man. Like, I'm with- in the playoffs, they're a beast.
26:07
That- And to your point, not the first year we've seen this... that dude's the Coach of the Year? Stop it. Stop it. Might be the worst coach I've ever seen at the NBA level. How can you not adjust?
26:20
You have no adjustments to this? Sorry. Paul Carr, soccer, next. [upbeat music] A numbers game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
26:36
Back on the numbers game live from Circa Resort Casino in downtown Las Vegas. Gil Alexander, Kelly Billy. Kelly, did you do the, uh, podcast yesterday for our buddies over there at- I did... Just Win bets Baby? I did.
26:47
I had a great time with the guys. Good. Yeah. Oh. Made, made- Hang out with Joe, talked about, uh, VSiN and kind of how it's got started, and everything that we do here and- Oh, very cool... have done here.
26:56
And, um, then we talked a lot of NBA. It was great. Awesome. Justwinbetsbaby.com. Check out, uh, check out all their stuff over there, uh, on their website.
27:07
And, uh, maybe later we'll put it on s- on the QR code up on the screen. Yeah. We'll see. Yeah, we will. Okay. Um, ladies and gentlemen, first of all, oh, let's read some tweets here before we get to Paul.
27:15
We get tweets, beating the book. Robert Schwartz, "Happy Friday. Did you see that the US Senate voted unanimously yesterday to bar senators and their staffs from trading on prediction markets?
27:25
With all the confidential information they receive, def the right move in my humble opinion." Robert, 100% the right move. Uh, there's too much insider trading there, you know- Yeah...
27:33
anyway, but, uh, the, the, what I'm, what I'm can't help but think by what you're saying also and by that move is they think, they're naive enough to think, "Well, we solved that.
27:44
None of the, none of the politicians can do this, and we just passed a law." All the politicians do is just, like, whisper it to one of their buddies and it happens. I mean, that's, that's the obvious thing.
27:52
But yes, absolutely that should, that legislation should be there. Andrew McClenahan, "Got the Mariners at 11 to one on DraftKings for a grand total of one American dollar and 16 cents." Jeez.
28:03
Oh, he's talking about May most wins. Sorry about that, Andrew.
28:06
PK Mountain Steel, "Not that Gil and Kelly need to be working hard to find something to discuss with Fezzik, but this headline of Starbucks CEO calling $9 coffee, quote, affordable premium experience, unquote," [laughs] "...
28:16
does scream Fezzik commentary. Happy Friday, gentlemen." You ta- you too, PK. [laughs] Is that really a real thing? There's no way that's a real thing. I- Affor- afforda- what was the quote? Affordable convenient?
28:25
Affordable premium experience. Wow. Let's fact check that- Yeah... see if that's correct. Buddhist man, "How on earth can the dapper looking fellow see the back stretch without binos or nocs?
28:34
Personally, I think he'd be best off with a spyglass." Talking about the horse racing this week. You know, what is it? Felika has so many picks in horse racing, it's unbelievable. A shout-out for, uh- Yeah...
28:43
uh, to Brad from Iowa again for sending me that spyglass. You know what I realized yesterday, though? Like, I need a spyglass for the show for, for a prop for the studio.
28:51
Just to hover over- For things that come up on the show, okay? Okay. Okay. Uh, but that one's too nice, that Brad sent me. Like, I can't leave it, like- It's beautiful... clinking around in my bag. No, can't do it.
29:01
Like, it's on my desk right now. I feel like it needs to be framed or something. He gave you the Rolls Royce of, of spyglasses. Mm-hmm. Pick 10, 8:40 Eastern for the Oaks.
29:08
Seems like it'll get lost with everything else going on at the time. Happens fast. You forget for five minutes, you missed it. We got you covered.
29:14
Adam Stewart, "Was that Gil hosting a Ron Burgundy earlier with that email?" Mark Bono, [laughs] "MLB most wins in May magically showed up this morning on DraftKings. Got your athletics and Seattle choices in.
