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Oct 31, 2024
A Numbers Game | October 31, 2024 | Hour 2
A Numbers Game | October 31, 2024 | Hour 2
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Transcript
0:00
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0:24
[upbeat rock music] The numbers tell the story. They always do. You're one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a Numbers Game with Gil Alexander. Convey sin.
0:34
[upbeat rock music] Hour number two of a Numbers Game here on a Thursday. Matt Brown in for Gil Alexander. My partner in crime here, Kelly Bidman, on the desk. We have crowned a World Series champion.
0:46
Cash those Dodgers tickets. Congrats to you. Congrats to all of you who went ahead and got those Freddie Freeman MVP tickets- Yeah... into your account as well. Seemed like free money when it was even money.
0:58
I know it's not sexy. It's not the 30 to one, the 40 to one, all that. It's still money. Mm. Money's money's money. You will take an even money win any day of the week, Kelly Bidman.
1:07
I'm mad that I, I didn't bet it that day when we talked to Adam at Even Money. I'm mad I didn't- Oh... I didn't bet it at the minus 900 even- Oh... just, even if I just won a few bucks. Yeah. I don't care.
1:15
It still seemed like a good, great bet yesterday. What were you thinking? You know what it is? It's the, you're on air and you're doing other thing- I do this constantly, right?
1:24
I do this even when I'm doing a show with opening NFL lines, and I'm going, "Oh, I really like that one," and I'll write it down, and then an hour will have gone by.
1:31
Whoa, whoa, whoa And I go, "How did I not figure out a time to put this into the account?" All right, we're gonna, we're gonna have to clear up some beef here. Yeah.
1:36
So you're telling me during the show you do make a list of bets to make. Yes. And, and in the past you've given me a lot of crap over my bets to make to-do list.
1:46
Well, n- yes, but here- [laughs] But I'm doing this stuff on the fly. Like, you're doing, you're just doing it because, like, you can't do it at the time 'cause you gotta go get a haircut or something or whatever.
1:54
[laughs] Sure, what does it matter? You're like, "I'm going to pick up my dry cleaning, so I gotta remind myself to make these bets later." Correct. Yeah. No, I'm doing, I'm doing, I'm on the fly- I mean, moral-...
2:02
in the middle of a- Yes, most of the time it's still when we're doing shows, yes. All right. Well. But then you get in the habit. Yeah.
2:08
The problem is the habit starts, and then it grows, and then it's like, "Okay, well, yeah, like you said, I gotta go get my dry cleaning." [laughs] "Let me set myself a reminder on this one."
2:16
Uh, over in Thursday Night Football, still one and a half to two and a half, so you can find everything in be- There's also two, so everything in between if you want to, so shop around and then, uh...
2:24
But that being said, the total is now 42 and a half pretty much across the industry. So all of that money here this morning, Kelly, coming in on the over.
2:32
I'm sure the final injury report had a decent amount to do with that in which two key defensive players for the Texans are out and three key defen- defensive players for the Jets are out, including both starting safeties.
2:43
Yeah, yeah. But important to note, uh, there, this is, this is one of those games, Matt, like, I don't really know where we're gonna see this move between now and, and start of game. Mm.
2:49
I, I don't, I wouldn't expect it to move much either way. I... Do you expect one side to take a little bit more money here than the other?
2:55
I mean, i- i- if anything, and this could be, again, this is, this is all speculation, but if anything, if people are tuning into the pregame and they start talking about how Nico Collins was a leading receiver in the NFL, and he went out, and now Steph Diggs is out, and the, the, you know, only guy they've got is Tank Dell and all, could some last-minute bets maybe roll in on the J- I mean, maybe.
3:17
Yeah. You know? Like, maybe. Do I think it gets to three? No, which is why I went ahead and just played the two, even though I've now missed out on the best, which is the two and a half.
3:24
But I don't know if it gets all the way to three with all of that, but I think we could see some, maybe some two and a halfs pop, you know, at these places where we're at two.
3:31
Yeah, what do we have, FanDuel, FanDuel Boyd two and a half right now? Yep, yep, yep. FanDuel Boyd two and a half right now.
3:36
DraftKings at one and a half, so if you do wanna back the Jets, and then two's pretty much everywhere else industry-wide. Okay. Yeah.
3:42
So just, uh, be sure, as we always say, shop around, make sure you're getting the number that you want. There we go. With, uh- Cir- Circa, they're g- uh, Texans getting bet right now. Okay.
3:48
So that, that makes sense where we've seen- Yeah... you know, coming off the two, back on the two, that sort of thing. So anyway, just, uh, be sure that you're, you're looking around.
3:55
We wanna make sure that you're getting the best number in there. Yep.
3:57
All right, so let's take a look at the, uh, some of these futures markets, and the NFL MVP is, is pretty interesting to me, Kelly, because I do think that there are some people that are listed here that I don't think have a very good chance of winning.
4:12
Yeah. Which helps us as bettors 'cause we can narrow down the field and take advantage of the fact that they are soaking up some of the money, and they are getting us a little bit better odds.
4:21
And, you know, first and foremost is Lamar Jackson sitting there at three to one. Like, for him to win back-to-back MVPs, Kelly, like, they don't wanna do that anyway.
4:29
And for him to win back-to-back MVPs, like, I don't think that people are going to look at the end of the, at the end of the day and not see Derrick Henry and his gaudy, what will be by the end of this season, gaudy touchdown numbers.
4:41
Mm. Maybe not, like, actual rushing yards, but Derrick Henry's gonna score a ton of touchdowns for, for this team. And then also, I think they're gonna lose a couple more games here and there that maybe they shouldn't.
4:53
That defense has some real problems that they c- you can get r- you can run on this defense. Yeah.
4:58
And then, and I understand they're getting a couple pieces back this week in the secondary, but they were, they were bad when they were in there. [laughs] So I mean, like, uh- Yeah...
5:04
you're, so you're getting back bad, you're getting back players that were playing bad, um, before- And what, nose tackle just went on the IR, right? Yeah, yeah. And so for me, I don't really think Lamar is there.
5:15
Patrick Mahomes at six to one. Dude, it's that defense. It's not Patrick Mahomes. Patrick Mahomes is not the reason that this t- that this team is where they are at. I get it.
5:24
I know it's Mahomes, and you're, any time your team's undefeated, like, your name is gonna be mentioned. But what I'm saying is I'm not, I'm not saying that it's, it's crazy that he's mentioned, Kelly.
5:32
What I'm saying is, is it's, we should not be betting him 'cause he's not going to win. Not at all. Yeah. A- and w- I think we gotta pause it there 'cause the Mahomes conversation I think is really interesting right now.
5:40
'Cause w- we talked about so much during the, the off-season about, okay, you're looking at all these awards markets, and I, I feel like so many people brought this up.
