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Sep 18, 2024
A Numbers Game | September 18, 2024 | Hour 1
A Numbers Game | September 18, 2024 | Hour 1
00:00
44:32
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Transcript
0:00
The numbers told the story. They always do. You one of those idiots who believe in analytics? This is a Numbers Game with Gil Alexander on VSiN. Good Wednesday morning to you.
0:10
This is Numbers Game at VSiN, the sports betting network, vsin.com, Game Plus, iHeartRadio, YouTube TV. The list goes on and on. However you're taking us in, we appreciate it. It's Gil Alexander.
0:20
This is my friend Kelly Bidlin, everybody. Hey, how's it going? Hey, what's happening? Oh, nothing much. Not a hair out of place. Look at you. Yeah, good hair day. Good hair day. It's gonna be a good show, Gil.
0:28
Good hair day. Gonna be a good show. Good hair day from Kelly. Uh, I'm, I'm excited.
0:32
Uh, I always like a Wednesday show in the middle of football season, because we're not as, uh, hamstrung to the, the games behind us and the games forward. Yeah. So we get to, like, clean up stuff we missed.
0:41
Get to clean up stuff. Yeah. We can do a little bit more s- some fun segments, dig into some stuff a little bit more. I'm with you, yeah. That's right. Um- Every day is a different feel during football season.
0:49
That's right. That's what I like about it. That's right. It's like, uh, every season of The Wire. Same thing. Uh, maybe not. Overrated show. Uh, what? Yeah, I know.
0:56
We, you, we've argued about this [laughs] so many times. You s- Oh, oh my God. It's a good show. I don't, I don't think you've, I, I don't think I've- It's not a really great show...
1:03
I don't think I've ever heard you use that word with The Wire. Yeah, you've called me out f- uh, this is probably the third time. This, this, your power ranking drops severely when you say that.
1:11
[laughs] Uh, that's for another, that's for another day and show. Oh, man. Oh, God. Uh, coming up, Marc Borchard on baseball, Paul Carr on the Champions League. The champions. The number one champion sound.
1:24
Jason Weingarten from Under a Cloud of Smoke. Now, do I have to ask him about Skeens and, and, and Merrill? Do I? Maybe. Uh, Jason wants you to know he'll make money either way, though.
1:33
We'll get to Jason Weingarten, talking, uh, baseball and beyond, all his bets. Um, I wanted to start, oh, by the way, we're also, uh, going to, uh, do teasers today.
1:42
We're gonna do Survivor strategy, which you like to refer to as the, uh, former President Bush Survivor strategery. Strategery. Yeah. I like it. We'll do that. Strategery.
1:51
Uh, I am very focused on str- on Survivor this week. I think I have, I think I have further narrowed it down, but we'll get to that.
1:59
I, I actually can't wait to talk to, uh, talk, I mean, every week I like talking it through with you, but, like, I don't feel like we've, I feel like this week we haven't hit on it as much already- Mm, I, I-...
2:09
in the week... said I got three. It's between three. Yeah. I'm, I'm surprised.
2:12
Like, we had Todd Wright on yesterday, and others, who have given their, like, others on Twitter who have given their, like, top five, and one of my top two or three is not on there, so I'm, like, really curious as to why that is.
2:24
The one that Todd referenced yesterday? Yeah, the one that Todd referenced. Yeah, yeah. We'll get into that.
2:27
Um, I wanna start, though, because yesterday I made a bet, and I wanna share, 'cause that's what we do, we share. Um, and it wasn't, remember we had two baseball discussions yesterday.
2:35
We had one with Will Hill, which we also, uh, sent a, a clip out on Twitter about, which was, you know, should you bet Skeens and Merrill right now for National League Rookie of the Year?
2:44
He said yes, that he thought there was still value on Paul Skeens, but that, that isn't what I ended up betting because when we were talking about it with Will on air yesterday, um, it was plus 310 at DraftKings.
2:55
When we got finished with it, it had dropped a little bit at those locations, like a DraftKings, like a FanDuel. Here in town it was never that.
3:01
Here in town it was about plus 220 was the most that I saw, and then by the time we got to it, it was about plus 205, so I was like, "Okay, it's plus 205. I'm relying on humans for an award.
3:12
Plus we have to wait till, like, Thanksgiving for it." Not quite, but almost. [laughs] I always forget about that.
3:16
Yeah, I mean, so it's like, I don't know if this is very, a very attractive a- bet from where we're standing.
3:21
So I didn't bet that one, but we did have a conversation that was a little more low-key yesterday with Paul Sporer, uh, about the Detroit Tigers.
3:28
I brought up that the Tigers, while we've been, you know, watching, 'cause we have this Braves bet, Braves to miss the playoffs. By the way, now, the Braves two games behind- Yeah... both the Diamondbacks and the Mets.
3:38
We're winning this VSiN contest, baby. That's right, that we don't know if it's still going and we don't know what we get if we win.
3:44
[laughs] How many people do you think will still be talking about this VSiN contest when we win it? The answer is nobody but us.
3:49
We have to get Dave Ross to get the, uh, the actual r- but anyway, if the Me- if the Braves miss the playoffs.
3:53
So we've been, uh, focused in on that, but the Tigers are only one and a half games behind the Minnesota Twins all of a sudden, right?
4:01
Uh, they've been lurking all year, or at least the second half of the season, and now they're a game and a half back. They won last night, the Tigers did.
4:08
Uh, they beat the Royals in extras, and the Twins beat the Guardians four to one, so both teams won yesterday. So I bet the Tigers yesterday plus 450 to make the playoffs.
4:19
Now, you can't get plus 450 exactly, but you can get close to that. Plus 380 is out there. I still think that's a good bet today. Um, and what this comes down to is, yes, they're a game and a half back.
4:32
Again, if you look at the remaining schedule, and now with the Tigers getting one additional game against the Royals past them, now it's in the rear view, one additional game, the Tigers have, at this point, the third easiest schedule remaining in the baseball season.