29:24
A boost was sitting there too, so I got the A's at 42 to one. Have a fantastic Friday show. And what a sports day on tap tomorrow." Mark from Philly.
29:31
Mark, just to be clear, athletics was the closest I got to betting without betting it. Mariners is the bet. Um, might have moved that, uh, might have moved that athletics one as well.
29:40
Uh, SoCal Fantasy, "A rubber disc flung across frozen water. Such sweet poetry in this waking hour." Thank you.
29:45
[laughs] Cycon, "Wait, so Kelly can say, uh, a blank whooping on the radio referring to the Knicks game, but Gil can't say that variation that I thought he said of asking Crack a question yesterday from my tweet.
29:58
Oh, the hypocrisy." Yeah, he can if he wants. Tim Bowers, "The real question is, are the Knicks fans demanding a banner be raised in honor of last night?"
30:06
Bama Sluggers, "The Captain Andrew Luck intro for Stormy was awesome. Please use that voice when she's on today." [laughs] I don't think, no, I'm not doing that. Threw her a whole segment.
30:13
I, I ran into her on the way out yesterday too. Like, had to explain why we were, why there were tweets going around about her and me- [laughs]... even be emailing her.
30:20
LFC Title Records, "As a Minnesota sports fan, last night was one of the greatest nights ever. Twins win-" Then the Wild and Wolves win, advancing them both in the playoffs. All of this without a Minnesota Viking arrest.
30:30
That's a good point. Minky Monkey Man, "Boys, I'm done betting the NBA. Took the Hawks plus 48 and a half in the third quarter. They can't possibly l- lose by 50, right?" Wrong. The madness of it all.
30:41
Have a great weekend. You too. B Earl Nelson, "Glad Tatum said he's okay. Unfortunately, I had him closing out a fat parlay last night. 15 plus boards and assists. He walked off the court at 14."
30:52
And just one more here because we wanna get to Paul. I don't... Scott New York Mets 16, "I don't understand your tweet."
30:57
Fred Leonard, "Sixers beat the Celts on the back of the great Andrew Luck, AKA the Boston Strangler." Yeah, 1982. Oh, Andrew Toney. Did I say Andrew Luck? Andrew Toney. Mark Iveroni, "Remember that intro?
31:10
Philly back in the day." I know Paul Carr does. Paul Carr joins us now, courtesy of the Progressive Guest Line, to discuss some Prem,
31:17
coming off the heels of his easy-peasy Champions League over the other day in the PSG game. How you doing, Paul? I'm good.
31:24
Yo, what is it about, you know, you nail a bet like that and, A, you're excited, and B, you're like, "Why didn't I take over four and a half?" Yeah. Should've been more. Why didn't I take over five and a half?
31:32
Like, the, the handicap was there. Well, I did the four and a half, right, during the game, but then I was like, "Oh, boy, seven and a half. I, no, I can't do that. They can't score that many."
31:41
[laughs] I mean, I think most people had that reaction. Um- Yeah... that was unbelievable. Five to four PSG advances. You had your over. You're over three and a half, not only in the first half, but with time to spare.
31:54
Yeah. Well done. Well done on that. Yeah, that's always f- it's always fun when the game plays out exactly as you think, and the goals actually go in. That's right.
32:00
Sometimes you get the exact, like, "This is exactly what I thought would happen," and it just... Like the second, the other one, you know? I had Athletic go to win.
32:06
Didn't quite work out, but it was the kind of game that y- with that price, you wanna play Athletic go to win. Yeah. So it's always fun when it's a nice easy win there. All right. We got the Prem this weekend.
32:16
You got a couple games. Yeah. What, what are you looking at? Uh, I'm gonna start just by pointing out the title odds here. Like, so they're- Oh, yeah. Let's start there...
32:22
I've got things as minus 110 for Arsenal, minus 110 for City, so- Why did that happen? What that says is... Yeah. Um, I mean, City won a game, one extra game.