5:49
And at the time I, I think it was the right thing to say, where Andy Reid is just a guy who's never gonna get Coach of the Year love- Mm... bec- because, because he has a quarterback like Patrick Mahomes.
5:59
You would think if I told you that, that the, uh, the, uh, that the Chiefs were sitting here undefeated at this point in the season, that Mahomes would be around where he's at now with this list, maybe even shorter odds with what the record is.
6:12
But like you said, it's the defense doing all the work right now. I actually think, I, I think Mahomes' odds should be a lot longer in this.
6:19
Um, and Andy Reid should actually be more heavily considered for Coach of the Year in that market.
6:23
A- and I really think it's flipped from what we talked about with this team h- in the pre-season He is 16th in the NFL in passing yards right now.
6:30
Now, they have had their bye, but if even, even if you added in their, his season average, which is like about 230 yards- Yeah... whatever, that would still only put him up to about 12th, you know? Mm-hmm.
6:41
I- i- in right now. So, and he's thrown for eight touchdowns. You know how many picks he's got? Nine. Yeah. He has more interceptions than he has touchdown passes right now, and this guy's listed at 6 to 1 for MVP.
6:52
Patrick Mahomes is the best quarterback on the planet. Do not get me wrong. I'm... does not wanna...
6:55
But I'm s- this particular season [laughs] for this particular award, in which we are trying to bet our hard-earned money to win, he is not going to win MVP unless something crazy happens over the second half of the season.
7:06
Well, uh, let me say, if they go 17 and 0, then- I was just gonna ask you... if he go, if they... it, it won't matter. If they go 17 and 0, it won't matter. Can he still...
7:15
And, and this is where I think the name has so much power. Mm. But can he still win MVP if he has more interceptions than touchdowns, if they're 17 and 0? [laughs] Now, that is a really good question.
7:28
I still don't, I still don't think he can. I don't think he can. I don't think we're ever gonna see an MVP award given to someone that has more interceptions than touchdowns thrown. I mean, I know, but dude.
7:37
But if they're 17 and 0- If they're 17-... and then we're gonna talk about this team like they're a historic team. If they're 17 and 0. Isn't there... I thought there was a- We, we talked about this win totals yesterday.
7:46
Like, if I had to bet one right now, like, Chiefs over would be one of the ones I'd be looking at. Like, there are not many games- Okay... that they're gonna lose down the stretch. How about this, then?
7:56
Any team to go 17 and 0 is 10 to 1 at DraftKings. Better bet. As opposed to- Good call... 6 to 1 for Mahomes to win MVP. Like, uh, given the pace that he's on right now, and that's not to say that he's
8:11
can't, like, just go nuclear in the second half of the season, but why would you?
8:14
This formula that they have right now, which is playing really good defense and not, like, slinging, just taking the dinks and dunks- Yeah... and whatever is working.
8:20
Why would you tr- uh, drastically alter what you're doing? So I'm not saying they're even doing anything wrong. I'm just, this... At the end of the day, they will look at your counting stats.
8:29
They do look at things like this. And so, yeah, I would, instead of betting Mahomes, I would just bet them to be undefeated. Which, [laughs] which also- 10 to 1... feels like a silly pri- [laughs] Yeah.
8:38
The problem is the way we put it i- when we frame it like that, that feels like a silly price for that sh- because, because you should be getting longer odds. But then if we're- Yeah...
8:44
talking that way, then you should get longer odds on him for MVP. Agree. Agree. So I... Here's the other question. Jaden Daniels is sitting 16 to 1 for MVP.
8:53
Like, they're not going to give anyone Rookie of the Year and MVP. I don't think so. So- Yeah, I don't think so. So it's kinda like that, too, to me, is a... Because they'll feel good about giving him Rookie of the Year.
9:03
Yes. You know what I'm saying? So, like, it's like, oh, well, we can give MVP to someone else. Remember, this is still voted on by humans. Right.
9:09
So- And whether we, whether we think that's the way it should work or not, yeah- It just works that way... there are a, there are a lot of people that are gonna take the convenient route of- Yeah...
9:16
"Well, he's my Rookie of the Year. I can have- Yeah... I can have some fun with my ballot-" Mm-hmm... or whatever, putting someone else number one for MVP.
9:22
So I think there are a lot of guys that are soaking up some love here that aren't necessarily really in it. So then it leaves kinda Josh Allen, Jared Goff, Jalen Hurts. Y- I mean, Kyler Murray, uh, uh, this...
9:33
Cardinals seem like you said, Kelly. Mm.
9:36
Is it's at least froggy, and if they do what they do when they're good for the majority of the games the rest of the season, they could win enough, they will, they will win enough games to get into the playoffs.
9:49
And I think Kyler at least becomes in the conversation because this team was picked to be pretty bad- Yeah...
9:54
because of the defense, because of all this stuff, and, like, basically it will be looked as, looked at as them overcoming, right? So, uh, what, w- if you... Okay, I'm gonna give you a free hundred Matt bucks.
10:04
Josh Allen, Jared Goff, Jalen Hurts, Kyler Murray. Or is there any, or is there someone else that you like better than that? No, it would be Josh Allen. I'm, I'm- Mm... mad at myself.
10:13
I mean, we, we rarely see a week- Yeah... like this mid-season where this market's actually shifted as much- Mm... as it has this week.
10:18
I think we walked in here on Monday, I think, over to DraftKings, Allen was five to one still. Yeah. So he went... He dropped down that much. Mahomes did get a little bit longer. I would go Josh Allen.
10:27
I, I, I do think there will be some of the voter questions about going back to Lamar Jackson, although I still think he's right in there. I think he does deserve to be right at the top, um, with Josh Allen.
10:36
A- but they're voted on by humans, right? Yeah.
10:38
Whether he deserves to be or not, if there's one or two people that shift their attention away from him being, uh, being on their, top of their MVP ballot, then okay, it opens up room for Josh Allen. So I would go him.
10:49
I think there's other names you could start crossing off here. Like, eh, Kyler. I, I mean, I think we can just talk about a point where I don't know if I'd be considering anybody after Jalen Hurts. Yeah.
10:59
I mean- I, I just feel like I should get, be getting longer odds on some of these guys. Like, if it's a Stroud, a Murray, um, a Brock Purdy that makes a push here, I- I think the only one that I could at least...
11:09
so that you make, might, could draw a line to. Burrow? And we always talk about, like, can you draw a direct line? If Darnold wins the division with the Vikings somehow, and they- Yeah... and they...
11:21
Because then at that point, you're knocking off Goff along the way. You're knocking off Love along the way. I think that there's at least something to that- How-... if I was looking at someone longer.
11:34
How- I mean, I'm not saying I, I, I don't, I don't love it, but I think that there's at least a line that you could draw to him to get there. No, I get it.
11:41
How, how many wins do you think the Bengals would have to get for Burrow to be considered? And, and, and he is... He... Every advanced stat loves Burrow. I, I mean, he's... I- Every advanced stat loves Burrow...