4:48
They have 10 games left, uh, as do, uh, the Twins have 11 games left, but the Twins' schedule's a little more difficult. Um, but they lose also, the Tigers lose the tiebreaker with the Twins.
5:00
You have to be aware of tiebreakers at this point, too. The Twins beat the Tigers in the season series seven to six, so if they end up tied, we lose on the Tigers.
5:08
But the whole bet here is the Tigers get three against the White Sox, uh, they get three against the Rays, they get three against the Orioles, which is considered their hardest opponent.
5:21
And I would argue if you seeded the 12 teams in the playoffs right now, which I get we don't do 'cause there's two leagues, but if you did, I would argue the Orioles would be the 12th seed right now.
5:29
They are just not a good baseball team, uh, as currently, uh, operating. So I, you know, and then there's the one game remaining against the Royals.
5:36
So I do think that you, so you're gonna have to eclipse the Twins here by two games in the loss column at this point.
5:42
Um, and I do think the Tigers with that schedule are capable of doing it, and they, uh, they certainly have the schedule laid out.
5:49
So at plus 450, and I do believe at plus 380, that to me is a bet, and you don't have to wait till Thanksgiving. Yeah. [laughs] You just have to wait till the end of next week- [laughs]... to find out if you win or lose.
5:58
So that was the, uh- So that's end of regular season? Is it, is- End of regular season. That's to make the playoffs. Is ne- is it next week? Next Sunday. Wow, okay. Yeah. We're due.
6:05
So yeah, yeah, we're, we're, we're getting down to it, man. It's, but there's still, I mean, I guess there's still, what, five, six teams in the mix here for that AL wild card? Seattle's been lurking.
6:14
I guess they're mathematically alive still. Yeah. I mean, Bos- They're three back... Boston is mathematically alive. Boston's not- Yeah, they're five back... they're not getting in.
6:20
Yeah, yeah, that's kind of why I went five, six. They're not getting in. Yeah. [laughs] Yeah. Um, by the way, do you wanna flash up real quick the, uh, Major League Baseball, uh, September and best record?
6:29
Uh, standings Yeah, let's do that Gonna do that real quick. For the month of September, it's a bit of a log jam. Again, I, I have the Diamondbacks. They're not close.
6:36
The Diamondbacks are losing games to the Rockies, for God sakes. It's their... A lot of these teams are sort of staggering into the postseason. The Diamondbacks are, the Orioles are.
6:44
Um, not staggering, but they're just not playing great baseball. Here, Mets and Phillies both at 11 and four after wins yesterday. Tigers and Reds, the aforementioned Tigers, and the Reds are 10 and five.
6:55
Guardians 10 and six, and then you have the Padres and the Yankees both with nine wins, Padres nine and five, Yankees nine and six.
7:00
And then best record in baseball, I'm gonna lose all these Diamondbacks first seed and, uh, best record in baseball. They're all- they're even off the, uh, charts now.
7:08
The Phillies 91 and 60, a two-game lead over the Dodgers if you bet this market for best record in all of Major League Baseball. Again, either 10 or 11 games left, depending on the club.
7:18
Man, we're finally down to six teams on this, uh, graphic. Oh, yeah, I had to shed- What an incredible run that was for- Oh, they were so close to each other- Yeah... for so long, like 10 teams deep. It was wild.
7:27
But now finally that leaderboard is shedding. Even the Padres are six back. They're pro- uh, five and a half back.
7:32
They probably shouldn't be on there, but, uh, it is a race between the Phillies, Dodgers, Yankees, Brewers, and Guardians who have kind of, uh, you know, lingered at the top all season long. Biggest...
7:41
What, what's the biggest surprise team to you this year? Is it the Guardians without a doubt? Or no? Not, not to me- Okay... 'cause I had them- Yeah, I was gonna say, yeah...
7:47
as you know, in March, April, and May, I had them rated higher than most, and I was betting them.
7:51
Um- And Padres you had over on win total, but I mean- I kind of, yeah, and Padres I had over on weight, uh, on, over on win total, so that wasn't a surprise. So nothing there to me. I would- The Cubbies?
8:00
I would say that the Mets, who are just off screen- Okay, yeah... are probably the most surprising to me, probably. Uh, the other thing we didn't get to yesterday was one of the NFL awards, right?
8:10
We went through a, a few of the NFL awards. We went through MVP and, uh, uh, I believe we went through Rookie of the Year.
8:16
We didn't go through Offensive Player of the Year, which might be the most interesting of all of them at this point in the National Football League. Uh, got a text this morning.
8:26
By the way, Saquon Barkley and CeeDee Lamb, thanks guys, are the co short shots. Uh, both are seven to one. Uh, the Vikings' Justin Jefferson, who had to leave the field the other day, is 11 to one.
8:37
Breece Hall and Bijan, Bijan was great the other night, by the way. Ooh, finally. 14 to one. Yeah. Uh, then it's Nico Collins, who we discussed.
8:44
He's at 17 to one, and I g- I got a tweet that when, uh, Bet Bash was going on, our buddy Drew, Drew Dincic, who, uh, apparently is having a beautiful vacation in the Greek Isles this week. Yeah.
8:53
Please, please tweet more pictures. Um, more pictures, Drew Uh, Drew, yeah. Uh, he- Let's not making us all hate you... he did deep dive.
8:59
Uh, they, the part of Spanky's Bet Bash was that guys did their podcast live during Bet Bash, and Drew did deep dive with Andy Molitor live at Bet Bash, and he gave out Nico Collins Offensive Player of the Year at 66 to one.
9:13
Okay. So he was, he was all over Nico, if you believe in that. Nico's now 17 to one. Uh, and then I got a text this morning from Michael Monosono, who was the Circa Booby prize winner. He just bet Alvin Kamara- I was-...
9:25
at 20 to one. I mean, from what we're seeing through two weeks- Yeah... that's the name that jumps off this graphic.
9:30
I, it, it's, I, I was listening to Adam Levitan a little bit on the way in, i- on his latest podcast from Establish The Run, talking about Kamara, and it's just, I don't know who really would've seen this coming.