32:32
They still have a game in hand, and they're three points behind. It's basically City just has one more game to play, so, you know- Okay... five instead of four is significant at this point, and the schedule's harder.
32:43
Like, they have three top half teams left. They're all in the top 13 or 14, and Arsenal's are all, like, 10th place or lower. So it's just a combo of one more game plus a tougher schedule.
32:52
Uh, so that indicates they, they think City's a little bit better on the whole. But was that the- But the road's just a little bit harder...
32:57
was that not the kind of the exact same situation when the odds dramatically shifted though just a couple games ago? I mean, Cit- City was favored for a little while at minus- Yeah... I forget.
33:07
It was, I thought it was closer, minus 150, minus 130, something in that range. So I was a little surprised it shifted back because the only thing that really changed is City beat a terrible Burnley team.
33:16
But I guess, you know, everything just gets under the microscope when you're down to, you know, four and five games left- Yeah... in the season. Yeah. All right, Arsenal with the, uh, three-point advantage.
33:24
Again, uh, one fewer game to play for Arsenal than Man City. So this is, uh... And then, and then in a tie for the American sports fan, if they tie at the end, it's, that's it, right? It's just a tie. Co-winners?
33:36
Uh, no, it'll go to, it'll go to goal difference, so that's the- Oh, goal difference it'll go to... thing. Yeah. And that's- So that's something to factor in- Right, but what if-... all these games the rest of the way...
33:43
but it's 38 to 37 in goal difference. What if that is tied? Right. Uh, then I believe it's goals scored, and then it would be head-to-head, which is advantage City, if I'm not mistaken.
33:54
Is advantage City, 'cause City is- The dream scenario- Yeah... is they're level on all those things, and then it's a one-game playoff. Which has never happened, I'm guessing. No. No. I mean- Yeah...
34:03
I mean, it's almost impossible, just the math of it all, but it would be unbelievable to have a one-game playoff for the Premier League title.
34:09
Well, it's very possible that the points will end up, will end up tied, and it's very possible the goal differential will end up tied. Yeah. Goals scored right now, Man City with one fewer game is up 66, 64.
34:21
So Arsenal would have some work to do to- Yeah... knock that column up. Man, that's what I'm rooting for now. Yeah.
34:27
Yeah, is this just, like, Erling hauling, uh, Erling Haaland goal, uh, every game that he plays in, uh, Paul? I mean, like- I mean, yeah... they have to score.
34:34
And, and it's one of those, right, and you wanna, you wanna bet the spread or something 'cause you figure City or Arsenal's gonna try to go for it when they can, which is weird 'cause that's very much not what Arsenal does.
34:45
Like, they get a one-nil lead and sit on it, as we'll touch on in a minute. This is, this could very much be a thing as we approach the end. Yeah, mm-hmm. 'Cause those first two columns very well could tie. Yeah.
34:56
Arsenal's gotta c- put, put a bunch of biscuits in the basket though, uh- Yeah... between now and the end of the season.
35:00
Yeah, I was kind of rooting for the draw when Arsenal played City a couple weeks ago 'cause then they would've been, uh, level head-to-head. Yeah.
35:07
So then if you tie on goal difference, you tie on goals, which is unlikely, but hey, you wanna root for chaos, that's what you... have that possibility of a playoff, which would be- Oh, so wait...
35:15
just one of the craziest games ever. So where does the head-to-head come in the list? You don't, you're not sure? It's after goal difference- Oh... or after goals scored, sorry. Yeah. After goal scored. Okay. So, okay.
35:23
So- Yeah... all right. So we have... That's too bad 'cause that will not be- Yeah... that will not be tied, so we won't get the one game in other words. Correct. Okay. Yeah, City beat them once and they drew once.
35:32
Well, that was two minutes of excitement that, uh, got doused there again. Yeah. [laughs] That's too bad. Okay. Sorry about that. All right. Yeah.
35:38
Two games in the Premier League tomorrow that you have, including Arsenal. What do you got? Yeah. I'm going under two and a half here, Arsenal, Fulham, plus 105. Uh, again, Arsenal wants to win every game one-nil.