11:49
when you sort of look at quarterbacks and what they're doing right now, he's still one of the best in the league. Yeah.
11:53
I mean, the number one when you do adjusted completion percentage, when you do adjusted CPOE- Yeah... all the different things like that, like, he is number one in the league every single time.
12:03
They'd have to win a lot, though, I'm pretty sure, to get it done. Let's get back to Thursday Night Football. Let's talk about some of those prop bets that are in our account.
12:09
[upbeat music] A numbers game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
12:29
Kelly here on a Thursday. I'm in for Gil as we roll through Thursday Night Football. A interesting matchup, Texans at the Jets, in which the Texans are coming in very short-handed at the wide receiver position.
12:41
The Jets are pretty short-handed, certainly at the safety position, where both the [laughs] starters are out, and their best linebacker as well.
12:48
And of course, we just have not seen a very good Jets squad so far this year. You go back and their two wins, Kelly... By the way, they only have two wins. Let me remind you of that. Yeah, yeah, two wins, exactly.
12:58
Let me remind you of that.
12:59
They only have two wins, and those two wins, uh, yeah, it's nothing that you're gonna jump up and down about because one is the Patriots, in which they just lost to as well, and the other is the Titans, who you and I both had in our terrible category yesterday.
13:12
[laughs] That's right. Yeah, that's right. So I mean, they have two wins against terrible teams, so yeah, you know, not a lot to get up, n- not a lot... I, I know everyone wants to bet the Jets tonight.
13:21
Everyone wants you to bet the Jets, and it's the smart side, and it's the sharp side. I'm going to bet on the better team. Yeah. I'm betting on the better team. That's what I feel like I'm doing, too.
13:28
And, uh, Matt, I'll tell you, it's been, uh, uh, this Jets, this Jets thing- Mm-hmm... story, it's been fun to watch. As a guy who doesn't really... I don't, I don't root for the Jets. I don't root against the Jets.
13:37
I haven't really been a huge Aaron Rodgers fan or anti Aaron Rodgers. It's always fun when these, uh, when these dream team situations just blow up in people's faces. [laughs] Oh. If you don't care, it's always fun.
13:48
Listen, I said it, I said it on the, on the, on the Twitter machine. I, I... It was l- I had a thought that went out loud. It had to go out loud. I had to hit the send button.
13:55
I say to people all the time, "Just 'cause you think it doesn't mean you have to push the send button." Oh, yeah. But I said I became a Patriots fan this past week for the first time in my whole life.
14:03
[laughs] There you go. And it felt great for three hours, and then it'll never happen again as long as I live.
14:07
But, like, for three hours, I was a Patriots fan because I liked seeing the Jets lose, and I know that's crazy. Like, I mean, I have no... I don't even have a NFL team. I don't... Do you have an NFL team? No.
14:20
No, I don't. You don't even have an NFL team. I'm a big believer... So I grew up a Cowboys fan. Mm-hmm.
14:24
Um, I'm a big believer in once you've made your first, [laughs] once you've made your first significant bet against your own team, whatever significant is money-wise for you- Yeah...
14:33
once you've put that against your own team, you can't call yourself a fan anymore. Yeah. I respect fans that much, Matt. I, I respect them. I- But I can't call myself one if I'm out there betting against my team.
14:42
Yeah, all right. I li- So for... People always look at me and go, "Dude, you're from Louisiana. What, what do you mean you're not a Saints fan?" It's like, I'm from Northwest Louisiana. It is- Cowboys territory.
14:50
It is two hours and change to Dallas. It is five and a half hours in a car down to New Orleans. Oh, wow. Yeah. So, like, it is exponential.
14:58
The first three NFL games I went to in my life were Cowboys games because, like, it's just way closer than... But I wasn't going to be a Cowboys fan either, and so I just really never got fandom with the NFL.
15:09
And, like, college football's kind of king anyway, anyway there. Right. And so it just, it just was what it was. So I don't even have a team.
15:14
So it's not like, "Oh, I hate the Jets because I'm a Giants guy," or, "Oh, I hate the Jets because I'm a," you know, whatever. No. I just... Aaron Rodgers rubs me the wrong way, like he does a lot of people.
15:24
The, the smugness, the like, "I'm so much smarter than you. You're an idiot. I know much, so much more than you about everything," just rubs me the wrong way. Oh, yeah, yeah.
15:32
And to, to see this kind of blow up on him, I'm kind of like, "Eh, well, I don't, I don't hate it." Yeah, I don't hate it. No, I don't hate it. I, I don't hate it. I don't hate it, you know?
15:38
I'm gonna cir- circle it back to my Cowboys resume before I get a bunch of tweets on this. I was born in Dallas. So one, I got that. Thank you very much. Uh, unlike a lot of other people that are Cowboys fans.
15:47
Dallas, Russia, but yes. Dall- Dallas, Russia, but yes, [laughs] exactly. I was born in Dallas.
15:50
[laughs] And my dad's side of the family's all from Philly, and they are the stereo- My dad and his brothers, more so his brothers than my father, stereotypical Philadelphia Eagles fans that you could not stand.
16:03
They own it, love it. So it was great when I was a kid in the early '90s to be like, "Cowboys, Cowboys." [laughs] "That's the team I root for." It felt, it felt great. I, I mean, so for me, again, I, I'm...
16:13
I, I look at this also. So Aaron Rodgers, like we said, clearly banged up to the point where he wants to go to the microphone and say, "You know, I'm drinking cayenne pepper water to make myself feel better."
16:20
And by the way, the Texans are fourth in the league in pressure rate. That's probably not gonna go too well. Already down one offensive, starting offensive lineman for them tonight.
16:28
Could be two if Morgan Moses can't go on a short week after three limited practices.
16:32
So at the very least, a offensive line that hasn't been good anyway is gonna be down a starter and could be down two different starters.
16:40
I also look at this from a prop standpoint, Kelly, in this one where, yes, you mentioned, am I gonna go elsewhere in the Texans wide receiver room? And so- Well, it's the first thing, right?
16:51
Whenever we talk player props, it doesn't matter what sport. Yeah. If there are injuries out there, there is production that needs to be made up by the rest of the team. So it's the easiest place to look at- Yeah...
17:00
who's gonna make up that production. So Sauce Gardner has shadowed, he shadowed in weeks four, five, and seven. And, and those receivers were, were Courtland Sutton, Justin Jefferson, and George Pickens.
17:12
And so there's a common theme there as well, which is, so Courtland Sutton, only receiver with a pulse on that team. Oh.
17:18
Justin Jefferson, this was when Jordan Addison was out, so Jordan Jeff- Justin Jefferson, only receiver with a pulse on that team. Mm-hmm. And then George Pickens, same deal there.