9:41
I know that we're gonna have Jason on later in the show, and, and, you know, he even kinda convinced me too with, "Hey, Taysom Hill's g- might be more involved in the offense this year."
9:48
[laughs] Jason loves- And like- Jason loves Taysom Hill. [laughs] Well, and they still got, what, they still got Jamal Williams there- Yeah...
9:53
and it's been, like, s- through two games, it's just been Alvin Kamara doing Alvin Kamara things from, like, four years ago that we haven't really seen much of.
10:00
Well, part of this was when we were doing the preview of the Saints, right?
10:02
The great Aaron Schatz saying how, how he thought they were good, just boring, and so it takes people off the saint of the s- uh, the scent of the Saints. Say that a few times fast.
10:10
But, um, Kamara, who leads the NFL in yards from scrimmage and touchdowns through two weeks, we pointed out when we were doing that preview that it's now Klint Kubiak- Mm-hmm...
10:20
as their offensive coordinator, and Kubiak is using Alvin Kamara- Yes... kinda like you would use Christian McCaffrey. Yep. So, uh, that's, that to me I would endorse as the best bet on the board.
10:33
Um, and this is one of those things where it's like, well, I'd rather have done this segment after I bet it kinda thing, but sometimes we don't get around to it.
10:38
And then Kamara 20 to one now for Offensive Player of the Year. That feels like the best bet. I will tell you why, 'cause I don't, I don't think Saquon, as good as Saquon is, um,
10:50
I don't think that Eagles offense is gonna allow him to get it- Man, that is-... in the end. I did catch a stat on him yesterday, though. Back-to-back 95 plus yard ru- rushing games for him for the first time since 2019.
11:03
Yeah. There's also the wear and tear part of that. Yep. You wonder if, if, you know, running back like him can hold up like that. I liked Breece Hall as a possibility before the season. Mm-hmm.
11:11
But, uh, I don't know, that Jets offense doesn't like, does, it's not really steamrolling at this point, let's put it that way. That was my favorite bet preseason. I di- I didn't bet it.
11:19
Like, do you have any bets in this market? I do not. Yeah, me either. Yeah. It, it, um, I know we did the draft, the awards draft, where he was a hot name in. [laughs] I didn't end up betting him, but I'm with you.
11:27
With the start that they've had, I'm not rushing to bet him right now either, right around the same note. I would say Kamara ju- uh, as you said, jumps off the screen. Yeah. Absolutely. Is it Kamara or Kamara?
11:37
Have we decided? Kamara. I thought it was Kamara. I'm going Kamara. I'm actually pretty sure he said it's fine either way, but I don't know. Sort of like you're a Grigio, Grillo, Grillo golfer. [laughs] That's fine.
11:47
You Americans pronounce it any way you want. Survivor, next right here on The Numbers Game. A Numbers Game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
12:00
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12:28
Go to vsin.com/subscribe to sign up now. That's V-S-I-N.com/subscribe to become a better bettor. That's a better bettor. Let's go, Alexander. We got tweets @BeatingTheBook. Always appreciate the feedback. Good, uh, bad.
12:45
If they're bad, just be funny. We'll still read them, as long as you're, as long as you're being funny. I got one for you, too.
12:50
[laughs] Uh, this is from Brosek1870, "All this Bryce Young stuff from yesterday is all Lovie Smith's fault. That two-point con- uh, conver-," he wanted to say conversion there, "will change the NFL forever."
13:01
Uh, what he's referring to is- So true... is remember- What an amazing moment in history... uh, Lovie Smith's final flipping of the bird- 'Cause what, what was it?... to the Houston Texans. He was already fired, right?
13:13
He was al- it was already known that he would be fired. They had no reason to win this game, and yet they w- like, it was Davis Mills who engineered an un- remember there was like- Yes...
13:22
two fourth down conversions- Yeah, w-... on the game-winning drive... winning the game would only hurt the Texans' draft position. And it did.
13:30
Yeah, they won, and what he's referring to is that changed NFL history forever, right? Houston ends up with the second pick, and, you know, Carolina then ends up taking Bryce Young number one.
13:40
Um, and Houston gets Stroud, right, to fall in their d- la- in their lap. Although, you know, if Houston had the number one pick- I mean, yeah, he- they were going-... would they have taken Stroud? I don't know...
13:48
they were going Stroud regardless. Yeah. I mean, I guess it, uh, what, what, the only thing it changes is how much they had to trade, I guess. [laughs] Like, slightly less to trade to two. A, a king's ransom.
13:58
RB Tref, "Just to follow Visan. Uh, one of the many things I love about the show is that you can talk factually about Bryce Young performing terribly, while not disparaging him as a human.
14:07
In fact, you rightly wish him the best." Well, we try to not be that kind of person on the show. So thank you for that. It's very kind. Yeah. This is from- He's not ready for the NFL. I w- I, I w- Yeah...
14:16
I wish he gets another, I hope he gets another opportunity. Yeah. Who knows if it happens, though. Hope so. Uh, DGFL9, "Love My Baxter. Thanks for the shout-out, Gil. See you at the finish line, buddy."
14:25
Love My Baxter, uh, I believe was a Survivor winner a couple years ago. Oh, okay. All right. So he's looking to, uh, have a second title.
14:32
Tom Collins, "One of the best shows that you can listen to or watch," talking about The Numbers Game. Thank you, Tom Collins. That's very kind. Don't worry, there's bad ones coming. We included bad ones.
14:41
[laughs] Uh, Sal Sports. This is Sal Capaccio, who I believe is a Bills, uh, reporter. "This is really good."
14:47
Oh, talking about the, uh, the explanation of the Sirianni, uh, debacle yesterday, uh, in the Eagles-Falcons game. He said, "This is really good. No hot take-y screaming, et cetera.
14:56
Very well explained and laid out about last night's decision-making. A lot of points of discussion from the clock management, to play call, to field goal decision, to Eagles getting the ball back." Thank you, Sal.