35:50
They are not built like City to kinda just keep pressing for more goals on the most part when they get up by one. They'd rather just kinda control the game, kick the ball around, et cetera.
35:59
Uh, defense, again, the defense is still great. It's the best in the world right now. They allow the fewest shots, the few- lowest shot quality in the league. Uh, and Fulham's doesn't take a ton of shots.
36:08
They're in the bottom half in volume, bottom six in quality. And Fulham's kind of slowed down. They were a big over team earlier in the season, but five of the last six have had two or fewer goals.
36:16
Arsenal eked out a one-nil win at home against Newcastle last week. I think this will be similar, one-nil, 1-1. Also might rotate players 'cause they have Champions League next week, so under two and a half plus 105.
36:26
All right. And then Brentford and West Ham. Irons Yeah. West Ham's not safe from relegation yet. They're two points up on Tottenham. Uh, Brentford's in ninth. They still got a shot at a European spot next season.
36:37
I think this game comes down to defending crosses and set pieces, which West Ham is not good at and Brentford is good at. So I'm gonna take the better team at minus 105 for Brentford home win.
36:48
A decent price, 'cause I think the West Ham desperation factor's kicking in a little bit. And then Paul, I know you got one on Sunday we left off our graphic here. Yeah, over three and a half.
36:57
Manchester United, Liverpool plus 120. Uh, injuries on the back line for United. Liverpool might have third string. This doesn't matter too much.
37:03
Both are gonna be top five, so I think it'll be wide open, lots of opportunities, over three and a half plus 120. Kelly Bidlin with the save there. Boom. Graphic save. Well done. I guess. [laughs] Nicely.
37:14
I could've just had the graphic right. A three-pack from Paul Carr. Yeah. Thank you, Paul. Appreciate it, man. You betcha. Have a good weekend. You too. Paul Carr, everybody.
37:23
Coming back, more NBA, NBA finals [upbeat rock music] A numbers game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
37:40
Kelly Bidlin, I'm a man of my word. I promised that, uh, when you mentioned you were on the Just Win Bets Baby podcast, that I'd give them their little QR code here on the screen. There it is.
37:49
Mathematical models, custom AI to find value across major sports, proven track record, futures and long shot winners, picks in English and Spanish, and a weekly live podcast this week featuring Kelly Bidlin, justwinbetsbaby.com.
38:00
We got tweets, speedy the book, Roger Jones @bracco wins, "Thanks guys for twisting the knife and gushing over my bad beat on Atlanta plus 50 in game. What a soul-crushing bad beat."
38:10
Brian Point Schaefer, "Great day in Minnesota yesterday. The Wild, the T-Wolves, the Twins, somewhere up there in heaven, Kirby Puckett and Prince are smiling." You see that, uh,
38:20
Pash and Burke were wearing purple yesterday during the broadcast as well? Oh, I don't know that I caught that actually. Yeah, I caught that.
38:27
Judd O'Connor, they were blasting the Prince in the last minute of that, uh, game last night.
38:30
Judd O'Connor, "Watching the arrogance with Adelman and him mortgaging Jokic in the third to get the lead or tie for his fourth quarter legs proved said or arrogance.
38:38
Denver ceremonies, unceremoniously," pardon me, "Denver unceremoniously fired Malone for less egregious coaching than Adelman did this series."
38:46
I'll tell you, man, we haven't even gotten to the fallout at Denver, but where do you...
38:50
All of a sudden you go from a couple weeks ago feeling like you've got a chance to win an NBA championship to you've got big time questions going forward. Justin, you're so right.
38:59
Just Win Bets Baby says, "Here's the question, even though he wasn't coach of the year, but does Joe Mazzulla beat Jim Zorn as worst coach of all time? I know, different sport." Yeah, Jim Zorn was pretty bad.