17:26
I don't know if Tank Dell gets that same treatment. Like, it certainly would've been if Steph Diggs would've been out there, whatever. But, like,
17:33
I, I, I think there's a decent chance maybe that they go in and, and Sauce just decides to shadow Tank Dell. Yeah. And so if that's the case, C.J. Stroud's not gonna throw for 100 yards, right?
17:45
I mean, he's going to throw for two, you know, 200 yards in this game some, some way, shape, or form. Now, does that go to Dalton Schultz? I'm sure a decent amount of it will.
17:53
Will Joe Mixon catch some stuff out of the backfield? Sure. But there's going to be other receivers that get some of the love here. And I'm actually gonna go with Xavier Hutchinson. And so I know you never heard of him.
18:04
[laughs] Xavier Hutchinson, all right. I know you never heard of him. But listen, Xavier Hutchinson is actually, since Nico Collins went down, has had snap count percentage.
18:13
And you, you, you don't know that he's out there, but he's out there, right? [laughs] Like, he's just, he's just not catching passes, but he's had snap count percentages of 71%, 50%, 64%, and 62%.
18:23
So he is out on the field for at least half of the snaps in every game since Nico Collins went down. And ow- and now Steph Diggs has gone down. Yep.
18:32
So you would have to think that at the very minimum, you're going to get at baseline the 50%, which is what happened whenever Steph Diggs was still in the lineup, and maybe on the high side of that, which was 70-plus percent, that he's, that he's been on the field in the four weeks since Nico Collins has been out as well.
18:48
So if he's out there for 65, 70% of the snaps in a game in which Sauce Gardner may or may not be, may or not be honing in on Tank Dell or whatever, this, this prop's at 19 and a half yards, Kelly.
19:01
We need 20 yards out of Xavier Hutchinson, who might be on the field for as high as 75% of the snaps tonight, considering that he is kind of being forced into the wide receiver two role for this Texans team.
19:13
So I'm going out on a limb. It's a leap of faith for sure. It's a dude that's been on the field, and you didn't even know it.
19:18
You didn't even know his name, and he's been on the field for s- you know, as high as 70% of the snaps over the last four weeks. I think he gets a few more targets in this one, and, uh, we just need 20 yards out of him.
19:29
It's, uh... I love it. These, these are the reasons I love, uh, betting on sports, because we get to bet on guys like, uh, [laughs] like this, like Hutchinson. Yeah.
19:36
Uh, and Matt Brown is going to bet on a guy who's gotten a whole five catches, 10 targets, and 64 yards this season. Yeah. God bless sports betting. We're betting on s- Opportunity...
19:46
we're betting on the fact that he's gonna be out there, and it's probably going to lead to additional opportunity here for this one. So that's where we're going- I like it...
19:55
outside of just the, uh, the under and then playing the Texans here. I do think, uh, the one I was gonna push back a little bit- Mm... is, like, I, is Robert Woods kind of that number two?
20:02
But I think it's just too easy to say. Like, it's easy to say that compared to Hutchinson without really us [laughs] having seen this team play- Yeah... without Collins, without, uh- Well, uh, well-... without Diggs...
20:12
I dug in, and, like, that's the reason why this jumped off the page to me, 'cause I just didn't kn- I mean, that's a lot of snap. I mean, like, he's been out there...
20:17
That's a lot of snaps that he's been out there, and that was even with Diggs still in the lineup. And so I think- Great, great blocker... with Diggs out, yeah. [laughs] With Diggs out, he's gonna get a whole lot more.
20:26
Okay. Great blogger. Every- All right, so what do you got Thursday Night Football? You are on Texans- Texans for the two... under. Under 43 and a half. The 42 and a half, just leave it alone.
20:34
I mean, like, and honestly, the under now is a little less appealing to me with all these injuries on both sides- Yeah, yeah... of the ball and all that.
20:39
But I mean, you know, 43 and a half at least is getting on the other side of the key-ish number of 43, so let's just not, let's, let's not worry so much about that.
20:46
But I- am on Hutchinson over on his yardage, which I think you can still find at 19 and a half out there. Okay, I like it. I like it. And I teased up the Texans. I think I threw them in with the Eagles.
20:55
All teasers for me this week so far in the NFL. I like... Listen, man. There's nothing, there's nothing wrong with throwing...
21:02
And the other thing that I would like to, that I would like to bring into play, we talked about this as well. I looked at this. I actually put this in the account, too, is the, just the alt line deals, right?
21:13
So you can, if you can find the two out there- Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. You can- And talk through this actually...
21:18
and you can find the two and a half out there, you go in, just g- every single of the main sports books out there, the rest of country sports books allow you to do line manipulation.
21:28
You just go in, go to the game lines, and then you can just pick whatever you want the line to be. Now, the juice is, is, is altered based off of how far you wanna go with it. Right.
21:37
But you take a team from two to seven and a half, and you're only asking the book for five and a half points instead of six, which costs you less juice.
21:45
If you're at two and a half and you wanna bring to seven and a half, it only, you're only asking them for five points instead of the full six that you get with a teaser.
21:52
So I took the two and a half that is still out there, and we have it at, at, whatever, and you can take that, and then you can parlay it with another game if there's plenty of teaser options this week- Yeah...
22:03
in which, again, you're just bringing it down through the seven, the six, and the three, but you're not asking for the full six, and I end up getting plus 105 as opposed to paying 120- Okay... and 125 and all that.
22:14
So you're just parlaying alt lines instead of going with just the standard teaser of six points because we're really just trying to clear the seven, the six, and the, and the three. Right. You know?
22:24
So tr- it, you know, mess around with it. I, I- Yeah, these are- Mess around with it... these are things we've talked about a bit in the past- Mm... uh, you know, on this show, but it is...
22:32
We, we've talked a lot about teaser prices getting more expensive book to book, so it's even more important now that you take the time to kinda shop around and check out those options.
22:39
I just, I tried to do it with one I was looking at tonight. Mm-hmm. Wasn't matching, so I wouldn't play the teaser. Yeah, yeah. So there you go. Uh, we're about to talk to Mike Salmiche.
22:45
We're gonna talk about horse racing. If you do want to bet any of the bets that he talks about here in this next segment, you're gonna wanna do it over at firstbet.com.
22:53
That is one S-T-B-E-T.com, and new users get $200 sign-up bonus if you use the code BESON200, a 20% rebate for your first 60 days up to $200.
23:04
You can bet the Breeders' Cup along with Mike Salmiche and everybody else over at firstbet.com. Use that promo code, BESON200. [upbeat music] A numbers game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
23:24
It is a numbers game here on a Thursday, Thursday Night Football this evening. Gonna make all kinds of people mad whenever the Jets lose, everyone over in New York. It's been a bad... It's been a...
23:34
Oh, ooh, I didn't even think about that. After last night? Yeah, could be a rough 24 hours. Oh. Yep. Oh, after last night. Are people... It's typically, though, Jets and Mets, right? It's not- I believe you're right...