15:05
That's very nice of you. This is from Tony's Markets Tips. Oh, this is a Survivor update after the Eagles-Falcons game. 23 with 10 entries.
15:15
So again, we have fewer than 4,000 left in a pool that started with over 14,000 entries.
15:21
23 people still have all 10 entries, four with nine, eight with eight, 10 with seven entries left, 18 with six, and 47 folks still have five entries.
15:31
Yeah, I guess the part I'm most curious about is how many people bought f- bought in for 10 this year. Uh, yeah, we don't have that. Yeah. But that's courtesy of, uh, Tony's Market Tips via Survivor Atlas.
15:41
Want to give Survivor Atlas the credit there. Laws for Words. Okay. Yes. Best tweet we've gotten in a long time. So I didn't get this one, because this was in response to a- [laughs]...
15:49
to, I guess, Visan, the Visan account. Yeah, they grabbed part of your clip. Yep. Put a clip, part of the clip.
15:53
So, uh, for all the praise, Laws for Words says about my explanation, he goes, "Says the guy who's probably never even coached Pop Warner, whatever." I s- I just said this.
16:01
First of all, Laws for Words, let me explain to you the amazing run we had at Maplewood in Bethesda, Maryland. [laughs] You have no idea what a great coaching job I did there.
16:11
Uh, by the way, I l- I s- I sent this to you yesterday. Yeah. I, I just started creating a list. I thought- [laughs]... uh, e- uh, jobs that every, every, uh, sports talk host needs to have on their resume. Yes.
16:19
Uh, a year of med school. Yes. Pre-law would be good. [laughs] Uh, coach a year of Pop Warner, apparently. Yeah, got to. I'm gonna go with referee every high school sport, so when we complain about refs- [laughs]...
16:29
we have, uh, that insight. And I'm sure I'm missing five other things, but yeah. Uh, it's so great, 'cause that's, that, that argument could apply to anything, right? Right.
16:36
So Kelly, uh, no more hip-hop opinions from you, and you, until you put out a hip-hop album. [laughs] You were slandering KRS-One over the break. I just can't take it. Until you have your own album. Uh, EH Bills fan.
16:48
Oh, man. And this is, by the way- Hey, thanks for listening, though... thank you for listening. That's really all we care about. Laws for Words- Yeah, you can rip on us all you want, man...
16:53
I appreciate you hanging on my every word nonetheless. Uh, EH Bills fan, "The Bills are the new Lions this year." He goes, "Totally agree. The show and Gil and Kelly are fantastic.
17:02
Gil does think the Bills are frauds, however, ranked out of his top 10." See- Hey, I'm sorry... I, I- Apologies... as, as the Bills defender of this show- You are... this is, um, I still haven't seen enough, Gil.
17:14
This is, I, I, there are concerns about this defense still. Two big wins, like we talked about, Tua leaves that game on Thursday night. You're not gonna argue starting off the season 2 and 0.
17:24
There's still concerns, though, for me with this team long-term, but gotta love what they've done so far, and they got the, you know, Superman at quarterback. They, they banked two wins.
17:32
Nothing wrong- I, I almost said best quarterback in the league. I, I caught you- Almost... leaning into it. Second-best. Is your number one Anthony Richardson, knowing you? No, Patrick Mahomes. Okay. Curious. All right.
17:43
Survivor. Want to talk some Survivor strategery? Let's do it. Let's do it. Week three. I'm a survivor. Oh, thank you very much. Oh, yeah, yeah. Appreciate that. That works. [laughs] You're welcome. Um, thank you, B.
17:52
Thank you, Kelly. Thank you, Michelle. What happened to the original two girls? That's for another show. Here's the thing. I narrow- I said yesterday I've narrowed it down to three.
18:00
I've narrowed it down to, and we could, let's show a list of big favorites here. Let's do it this way. All right, Jets Thursday night, six-and-a-half point favorites against the New England Patriots. I don't trust that.
18:12
No, not at all. The Patr- the Patriots have been feisty. I don't trust that as a Survivor play. Let me skip the Buccaneers for a second. Let me go to, and let me skip the Browns. Let me go to the Raiders.
18:21
Now with Anthony Dalton, Anthony Dalton, pardon me, Andy Dalton. [laughs] Andy Dalton now quarterbacking the Panthers, I don't trust the Raiders.
18:29
Seahawks against the Dolphins, I certainly don't trust that even a Skylar Thompson-led Dolphins team can't come up and beat the Seahawks. Yeah. I don't tr- I don't trust the Seahawks there.
18:38
I just, I think that's one of those situations I, I, I trust Seattle a fair amount, Gil, but like that, that's one, I don't know if you wanna mess around with that, what you just said. Yeah.
18:49
And then there's probably better spots to use Seattle going forward, so. Better spots. Yep. Speaking of better spots, the Niners are seven-point favorites on the road against the Rams.
18:56
I don't think you should use the Niners without Christian McCaffrey, without Deebo Samuel. And I get it, the Rams are a mash unit beyond belief. But- Yeah, Niners kind of are... but the Niners, you get the Rams at home.
19:08
You get other teams at home. I think the Bears they play at home. I wanna say there's somebody else easier that they play at home as well, um, the, the Niners.
19:15
So it's like it's not the most organic spot to play the Niners, let's put it that way. And then the last one on that list that I wanna just throw out, the Bills, your Bills, who we just talked about. Sorry, Bills fans.
19:26
I don't trust the Bills against the Jaguars- Mm-hmm... nor do I against the Jag-wires- [laughs]... if you pronounce it that way.
19:32
I don't, because I think the Jaguars are one of these teams that are super unpredictable- Yes... and could very easily, if they won that game, would anybody be surprised? No, not at all. Nobody would be surprised.
19:42
So those are my throwouts, to use the horse racing term. The three that I have considered here are the ones that I omitted, which are the Bucs hosting the Broncos. Mm-hmm.
19:52
'Cause I just, I mean, Bo Nix just cannot throw the ball downfield. I mean, that, that's, and that's pretty much all you gotta say. And then the Br- the Browns.