39:09
Jim Zorn ran that, uh, fake field goal against the, uh, Giants. I don't know if you remember this. The Skins, Jim Zorn was the coach. Yeah. The Skins lined up in a fake field goal formation
39:18
clearly, like they're telegraphing the pass, not to mix sports there. The Giants call time out. They're like, "Oh, I think that's-" Something's coming... they think they're gonna run a fake field goal. Yeah.
39:27
[laughs] They come back out after the timeout. Jim Zorn has the exact same formation. They try the fake field goal, the Giants destroy it. Yeah. Andy Roberts, "Jeez Gil, worst coach ever?
39:36
Sounds like you laid it with the Celtics last night, LOL. You're the best. Love the show." I did not, Andy. Had nothing, I was not involved in the game. Not involved in the game. Just call it like I see it.
39:45
Keno Walker, "When Gil goes full Tupac, hit him up on the head coach Celtics, you definitely have a problem." A little Tupac referen- reference there.
39:52
Buddhist Man, "With the way Gil just posterized Joe Mazzulla, I had to check and see if he was a descendant of the Mike Krzyzewski coaching tree. As far as I can tell, he is not."
40:01
Shrek McPhee, "Sinner is actually insane. He should be minus 900 to win Roland Garros, making Artur Fils look like Fezzik out there." Oh man. Yeah, Sinner's up in the first set 5-1 in Madrid, Madrid semi.
40:16
So there's that as well. Um, this is from, let's see. Gotta get to Dan Groche's. I just laughed. We're coming to that. Literally laughed.
40:23
PK, PK Mountain Steel did give you the, uh, the uh, evidence, out of touch Starbucks CEO out there. I can confirm it. Yeah. This is a real thing, yeah. Vegas DP, "Did you release your May MLB wins pick?"
40:32
Yes, I did it two days ago. I'm on the Seattle Mariners. Got it at plus 9- 975. It's gonna be lower than that now. Oh, we see an 11 to one here at DraftKings. DraftKings didn't, didn't care.
40:43
It's lower at Circa and it's lower at Caesars, but DraftKings got an 11 to one. Can we show that, uh- Yep, they posted... right, right there on the screen? There you go.
40:50
Dodgers plus 370 at DraftKings are the short shots, should be. They should be the short shot every month. Yankees plus 850, Cubs 10 to one, and there are our Mariners at 11 to one.
41:00
Uh, Mike Karopoulos, the co- point, counter point to the Judd O'Connor tweet about Mike Malone versus, uh- Michael... Michael Malone. Wow. Get very upset about that. [laughs] Does he? Yeah. [laughs] Mike, sorry.
41:13
Sorry Mike. Michael. It's always around Michael Malone jokes. Michael Malone, uh, versus Adelman. He says, "Malone was fired because he lost the locker room. Jokic was tuning out.
41:22
Alfred E," by the way, because Adelman looks exactly like Alfred E. Newman from Mad Magazine. He said, "Alfred E. never won the locker room. Jokic pronounced judgment at the presser.
41:32
Quote, 'In Serbia, everybody would fi- be fired,' unquote." He says, Mike Karopoulos says, "We're waiting, Josh. We still have the best player on the planet in his prime. JMAJP what?"
41:41
But he's a- I'd blow up the whole damn roster. You would? Mike Karopoulos would not. Keep, keep Jokic and I r- I am like, I'm even talking, I, I would consider trading Jamal Murray. I would.
41:50
He had a bad, he had a bad- You need to reset... bad series... you need to reset this entire roster, especially with Aaron Gordon getting older and just so often injured.
41:58
I, I think you need to redesign this around Jokic. PK Mountain Steel, "A one game playoff for the Premier League title? That'd be kind of awesome like the Super Bowl."
42:05
Yeah, but apparently we're not getting that because of the third tiebreaker, head-to-head. I love that their t- their third tiebreaker is head-to-head, or fourth actually.
42:13
Dan Groeschel, "Gil says that was two minutes of excitement we can't get back. My wife, who never listens but stayed home sick from work, shouts from the other room, 'That's what she said.'