23:47
it, it's Yankees Gi- it's Yankees, Giants- Oh. Oh, man... and then Jets, Mets. I don't know why Jim brought this up. There probably some- I believe you're right.
23:52
We're about to get 10 tweets, though, correcting us, I can tell you that. [laughs] Yeah. I mean, I guess they're, uh, I don't think it's a rule.
23:58
I think you can vary, but I think it's just typically- I think naturally you are, yes. Yeah, I think it's, like, typically Jets, Mets, and then Yankees, Giants if I, if I remember correctly. There's definitely a match.
24:06
I, I- Yeah... there, there is a tendency for each family- Yeah... to root for, for two of those teams. However- I don't, I c- I couldn't tell you which two, unless-... well, however it might be.
24:14
You've seen this guy sitting on this very desk next to me, and he has been talking horses with me for over a year now. He is Mike Salmiche, my co-host on Ready, Set, Bet @Salmabom18 over there on the Twitter machine.
24:26
Mike, how you doing, man? Are you just absolutely hyped because we are gonna have a whole bunch of famous horses running this weekend? I mean, I'm, I'm pretty jacked, Matt. I can't lie. Yeah? This is, this is...
24:36
Like, everyone talks about the Kentucky Derby, and that's the, the general public's Super Bowl in horse racing. The Breeders' Cup is the hardcore's Super Bowl in horse racing.
24:45
You got 13 different races over Friday and Saturday, and it's split up into divisions, so two-year-old boys, two-year-old girls, turf sprinters, dirt routers, everything you could imagine.
24:54
The best in the world all converge in one place and decide 13 separate championships, every race over a million dollars. You get to see the best of the best in the world run against the best of the best in the world.
25:05
What more could you want? So I, I'm, I'm excited here. Del Mar, phenomenal venue as well. I can't wait to kick this thing off tomorrow around 2:45 Pacific
25:13
Uh, uh, are there any of the horses that you have talked to personally that we have any inside information about? Do, like, anyone really jacked up and hyped up for this? Uh, I've talked to a couple of them, Matt.
25:22
Really? All right. Unfortunately, they were all Japanese horses- Oh... and I don't speak Japanese. Oh, well, that's a- So I, you know- That's unfortunate... I, I just got the wrong line in there. Un- unfortunate.
25:29
Unfortunate. [laughs] Mi- Mike, Mike's a better guy than me. I was like, I was like, "Has he, has he heard this same bit as many times as I have at this point?" [laughs] I, I, yeah, I mean, sure. Oh, he has no idea.
25:36
Yeah, I mean, come on. He has no idea. All right, Mike, uh, let's start on Friday, because, uh, you know, I mean, why would we start on Saturday if there's a race on Friday that you like?
25:44
It is the Breeders' Cup Juvenile here in this one. What are we looking at? Yeah, the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, two-year-old colts going two turns, mile and 16th over the dirt course at Santa Anita.
25:55
Uh, or I'm sorry, at Del Mar this year. And these are the horses that everyone's looking forward toward the Kentucky Derby. So last year we saw Fierceness win this race. A horse named Muth ran second.
26:04
Both were the early favorites for the Kentucky Derby. Uh, this year here in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, we've got a really interesting horse on the rail, East Avenue, gonna show a bunch of speed. Been phenomenal at two.
26:14
But the problem for him is Bob Baffert has two in here. And kind of like, uh, kinda like those different, you know, setups where you can say, "Hey, I'm gonna just send one horse like crazy." Baffert loves to do that.
26:24
He loves to send the longer shot horse. Well, that horse drew the two post in Getaway Car, so I think East Avenue gets a ton of pressure from Getaway Car right out of the gate.
26:33
It sets it up for horses who wanna be able to come from off the pace. And the number five horse, Jonathan Way, Jonathan's Way absolutely jumps out to me. Currently sitting at 9 to 2 on the board.
26:43
Jonathan's Way went gate to wire in his first, his second effort. Was able to come from off the pace in his first effort, so we know the mental a- aptitude is there.
26:50
To be able to stalk and pounce, I think he gets a perfect trip today. So I like the five horse, Jonathan's Way. That's race number nine on Friday, the Breeders' Cup Juvenile.
26:59
Keep an eye on the 10 horse, Chancer Mc- Fitzpatrick as well. One we've talked about on Ready Set Bet before there. I think he's got a big shot in the Juvenile as well.
27:06
Sorry, gonna be the seven horse, Gaming, uh, ridden by Irad Ortiz, and the other Bob Baffert horse. It's gonna be Gaming there in that one. Well, that is the horse that the Getaway Car's gonna try and set up.
27:17
He, he c- Getaway, or Gaming cannot win if Getaway Car doesn't press East Avenue, so that's one of the main reasons I think you're gonna see East Avenue and Getaway Car hook up early in a speed duel. Oh, all right. Okay.
27:27
See, the, here's, here's the reason I say this is obviously we, how can you pass on Gaming considering the industry that we're in, Mike? I mean, like- Good point... we're, we're, we're picking- Good point...
27:35
things by, obviously by name here. Okay, so the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint. Now this is heading to Saturday. This is, uh, just five furlongs, correct? Correct. Just five furlongs on the turf.
27:48
We actually have a former world record holder as your favorite here. Whoa. Cogburn, your 7 to 5 favorite. Fastest five and a half furlongs in history of time up at Saratoga this summer. But he faces a aptly named horse.
28:00
Matt, I know you're gonna like this one. Ag Bullet. That is the periodic sign for silver, so it's actually Silver Bullet, not Ag Bullet- Oh... that's gonna be running. Uh, very- Uh... very fast horse as well.
28:10
Gonna cause Cogburn a lot of trouble up top. And Europeans haven't done well in the sprint traditionally, but they sent their big boys this year. These are the best European sprinters.
28:18
Not the B team like they've been sending over in the past. Okay. I love the 12 horse, Brad Sell, out of the outside gate. 7 to 2 on the morning line. This is your best sprinter in Europe.
28:28
Been an absolutely phenomenal horse. Consistently wins. Has been in the best races across the globe and doing really good work. Getting 7 to 2 right now. I think Brad Sell upsets Cogburn.
28:38
Keep an eye on the one horse, Believing, as well. Has run close to Brad Sell multiple times. Believing, 12 to 1, has a better post and a better price.
28:46
So I like the inside and the outside there, the 12 Brad Sell and the one horse Believing. Sorry, it's gonna be Materious, because that, that name is awesome. A local favorite.
28:55
Materious been running in California for a long time. Horse has a shot, uh, but would need to run the career best there. I mean, Materious, that is, that is, if we're talking about names, Materious? That's pretty good.
29:04
Yeah. That's pretty... How do you spell that? Materious. Exactly how you would- Oh, okay. Yeah, just with the N. Just with an N. Yeah, yeah. All right. I like it. Yeah, it's, there it is.