20:00
Now, when we talk about organic spots to play a team, 'cause the, the, in the case of the Buccaneers, you could still play them at the Giants. You could still play them at Carolina.
20:09
You can still play them hosting Carolina. But remember, now that it's Andy Dalton, Carolina doesn't g- become the free bingo square anymore. Yep. So Tampa Bay hosting the Broncos is a pretty good option.
20:19
The most organic of all of these, talking about the schedule spot where it's probably the best place to play them given the opponent and home road, the Browns hosting the Giants.
20:31
And I know people are like, "Oh, wow, you can, are you really gonna trust the Browns?"
20:34
Well, it's 20 weeks if you're to get to the promised land, uh, assuming it would go all the way, which is a big assumption, but you get the idea.
20:42
The Browns hosting the Giants is the spot to play the Browns in terms of their schedule.
20:47
And then, that, so that's the most organic, but the one that I would feel the most comfortable with heading into the week, and this is the one where no one else seems to agree with me, is I love the Bengals- Yeah...
20:59
as a survivor play over the, the, uh, Commodes on Monday night. And I get, of the, a lot of the feedback I'm getting is, "Oh, I don't know. You trust the Bengals?"
21:07
Bengals aren't going 0 and 3 against this outfit, to use Chrissy's word, my mishpucha.
21:12
Um, v- uh, as good as Jayden Daniels has been, and good is in quotes, because a lot of it is just tucking the ball and running, um, he has not even met Terry McLaurin, the incomparable Terry McLaurin, let alone targeting him, right?
21:25
Yeah. [laughs] He's like, they should probably meet in practice at some point. Yeah. Uh, and the, the defense is a sieve.
21:30
So, and I know the Giants o- only, quote-unquote, scored 18, but they only lost to the Giants, the, the Commodores did, because- They have a kicker... they didn't have Graham Gano. Yeah. So to me,
21:40
it's the Bucs, it's the Browns, or the Bengals. Browns most organic, Bengals most comfortable, even though you do, I think, have o- other opportunities to play the Bengals. I completely agree with you. Oh, thank you.
21:50
Those are, I, I, I was, well, I was a little squeamish beginning of the week thinking, 'cause I think, I think immediately I went to Browns and Bengals, and my one h- the, the one kind of thing holding me back in my mind was, u- unfortunately, I probably, I think I'm gonna go with one of those two.
22:04
It's gonna, at least in one, one of my picks, it will definitely be one of those two.
22:07
Um, the, the one thing holding me back, though, is I just don't think, unfortunately I don't think you're getting the Bengals or the Browns at the, at their ceiling of where we're gonna see them this season. Hun- 100%.
22:17
That's the only, yeah. 100%. That's the only natural, I think, hesitation that you have in s- in a pick like that, but- Of the ones I didn't mention, Bucs, Browns, Bengals, what's your favorite? Brown, um, uh,
22:29
Browns probably. No, no, of the- Oh, of the other ones you didn't mention? Yeah, yeah. Um, man, I don't know if I'd consider any of them, but I'll go with, uh, I'll go Seahawks. Okay. Well, interesting.
22:40
Uh, survivor, the most fun thing to talk about and certainly the highest percentage of tweets we get are surrounded, uh, by survivor. We'll come back, baseball break with Mark Borchardt.
22:50
[upbeat music] A numbers game on VSiN, the sports betting network. You know, we take for granted that Brent Musburger is the one that leads us into the show. [laughs] Yes, that is very true.
22:59
And so we should, like, a- again, just be grateful in the moment that we get the great Brent Musburger.
23:03
Not just us, but the entire network obviously has, uh, Brent voicing over everything, as, after all, founder of VSiN. It's Gil Alexander, it's Kelly Bidlin live from Circa on a numbers game.
23:12
We get tweets at Beating The Book. Oh, Kelly, they did not like you on the, on The Wire. GM of the week, this is Blake, or as, uh, or as, uh, as, uh, K- uh, Key and P- Peel, Peel and Key. What are they, Key and Peel?
23:26
[laughs] Key and Peel. Blocke. Blocke. Blocke says, uh, "I'm sorry, but it's time for Kelly to get with it- Oh, man...
23:32
and realize that The Wire is, quote, absolute cinema, my favorite show of all time next to The Sopranos." Thank you, Blocke. See, Key and Peel's a better show.
23:40
Chance Copperpot, "The Wire is top three best TV series of all time. That said, I don't consume it every day like I do a numbers game. #ANG." Thank you for that.
23:47
And Joseph McCormack, "Might as well spend the entire two hours on how The Wire's the greatest TV show ever." You know what, Joseph? I might as well do that, 'cause Kelly's ridiculous.
23:55
You want, you want me to say the line that really pisses people off? Yes, please. Uh, "The Wire is Law & Order, just rated R." Okay. This, can I just say something? [laughs] I'm, I'm gonna leave it at this.
24:05
This shows, first of all, that you did not grow up in that area of the country that I grew up in, right? Uh, yeah. 'Cause The Wire is perfect Baltimore, right? Yeah, I get that. Perfect. I g- I totally get that.
24:16
The writer, Simon, right, is his last name, David Simon, he was a cop in Baltimore. Mm-hmm. I want to say he was in the press, and he was an, and he was a cop in Baltimore.
24:23
Every one of those five seasons is a specifically well-thought-out portion of crime in the city of Baltimore. Seasons one and four are masterpieces.
24:34
Uh, season four is in the schools, and you forget you're watching a TV show. What are you talking about? Anyway, that's all I have. It's slow and boring. Ugh, God. Soprano- does not even compare to The Sopranos.
24:46
Sopranos is so good. You're a horrible human being and a horrible judge of television. Although Omar is amazing in it. Thank you. Omar is.
24:53
Thank you for that Um, okay, the other tweets, by the way, that were beyond the wire, we should point out, not all, not all of them [laughs]- [laughs]... are about your wire comment. Oh, we had an answer.