42:20
"The Friday energy in my house is absolutely on point." [laughs] Oh man. Oh man. Well done, Mrs. Groeschel. All right, we got tons of those. We gotta, we gotta, wanna, don't wanna over run it with those.
42:31
Let, let's, uh, let's talk about NBA finals MVP for a second. All right NBA Finals MVP. By the way, uh, with the most wins in May, the, uh, the, the postscript to April, March, April, the Cincinnati Reds final, T2.
42:42
Tied for second. That's how close we got. Um, NBA Finals MVP. Would you take a flyer on Joel Embiid at a massive number, knowing that it could be done by tomorrow, right?
42:59
It could be done tomorrow when the Celtics play the Sixers- Yes... in game seven. On the other hand, if somehow the Sixers win that game, it's not like a huge stretch to conceive that.
43:10
Then you could possibly see, well, I mean, the Eastern Conference is lame, right? You could see the Sixers making a run. I believe you said that even earlier- Mm-hmm... on the show. Mm-hmm.
43:17
You could see them making a run, getting to the finals themselves, and then of course, then they're gonna be up against either OKC or the Spurs. I get it, but you're getting Embiid at- 180... 180 to one- At DraftKings...
43:32
at DraftKings. Obviously shop around. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, -110, Victor Wembanyama five to one. By the way, I would say Wembanyama five, five to one is the play. That's it.
43:40
That's all I have to say about this segment. I, if you, I mean, if you, this is all of who do you like, right? Yeah. And you like, you like the Spurs. Yes. In this, and then we often do this with Super Bowl MVP.
43:50
In what world are the Spurs winning a finals and Victor Wembanyama is not the MVP? He would- In a very, very narrow world. He, v- exactly. Yeah. Exactly. So no, I would, if you like the Spurs, absolutely.
44:01
I mean, hey, if you like the Thunder, it's probably gonna be the same thing about Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and hey, guess what? You're actually still getting a little bit better price- And if you like-...
44:09
than to win the finals... and if you like the Celtics, Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum are both 11 to one, and if you like the Cavs, [laughs] Donovan Mitchell's 20 to one.
44:15
22 to one, pardon me, and if you like the Knicks, Jalen Brunson is 25 to one. And if you like the Lakers, Luke is 50 to one and LeBron is 70 to one. So yeah. I just don't know that.
44:25
I, so I can't let, I, I wanna get to the Embiid conversation as I walked in this morning. Chris Foster's talking about it, too. I think, did you, Chris, did you tell me the whole crew bet Joel Embiid this morning?
44:34
Are you sure that was Chris Foster, or was that the other Chris? Yes, no, it was Chris Foster. Oh, okay. Not Chris Johnson. Okay. Okay, Chris Foster. Got it. Our excellent audio engineer. Thank you. Okay? Mm-hmm.
44:41
Um, he- Did he go by anything else or is it just Chris Foster? No, no, he doesn't. That's why he g- just goes by Chris Foster. Okay. The man. That's what he goes by. Okay. Uh. [laughs] The, uh, Joel Embiid 100 to one?
44:51
Like- It's interesting... you just laid out the path. Yeah. You, you, you laid it out. It's not an easy path. Are the odds probably about right? Yeah, probably, but it's a fun ticket to have. Yeah.
45:02
I mean, like, I mean, like this could all be over on Sat- Tomorrow. Yes, tomorrow. Tomorrow it could be over. It's like, uh, it's like, uh, our, uh- And then-... Tagovailoa, uh, uh, Yeah, and that's right...
45:11
Heisman Trophy. And that's right. Or Talia. Talia Tagovailoa Heisman play. And, and even if, even if, you just laid it out. Even if they get past Saturday- Yeah...
45:17
it's not like it's gonna be an eas- easy rest of the Eastern Conference. No. And who- whoever you run into in the, in the finals, you are gonna be a massive dog against. Well, and also Tyrese Maxey exists. Mm-hmm.