29:11
That one's, that one [laughs] obviously is winning. [laughs] Obviously. Obviously. [laughs] All right. So let's head to the big one. Let's head to the Classic. This is a mile and a quarter.
29:18
This is seven milli in this one, Mike. Uh, some horses that... A- and, and again, like I'm not, this, this is where I'll turn the, the bit off. These are the horses we've heard of before.
29:27
These are horses, even if you are a casual, uh, horse racing fan, you've probably bet on some of these horses before, so this field is really, uh, uh, the all-star field. It is.
29:36
And, and we've got Fierceness, F- Forever Young, Sierra Leone. We've got Ushba Tesoro, Derma Sotogace, all horses that prepped or were in the, the Kentucky Derby, so even the casual fan knows a lot of these horses.
29:48
The one you probably don't know, your favorite at plus 225, 5 to 2 on the morning line, City of Troy. And you know what's unique about City of Troy, Matt?
29:56
Horse has never run on the dirt, yet here we are as the favorite- Oh... in a $7 million dirt race. This is a three-year-old trained by Aidan O'Brien. The best three-year-old in Europe, hands down.
30:07
Has been dominating older horses in turf races, going a mile and a quarter, mile and a half. Phenomenal horse. But you know what?
30:14
You never in horse racing bet a favorite when they're doing something new, and never running on dirt is definitely qualifying as doing something new here.
30:22
Fierceness, your second choice, 3 to 1, was your Derby favorite earlier this year. We know all about him. He runs well, he runs poorly. You never really know what you're gonna get.
30:30
The 3 to 1 price, not bad if you're a Fierceness fan here. And if he runs back to that Travers effort where he beat Thorpedo Anna, got a big shot at winning.
30:38
But I'm gonna go to Forever Young, sitting there 5 to 1 on fixed odds, 6 to 1 right now on the morning line. This is one of the Japanese horses that's shipping over for this spot.
30:46
Forever Young ran in the Derby, ran a very good third. Probably would've won that race if Sierra Leone didn't decide to just bang that horse the entire way down the stretch.
30:55
The other key part for, for Forever Young's Derby, he was way further back than expected. Was 10 lengths, 15 lengths off the lead. Forever Young got a really rough break in that spot.
31:05
The smaller field size should allow him to be a little bit closer to the pace this time here running his second race in the US. He had one prep race before that. Looked phenomenal over in Japan. Ships into Del Mar.
31:16
He looks like a different horse. He looks bigger. He looks stronger. He looks more built out.
31:20
You can tell that Forever Young, early in the three-year-old season to late in the three-year-old season, has really been hitting the gym. I think Forever R- Young runs a big race here.
31:28
I'll take 6 to 1 on the morning line on the one horse, Forever Young. Tell us about any other horse that maybe people hadn't heard of that are pr- is pretty short there on the line, uh, next.
31:36
Yeah, next an interesting horse. This is one that has been running in marathon races, so mile and a half, mile and 3/16- Hmm...
31:42
mile and 3/8, all of these longer distances, and has just been shellacking them, like, just absolutely destroying them at this point. So Next has won, uh, Next has won, what is it?
31:53
One, two, three, four, five, six, seven straight races, all stakes races, all at that mile and a half, mile and three-quarters style distance.
32:01
It was time to take the shot, face the best in the world going their distance, the mile and a quarter. Gonna be very interesting to see what we get from this horse.
32:08
He's traditionally been close to the pace, but in those mile and a half races, the pace is a lot slower than when it's a mile and a quarter.
32:15
You also have a horse right to the inside of him, I- uh, in Arthur's Ride, who is going to be an absolute shot out of the gate. What Arthur's Ride does and what Next decides to do with that is gonna be a key here.
32:26
I think Arthur R- Arthur's Ride goes. I think it puts Fierceness in a world of trouble, 'cause all of a sudden he's inside of horses catching kickback, which he doesn't love.
32:34
I think Next does get a good trip on the outside. The big question's gonna be whether or not he's good enough. A- again,
32:39
when he's, when you're doing something new, it's hard for me to back you when I'm not getting a price that I think is elevated. I think fair line for Next is around 15 to 1.
32:46
Right now we're sitting there at 10 to 1, so I can't get him on the ticket. You know what? I'll give you Forever Young. Uh, there you go.
32:51
The, the, you, you, you've made one, you've made one right choice here on the, on the program today. Hey, look at that. One good decision. All right. That's more than usual.
32:57
We got, uh [laughs] You usually just slam all my picks. [laughs] We got, we got, we got 30 seconds. So what do you like tonight in the Thursday Night Football? Give me the under, baby. You, you mentioned the injuries.
33:05
The injuries to the Jets are in the se- in the secondary, but they're in specifically the safety position. You've got a depleted wide receiver room for the Texans.
33:12
They're gonna run a, run the football with Joe Mixon tonight. I like his overs in rushing yards as well. I... To me, this is just a slow-it-down game. If you're the Texans, you just wanna get out of here with a win.
33:20
On the other side, uh, the Jets have no offensive line. They're not gonna play fast anyway. So you're gonna get a slow pace from the Jets without an offensive line. You'll have a couple drives stall with those sacks.
33:30
I think this is a stone cold under 42 and a half, Matt. You can find this man with me on Saturdays and Sundays here on the network, @somebomb18 over on the Twitter machine as well. He is Mike Somich.
33:41
Mike, good luck on everything. And, uh, put on a, put on a, put on a blazer this week, why don't you? You know, put on a, put on a blazer this week, you know? That's a Breeders' Cup shirt, Matt. Man, that's legit.
33:50
Come on. That looks legit. Be for real, baby. This is, this, this- It's like the real deal right there... uh, that legitimizes- Please... everything that he was saying.
33:55
Yeah, so you just gotta get a crest- Unbelievable... on anything. [laughs] Good lu- Good- Imagine doing three hours with this guy... [laughs] good luck on all your picks this weekend, Mike.
34:03
When we come back, yeah, it's that time. We're gonna rank, 'cause everyone else is doing it, let's rank Halloween candy.
34:07
[upbeat music] A numbers game on VSiN, the sports betting network. Final segment here on a Thursday.
34:25
Matt Kelly here on the desk. We get some tweets. We do. We get tweets. Couple. Yeah, we got a co- we got a couple. Couple. Good friend Chillionaire- Only a couple made the cut is what it is. Hey. You know?
34:36
We're, we're not getting as many. I mean, Gil's out. Oh. We, we understand. It's okay. I understand.
34:40
I, I kind of wish I would've got a tweet or two having my back with the whole bets to-do list, but, you know, it's okay, guys. It's fine. It's all right. We'll let you off the hook. Yeah.
34:47
Good friend Chillionaire tweeting in, "Going to start calling my Bloody Marys pepperwater." Also shout out to Gil. We love you, buddy.
34:52
Couldn't be the best listeners if we didn't have the best host in sports betting media. Everybody missing Gil this week for sure. Um- Shots fired in the, in a, in a nice tweet, though.