25:02
Oh, by the way, Brian M. says, "Not a hair out of place on the head of Kelly Biland. Just out of place because he belongs on the strong side, left side." [laughs] Strong side. Um, J-Rod, oh, this is great.
25:12
He says, "Have Kelly Biland check out Cal Twitter. They are doing a masterful job trolling, uh, FSU." Have you seen any of this as well? No, I haven't. It's, we, we get- I mean, our, our, uh, uh...
25:23
I mean- We're an A- I'm trolling him... we're, we're an apolitical show here, but the Cal, um, you can imagine the political differences between Berkeley and Tallahassee. [laughs] It's just like, yeah.
25:33
And so they are all in on just, [laughs] just l- they've leaned into that, and it is hilarious. I, I'll take It is hilarious.... somebody's word then. Uh, and then, uh, we have an answer to our question.
25:42
Thank you, James Moran, courtesy of Survivor Atlas. Your question out loud, Kelly, was how many people started with 10 entries- Mm, mm-hmm... in Survivor, uh, Circus Survivor, and the answer is 570. Okay.
25:54
570 started with it, and how many did I say were left? Less than 50, I believe. Yeah. [laughs] What, what are you laughing, 'cause you don't- I don't remember... you can't remember? Yeah.
26:03
[laughs] The answer to that question was, I'll tell you exactly right now- Oh, man... um, yes, less than 50. Less than 50 remain there. Do you think that, do you think that number's come down?
26:13
Like, 'cause we had long conversations about that last year, right? What is the ideal number of entries to use, right? I know that was something you were batting around- I-... in your head a lot...
26:21
I have, I have very, I have very good conviction on this, by the way. 23 with 10 entries, so less than 25, pardon me. 23 out of those 570. Hey, you were right. It's also 50. [laughs] I am correct.
26:32
It was, it's also less than 570. Um, so 23 left with all 10. One of those is Shawn Perry, the poker player, the villain from, uh, the Quest for $9.2 Million show. Um, we'll get to more tweets.
26:45
There are a whole bunch more, but thank you for that update, James Moran. Uh, this is Mark Borchardt, everybody.
26:49
He comes to us from an undisclosed location in the desert courtesy of the Progressive Guest Line to talk some Major League Baseball with us. How you doing, Mark? What's happening? Look at you smiling.
26:59
Oh, we don't hear you. I, I love how you said the political differences- Yes... between Tallahassee and Berkeley- [laughs]... and it just made me laugh coming from the voice of sports betting.
27:08
I could almost sit here and talk about that, uh, for the next six minutes, Gil. It is so, it is really funny- Yeah... like the way that they're doing it. Just slightly different.
27:17
Um, uh, so let me ask you a couple questions. One, I've asked you this about the Braves and the Braves making the playoffs, and you, you were steadfast. You thought the Braves were gonna get there.
27:25
They're two games back now of both the Diamondbacks and the New York Metropolitans. We have 10 or 11 games left remaining, uh, on the schedule, depending on the team. What do your numbers say now, sir?
27:37
Because the Braves do play the Mets three times.
27:40
Yeah, no, no, it's, it favors the Mets right now, so 71% probability, uh, for the Mets, 41 roughly for the Braves, and then the Diamondbacks have a 12% chance that they won't make it, which is interesting because I have value with the Diamondbacks, uh, to win the World Series, so.
27:57
Me too. Uh, yeah, and but, but, uh, there's, there, I guess there's a, an outside chance, uh, 12% by my numbers that they won't, won't make it, Gil.
28:05
Well, I was mentioning, I just very briefly mentioned this last, a couple segments ago, which is there, there are a few teams that seem to be staggering to the finish line, right?
28:13
Like, they're almost like, "Please, let the end of the regular season get here so we can just get in already and not have to, and sort of reset."
28:20
Uh, the Diamondbacks kind of feel, I mean, it's a little unfair 'cause they, you know, maybe I'm prisoner of the moment 'cause they lost two in a row to the Rockies here, but, um, the Braves are doing them a favor by losing games, so the Diamondbacks still have a cushion also.
28:33
I feel like the Orioles are the biggest example of this, though, right? Like I said, if, if you seeded 12 teams in the postseason, which I know you don't, but if you did right now, are the Orioles 12 to you?
28:44
Uh, I, I would, I wouldn't say that, but they're not gonna be where they're gonna be, right? So, um, the, the problem is that they've, they're just injury-riddled, and I, I don't know.
28:55
I think their offense, you know, w- w- w- when you look at an offense that's explosive like that, there's gonna be some, some high peaks and there's gonna be some valleys.
29:04
Uh, and so I think that that's one of the offenses where maybe they'll peak at the right time and get through it, so I guess, I guess we'll have to see. That's why they play the games, Gil.
29:12
Yeah, that's why they play the games, and you're right that this postseason is as wide open as any. The Orioles can turn it on. They have a Kimbrel problem, though. We should probably point that out.
29:21
Um, what i- what is your, forget your feel for a second, but what are your numbers telling you? Like, who do you feel most confident in heading into the baseball playoffs a little less than two weeks from now?
29:30
Well, I know we, we kind of disagreed on, on how good the Dodgers were, um, and I think losing Glasnow, for me, just makes it wide open.
29:41
I, I, I thought that if, you know, they get Glasnow back, then, then maybe you can make a case that they're the strongest, uh, by, by a little bit or, or, or, or, or, or a lot or, or a combination of both.
29:52
A good amount, I guess. But now I think it's, it's more wide open.
29:55
You know, the interesting thing to me talk- getting, getting to the Diamondbacks, because I'm showing value, uh, in the, in the League Series and the World Series with two teams, the Padres, uh, and the Diamondbacks, and one of the things the Diamondbacks did is they brought in A.J.
30:10
Pollock, uh, you know, during the, the, the trading period, and, uh, he's been really good, a 41.3, uh, strikeout percentage, uh, in, in the last 150 plate appearances.
30:24
And then they've got two guys, their, their closer, Justin Martinez, a 60.9% ground ball percentage, and then Thompson's their seven guy, their setup seven guy.