45:27
That's true. Even if, even if they win it all, unlike with the Spurs and Wembanyama, unlike with OKC and Shai, there's a real possibility Sixers would win and him not be MVP.
45:37
Which I'm kinda smiling right now 'cause it's the, if you wanted to pull receipts, pull receipts on Kelly, right?
45:42
What I said about this series before it started is if the Sixers were gonna have any chance, then Tyrese Maxey had to be [laughs] the best player in the series. Yeah. [laughs] So there you go. Sorry.
45:50
[laughs] You just, you just talked yourself out of it. Just talked us... [laughs] Uh, to, to counter Kelly's opinion, I call on Kelly Bidlett.
45:56
Oh, we didn't know, at that time I didn't know I was dealing with a healthy Joel Embiid coming back, though. So I do think that does change things.
46:02
Look, man, I think it is of, of, of the longer shots that I would consider, it's, it is the most attractive on the board to me, and it's, it's not even... Well, well, okay.
46:11
I did, I- Okay, I got, actually, no, I found another long shot. I did, I did skip over, if you like the Pistons, Cade Cunningham is 45 to one. I don't wanna be unfair to them as they face
46:21
a game six and game seven against the Orlando Magic. So that's, talk about could be done, could be done twice now already in this first series.
46:31
But just laying out the odds for you, what was the best, what was the better value than Embiid? I'm not saying it's better, but another long shot if you wanted to- Yeah... you know, have a crazy one. Anthony Edwards.
46:42
If you somehow think the Timberwolves- Yeah... are gonna contend and can stay alive against the Spurs, if you get there, he's 200 to one. Because unlike the NCAA tournament, remember, that was a final four bet.
46:56
Remember, it's the two- Correct... it's the two games. Um, it's not just the championship game, nor is it the entire tournament. It's those two. It's that quirky thing to that award. Mm-hmm. Right?
47:06
It's the, it's the semifinals and the final. Yeah, the final four most outstanding player, right? This is simply the best of seven NBA finals. Yeah. So, so y- yes. The, the l- h- long way for the Timberwolves- Yeah...
47:16
to get there, but okay. Yeah. If they got there, that's pro- Anthony Edwards is back. We, we don't know if Anthony Edwards is coming back for the beginning of this Spurs series.
47:23
Do you think they have any chance without him? 'Cause it's kind of close to zero. No. Good, good tra- Yeah... good transition, too. Yeah. So I was looking at those seri- the series numbers this morning.
47:33
Um, like I wanted to see what... The problem is, is that you don't know. So I don't know that I'm not gonna go hammer. May- you might be more interested in this, but I wanted to see what the Spurs sweep price was.
47:43
Spurs 4-1. Yeah. Uh, but the problem is you don't know. You don't know with Anthony Edwards. You don't. You don't know with a lot of these injuries on Minnesota side, so. DiVincenzo's the only one you know. He's out.
47:52
Right, yeah. Yeah. So I, I, I think I'll just be attacking that game to game. I just don't think there's much you could do in the series market because of that.
47:59
If you're interested in Embiid, Nevadazer just tweeted, said, "FanDuel Advocate Skirmish has Embiid at 250 to one." So it's- Yeah, see, like, that's fun. That's more fun. You give me 250 to one on anybody, I'm taking it.
48:11
I'm gonna join my man Foster. I'm gonna bet it. Chris Felica with so many horse picks for you. Huh. I'm not sure it'll fit in the segment. Next.
A Numbers Game
Listen on
Apple Podcasts
Apple Podcasts
Pocket Casts
Pocket Casts
Castro
Castro
Recent episodes
A Numbers Game | September 17, 2026 | Hour 1
Sep 17, 2026
Best of A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026
Sep 16, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026 | Hour 3
Sep 16, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026 | Hour 2
Sep 16, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026 | Hour 1
Sep 16, 2026
Best of A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 3
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 2
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 1
Sep 15, 2026
Best of A Numbers Game | September 11, 2026
Sep 11, 2026