35:01
Where he's basically like, "Hey, Matt, you suck." [laughs] Like, like, like, it, it's one of those things [laughs] that's like shots fired.
35:07
Like, a really nice tweet at the same time, like being like, "Eh, can't wa- I'm sure he thinks we're doing a perfectly fine job, Matt... can't, can't wait to get this Matt guy off the microphone." Like [laughs]
35:14
like, "Hurry back, Gil. I can't listen to this dude for a second longer." You can't read it like that, dude. Yeah. You can't read it like that. Yeah, that's what it is. All right, JasonH11, he had the answer for us.
35:22
I knew someone would. "Yes Matt and boring Bidlin [laughs] Giants fans like me are also Yankees fans. What a f- wonderful time having one of my two favorites." Okay. So we were right. So Yankees, Giants, Mets, Jets.
35:32
I did also punch it into the old AI. Uh, interesting results. It was like a list of, like, seven. I- i- it cited geographical distances between the stadiums with, you know, correlating the two teams. Oh. Yeah, yeah.
35:43
Really? So yeah, it goes ba- yeah, there's history with both geography and then the history of, like, you know, Jets and Mets both being bad at the same time, being u- underdogs for so long. So yeah, I don't... Okay.
35:54
That's what AI tell, tells me. So all of this stuff, and of course, we'll, we'll close the show out with our, with our best bets and the stuff that we have going on tonight in Thursday Night Football.
36:02
But this is the reason you all hung around for the 2 hours and 45 minutes that you've hung around with us, because you wanted to know what Kelly Bidlin says are the five best candies on the face of the planet.
36:11
That's right. That is right. Because really all this is, is a ranking of your favorite candy. Like, I mean, like, everyone calls it Halloween candy, but, like, candy is candy is candy.
36:18
There's nothing that only makes an appearance at Halloween. Okay, that's maybe the only thing we're gonna agree on, uh, this segment. I, I agree. I don't like w- why do... Yeah, it's just candy. It's just candy.
36:27
It's basically just your ca- There's just more of it this time of year... candy. Yeah, yeah, it's like, it, you get it for free. The, like, the only difference is, is you get it- You get, you get it for free...
36:34
you get it for free. You get it for free. They hand it to you. They put it... But that's the only difference, 'cause candy is candy is candy. That's right. That's right. All right. Well, am I starting this?
36:40
You, you, I want you to start it. All right. Ryan Panetta, great job on these graphics. Love it. Uh, starting at number one, Butterfinger. I'm a b- I...
36:46
Hey, any, any correlation of peanut butter and chocolate, that works. That, that was the perfect, best match in the history of all, of all food, okay? Peanut butter and chocolate.
36:55
So I went Butterfinger number one, anything Reese's number two. But you can't do that. Oh, really? 'Cause- You cannot do that... no, a Peanut Butter Cup- Reese's-... is just as good as Reese's Pieces.
37:03
It's just as good as the rest... no, they're completely different things, though. If somebody likes the Peanut Butter Cups, they don't, that doesn't mean that they automatically like the Pieces. Well, I do.
37:12
These are my power rankings. Yeah. So everything Reese's. But, but those are two completely different- You say it doesn't necessarily mean it. It doesn't- Those are two comp... Okay.
37:19
And- Now you're setting rules on my candy preferences... then, then you could just put choco... So then M&M's are the same thing as a Hershey bar. All right. That's a, that's a pretty good comeback. Right?
37:26
That's, that's pretty good. Yeah. All right, fine, I'll put Reese's Peanut Butter Cups. Okay. There you go. All right.
37:30
But, like, then we, it would be a boring top five 'cause it would be every Reese's candy that's on there. I tried to- [laughs] I wanted to get other candies, okay?
37:36
[laughs] So, like, at least Reese's Pieces would be up there as well, the Peanut Butter Cups. Okay. All right. So I'll go Peanut Butter Cups. All right. And then, and then I'll, and then I'll switch away from chocolate.
37:43
Skittles, love, love me some Skittles. Don't put a bag of Skittles in front of me. That's bad. Uh, Skittles and Starburst, uh, I'm going with those two. And then I circle back to chocolate at the end with Kit Kat.
37:52
Always a classic, Kit Kat.
37:53
Can't go, uh, can't go wrong with that So Kelly's five, for the people listening that can't see, Butterfinger, we're gonna go with Reese's Peanut Butter Cups because you can't just go Reese's anything.
38:03
I had a very good rebuttal to that. That was pretty good. Yeah. That was pretty good. Skittles, Starburst, and then Kit Kat. So a couple of fruit ones on there- Yeah, yeah...
38:11
to go along with the, uh, with the chocolate ones. Yeah. Is that what we would call it? I was trying to think of what to call them as well. The- the sweeter candy that's not chocolate. Yeah. Let me...
38:18
It's fruit flavored- Fruit flavored... yeah, fruit flavored candy. Yeah. Yeah, something like that. Okay, so for me- I- Isaiah will come correct us, uh, I hope... so for me, uh, Kit Kat, number one. Yeah.
38:27
I can't bash this, 'cause it was on my list. Number one with a bullet because it's just, it's kinda like the lightest candy bar. Yeah. Hmm. You know what I'm saying?
38:35
Like, it's kinda just like a- Oh, see, this is- 'Cause there's just, like, a thin layer of chocolate on little wafers and stuff. Like, I kinda like the fact that you- you get the chocolate flavor, but also you can...
38:44
Y- the wafer is not just buried in there. S- Like, that's why Nestle's Crunch, like, you don't... The rice is just there. It might as well not be there. It doesn't add anything to it. You don't taste the rice. You know?
38:54
Ryan, you- you already like... I- I w- I didn't want, I didn't wanna go down this road, but are we taking a health approach to our- No, no, no, no... to our candy rankings? I'm saying...
39:01
No, what I'm saying- This is why you can't do these power rankings- No... with an in-shape dude like Matt Brown. The- the- no, it's just these are, these are- It's a little lighter. It's not as heavy on your stomach.
39:07
It's, uh- No, no, it's not... What I... You get what I'm trying to say. [laughs] It's just, like, you know, it's not this overwhelming, like, things are... Anyway, all right. Sour Patch Kids, number two. Yeah.
39:15
They were, they almost made the list for me. You can't have a... Okay. Yeah. So you can't have a problem with Sour Patch Kids. Yeah. Love Sour Patch Kids. Yeah. Sour Patch Kids are absolutely amazing.
39:20
I'm guessing this is where you have your problem, Twix is number three? No, but I find this interesting. Like, th- th- I feel like if you go, like, Twix or Snickers, like, you kinda judge someone one way or the other.
39:30
So I don't- Not bad or good, but like- I don't do peanuts... okay. There you go. So there you go. So that's... I feel like everybody, Snickers or Twix, right? You know? Yeah. See, I don't do... Yeah.