30:35
Uh, he's at 58.7, so that bullpen, especially the back end's really shored up, and I think that goes a long way in the playoffs, Gil. If you, Kelly and I are gonna do World Series exactas coming up.
30:46
Uh, I have one already between the Diamondbacks and the Royals, uh, at 400 to 1. By the way, you can still get that at 150 to 1, so there are long prices on a whole bunch of these combinations.
30:57
Um, if you had to bet something right now that Wasn't so chalky but you think might have value, what might be your World Series exact event?
31:07
I, you know, I did one a couple days ago, uh, di- and you'll probably get a better price right now, uh, Diamondbacks to beat Guardians, 175 to 1. Thought that was a pretty good g- good idea there. I, I like that as well.
31:20
There's no harm in adding also. I may a- I may add something. Um, 'cause those are, like, those numbers are incredible, and they're not... Y- y- yours was for them to beat them or just the matchup?
31:31
They- they've gotta win. Okay. So Arizona's gotta beat Cleveland. Gotcha. So it's 175 to 1. That's an exact, yeah. But, uh, I mean, by the math it, it's showing value, so that's cool. Yeah.
31:40
Mine is just a matchup, by the way. I just have to get the, the matchup between the Diamondbacks and the Royals. Okay, uh, baseball today, Mark, what do you have?
31:47
You know, I'm gonna play a bunch of first fives, and the first one's gonna be, uh, the base winner parlay, tried and true. We're gonna go Detroit first five.
31:54
You're talking about a team that could make the playoffs, 40% chance by my numbers, and they're show- they're sending out their best guy, uh, Skubal today, who's really in kind of a race for the, uh, strikeout, uh, uh, l- leader of all Major League Baseball.
32:08
So that's exciting to watch if you got action on that. Uh, but I'm gonna pair him in a parlay with one of the guys that I've rapped about, Sonny Gray, and the rap is, "Sonny, Sonny, Sonny, can't you see?
32:17
The pitches you throw hypnotize teams." [laughs] There we go. And, and so I'm- Oh, man...
32:25
I've just, I've got, I've got price value with Sonny Gray on the, on the first five, and you put him in a first five parlay and it's, uh, uh, risk one to win 1.5, so plus 150 on that.
32:35
And then a pair of overs in the first five. I like, uh, Philly, um, Brewers over first five, and then the, the Diamondbacks Rockies over first five, Gil. Mark, are you still workshopping other, uh, verses in that?
32:46
Still, still- No, no, it's, uh, no, it's a whole rap. I, uh, you know, if you're really interested in getting the rap, I rapped it probably, uh, oh, it was, it was mid-June or end of June.
32:55
Yeah, there's- He, he wrapped it, by the way... there's probably eight, there's, uh [laughs] I think there's probably three verses to the song. It's not bad. Uh, I'm sure it's not bad.
33:03
Uh, okay, that was your one play of the day, what you just gave? One play. Just ran through like three. You were so distracted by the rap. [laughs] Yeah, I, I lost it.
33:09
You guys were, you guys, speaking of hypnotized, I, I hypnotized- Sorry... you with my hypnotized version. Sorry. Yeah. After the, after the, uh, you know, spittin' rhymes, I kinda, I got a quite crazy on that.
33:19
Uh, Mark, thank you. It's, uh, @basewinner, basewinner.com, and the Bet US show, what's the easiest way for folks to access that? Just search MLB, uh, Bet US on, on YouTube and you'll get us. All right. Thank you, Mark.
33:30
Vsyn.com/picks, every host, every guest, every sport, their pick. So if you missed them like I just did, you can go there if you're a subscriber. We'll come back, Champions League with Paul Carr next.
33:41
[upbeat music] A numbers game on Vsyn, the sports betting network.
33:52
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34:19
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34:30
Gotta be 21 years or older to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Um, we have three big topics on Twitter.
34:41
Yesterday's, uh, explanation on the, uh, the Eagles and the Falcons. W- the w- uh, The Wire, since you had blasphemous words for The Wire. Mm-hmm. Yep. And then most are still Survivor. That's all anybody...
34:53
Like, it's amazing. Uh, Judd O'Connor, "The Pats have been feisty. The Cards were feisty last year and they, and they let the Giants off the hook.
35:01
Do we really throw out our pre-flop convictions about the Pats this early?" That's a good point. I can't. I'm glad, I'm glad- I can't either... I'm glad that was tweeted- Yes...
35:09
because as much as I will say between today and tomorrow that I will lean that New England side, it, it's, I was telling Gilder in a break, it's getting a little, a little too much how much I've heard everybody Pat- all I've heard is Patriots Thursday night.
35:22
I haven't heard one person say, "I'm laying it with the Jets." I haven't bet the Patriots. All I'm saying is I don't trust the Jets to play in Survivor. No, I'm with you. I'm with you.
35:29
Prime Time Cowboys_Cubs1 at Beating the Book, he says, "I'm sorry, you forgot two of the most prestigious prior gigs to earn a seat in the Vsyn room in the Circus Sportsbook building, hosting the Love Zone and spinning [laughs] spinning records at The Buzz."
35:41
Uh, Mr. Bomb Apple, "Survivor, it has to be Cincinnati. They will not go 0-3, as you said. Bucs was initial thought, but Tampa Bay has some key defensive players out.
35:49
Kelly is spot on regarding Cincy not playing great now, and it will be quite the sweat as the last game of the NFL slate Monday night."
35:55
Forest Lehmann, "I took a flyer," he says, "on the Tigers at 250 to 1 to win the American League two weeks ago." Nice. "Still at 75 to 1 AL pretty weak in my humble opinion. Thoughts?"
36:06
Forest, I have them make the playoffs, and in the playoffs I believe it is the most wide open that I can ever remember, and I don't think I'm being a prisoner of the moment saying that.
36:15
Bainbridge Deweese, "Why no consideration of the Jets? My partner wants to take them. I'm hesitant, so wondering your thoughts." I just don't think the Jets have looked great in either game. Yeah.