39:37
So I don't do, I don't do peanuts, and so Twix for me. Um, Twix was always a, an interesting one because Twix were the ones where if I got enough of them, I would take...
39:48
I would eat some of them just normally, and then I would stick some in the refrigerator. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. Definitely. Yeah, and, like, have the, have the cold version. Oh, fresh, like, frozen- Yeah, yeah, yeah...
39:54
Sn- Snickers. Those are great. Now, now number four is when you start to act like you're 67 years old. The little Dove Dark Chocolate Nuggets are fire. Like, they are really, really, really good.
40:05
So now you're just, now you just forced fire so you didn't sound like you were 67 years old, but actually it just makes you sound even older- I think it is-... 'cause I don't think anybody's used fire in, like, 70 years.
40:12
Okay. The bomb. [laughs] They are the bomb. They're, uh, uh, they're the bee's knees. [laughs] Uh, Do- Dove Dark Chocolate Nuggets are amazing. You get those, and th- you know, the little- Yeah, the little wrapper. Yeah.
40:24
The wrapper ones. Yeah... little fab- you... Yeah. The little fa- piece of chocolate. Sure, they're fine. They're- they're delightful a- with a glass of wine after a- I like dark chocolate a lot.
40:31
Do you not like dark chocolate? No, I do not. Give me a milk chocolate any day. Oh, see, I really like dark chocolate, and then when you give me a whole nug of it, like, that's- that's- that's good for me.
40:38
And then finally, York Peppermint Patties, and actually here's... I'm gonna give you a reason for this, because this is a very versatile candy.
40:47
Because you can use York Peppermint Patties- This is what I was gonna make fun of you for... at room te- at- at room temperature.
40:53
You can freeze them, which completely changes what they are as a, as an actual candy because they taste differently than they do at room temperature. And also, you can use a York Peppermint Patty,
41:05
which is a candy and which is a, still a p- thing of dessert, as a breath freshener as well. It is a multi-use candy, and that why it makes...
41:13
Uh, this is like the Swiss Army knife of candies right here, which is why it gets into number five. All right. That was a, that was a good pro argument. I'll- I'll go the con. It's you put a mint on your list, bro.
41:21
Like, y- y- you are... That's how old you are. There are- You put a mint on your list. There is, there is choc...
41:25
Well, for one, I just told you I'm a dark chocolate guy, so they're, they, you know, they're dark chocolate as it is, I think. I'm pretty sure. And then two, and two, what...
41:33
who doesn't want to be able to at any given time be like, "You know what? I'm gonna have a nice little refreshing snack that is candy and also freshen my breath at the same time"? All right. Who doesn't love that?
41:42
So just to review, we- we've got a multipurpose mint on Matt's list. Yes. And then we've got a not too heavy chocolate candy bar at number one. I'm saying that the, the wafer part is not wasted.
41:53
Like, uh, the, like a Nestle's Crunch, the rice is just there. I don't even... Why is the rice there? Yeah. No, I agree. It a- it adds nothing to it. It should just be chocolate. Yeah, yeah.
41:59
It adds nothing to it whatsoever. I love a Kit Kat. But a Kit Kat, the wafer, you can actually taste the wafer. You get the crunch. The wafer, the wafer has a purpose of being in the candy. Is that the Kit or the Kat?
42:10
That would obviously be the Kat. Obviously? [laughs] Yeah. [laughs] That would obviously s- Obviously... that would obviously be, that would obviously be the Kat. Eh. And then, like- Eh...
42:17
you know, and then when you, when I was a kid, if you would ever, if, if my parents- Really? So were those last two on your list as a kid? This would've made Matt Browns, age 12, top five power rankings.
42:26
Okay, so the, the, the dark chocolate nug- For sure... would not have. For sure. I ac- I've always liked the frozen- York?... peppermint patty. Okay. Like, the frozen peppermint patties, I've always liked.
42:34
Now, the, the dark chocolate nug would not have. Yeah. Everybody discovers that when they're, like, 36 years old. Yeah. But then you get a weird enjoy- But what a delightful treat...
42:41
you get a weird enjoyment out of it though, right? Like you just said, you man, you sit down, have you a nice little glass of Cab- I had a lot of fun this segment... with a dark chocolate nug.
42:49
[laughs] Like, I'm been telling you, man, like, it's just life... You sit there and you just go, like, "You know what? Life isn't so bad." [laughs] Like, I got me a dark chocolate nug and a glass of Cab.
42:56
Like, life isn't that bad. In-shape dudes making food lists- I'm just saying... shouldn't be allowed. It's, it's, it's, it's g- I- I'm just saying, it's, it's great stuff. [laughs] All right.
43:03
We have Thursday Night Football. Let's go ahead and recap everyone's bets here that we've got in here. For me, I am on the Texans at plus- The G Bank best bets? The, yes. Yep, yeah. The G Bank best bets.
43:12
The, uh, uh, we have the, the Texans at plus two. We have the under in this at 43 and a half. It's down at 42 and a half. I would... If it gets up to 43, you, if you wanna play the under, that's fine. 43, key-ish number.
43:24
Let's, let's wait on that. And then also, we are going, like we said, we're going to, uh, try and guess- The Hutch... where the t- where the targets are going, Kelly.
43:33
And we're gonna go with Xavier Hutchinson, a guy that has been on the field, and you didn't even know it. That's right. I like it. Okay. I am, I am on the Texans side. Mm. I have that teased up.
43:41
I have that with the Eagles, I believe. Yep, Eagles, uh, teased this week, although [laughs] not liking that t- Eagles like as much after all.
43:48
The Jacksonville wide receivers, I guess, are back, uh, and looking okay again.
43:52
Uh, Zach Cohen, he hit us with Texans money line, Joe Mixon anytime touchdown, Arkansas this weekend in college football catching seven and a half, Jazz money line tonight, and then Ja Morant over 27 and a half points and assists.
44:04
Mike Somich, way to go, Damon in the back. Race nine on Friday. Jonathan's way, nine to two on the line right now. Race five on Saturday, Bradsel 12 to one. Race eight on Saturday, Forever Young.
44:16
And then Jets-Texans under tonight. Browns and Eagles in a teaser this weekend. That one was extra for you 'cause we didn't get it w- uh, didn't do it with Mike. Look at that.
44:22
These best bets are brought to you by G Bank, the official bank of VSiN.
44:25
The G Bank VSiN Signature Card is your best bet, delivering 1% cash back rewards on eligible gaming transactions, 2% cash back rewards on all other purchases. For more information, vsin.com/gbank.
44:36
That is V-S-I-N.com slash the letter G-B-A-N-K. Subject credit approval. Terms and conditions do apply. I'll be back in tomorrow. We will run through each and every one of these NFL games right now.
44:49
Stormy's gonna take over and tell you her favorite candy probably here on the network. Good luck on all your Thursday Night Football bets. [upbeat music]
A Numbers Game
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