36:24
They could very well be 0-2, and the Patriots could very well be 2-0. Um, so I just, uh, I just think there's more comfortable plays this week.
36:32
Uh, Tony Farmer, who was kind enough to, uh, give us the updates on Survivor through, uh, through Survivor Atlas, he said, "Remind Kelly that only 57 p- of 50%," uh, pardon me, "57% of people have Seattle left in Survivor, so they may be your best option- Mm-hmm...
36:47
on Christmas in Survivor. I bet very p- very few people will have them by then." Yeah. Um, Mike Stack, "Cincinnati will be better when Higgins and Chase play together.
36:56
Washington has won there the last three Monday Night Football games they played against each other. The Bucs are plagued by injuries.
37:01
Browns are the pick in a must-win game, as their next three games are on the road, and then two home division games. Only question is, can I get a partner to agree?"
37:09
[laughs] Oh, he's got partners with his pool, so he can't make a unilateral decision. I will agree again, Cleveland is the most organic, to use that word. It is the, the right spot to play them based on their schedule.
37:21
You will not get a better opportunity to play Cleveland. A. Brown, "I'm sorry, going to be this guy every year since I'm a survivor pool for losers rather than winners, but I only see two non-obvious choices this week."
37:31
Miami and Philly for his loser pools. Ton of opportunities later for bad teams, Zig when others zag. And then Master of Puppets, here are my thoughts. Cincinnati wins, and then the Raiders.
37:41
Um, then af- oh, then after everyone sees Cincinnati wins, everyone will play them next week versus Carolina. The Red Rifle will take down his former team- [laughs]... and another 1,700-plus survivor entries.
37:52
And then this- I'm, I'm intrigued to see what he looks like this week... one more from Russell Ambrose, 'cause he's, he's this offshore survivor contest early week pick distribution.
38:00
This is really good way to gauge how your survivor pool may go, if you're in a big one anyway. 9,644 survivors left, 26% of the pool he's referring to.
38:12
The Bengals are the most picked at 21%, The Bucs right behind them at 19% currently. Raiders 16% against the Panthers. Browns 14%. So three of my four are in the top four there. Wait, so what, what, what is this?
38:24
People- And then it's J- People have already sub- And then it's Jets, Seahawks, 49ers, and Bills. This is people who have already submitted. Submitted, okay. This is the pers- the pool percentages breakdown.
38:31
I mean, if you can't change your submission, I would not be putting them in this, uh, tho- that early, uh, you know- Yeah... Raiders right there. Yeah. You probably don't feel as great about right now.
38:40
Paul Carr joins us from an undis- not from an undisclosed location. He's from Topeka, Kansas, courtesy of the Progressive Guest Line. You can follow him on Twitter, @PaulCarr.
38:48
He, of course, is at True Media Networks, and he's the host of the Expected Value podcast. Paulie, what's happening?
38:53
Gil, I wish I could join you in the survivor love, but I went out in week one, and my whole pool that I've been running for 20 years is all kaput. Everyone's done after two weeks.
39:01
[laughs] You're, like, the third person to tell me that- Yeah... their pool is done after two weeks. Sorry. It, it was a good run. I'm sorry for your loss. Second time that's happened to us. Yeah.
39:08
[laughs] 2015 was the only other time everyone was done through two weeks. We have about 20 people.
39:12
Before we get to the, uh, Champions League, uh, uh, what I love about, uh, so many of our guests is you actually listen to the show as well. Uh, you had something to say about The Wire? So I actually...
39:21
I have not seen The Wire. It's maybe the biggest hole in my TV viewing slate- Wow. Yeah... because it's right up my alley. What I have seen is Homicide. This is David Simon's show that came out before The Wire. Ooh.
39:31
It was on NBC in the early-mid '90s. I've just started a rewatch a- because it just got finally put on Peacock. It hasn't been streaming forever.
39:38
So if you like The Wire, I would recommend checking out Homicide because, as I understand, it's kind of a, it's almost a rough draft.
39:46
But I don't mean that in a derogatory way, 'cause it's really good and really different than anything that was on TV, you know, 30 years ago. Oh, that's interesting. I feel like you brought that up before.
39:53
No, I brought up- May- maybe Paul did. No, I brought up what he did after The Wire, which was a show called Treme- Oh, that's right... which was about the jazz scene in New Orleans, which is not for everybody.
40:02
Not for everybody. Um, and I, I mentioned s- teams staggering into the postseason in Major League Baseball, and I cited the Orioles, I cited the Diamondbacks. I left out one, didn't I? Yeah, the...
40:14
I mean, my Royals are... Staggering might be overstating it, but they've had this opportunity with the Orioles staggering to pass them and get the top wildcard seed.
40:23
You know, two weeks ago, the Royals were tied for first in the division with the Guardians, and they lost seven in a row, and they kind of bounced back, but they've had a lead in 12 of the last 13 games and are below 500 in those games.
40:32
So they should still make it, but they're only, I think, three games up on the Tigers now, and...
40:39
But they just had a missed opportunity to host the whole wildcard series, and it doesn't look like they're gonna get there now.
40:43
I do feel with, like, them and the Diamondbacks, 'cause you're right, staggering is a little too dramatic. But I feel like if the season was, if the regular season was one week longer, it'd be much more terrifying.
40:53
But it's just- Oh, I would be- Yeah... I'd be hiding under the desk- Me [laughs]... watching games the rest of the season. Me too. Totally. Do we stagger or stumble? I thought we stumbled. They, they stumbled. Yeah.
41:01
I say Royals are stumbling. Yeah. Thought we stumbled into the playoffs. [laughs] Yeah, stumbling. Staggering's a little more dramatic- [laughs]... where you're, like, in the corner and you can- Whoa. [laughs]...
41:07
uh, the ref might come in and stop the fight kind of thing. Right, yeah. Um... Yeah. Okay. Champions League. Yeah. New format. Do tell. So before we had 32 teams, eight groups of four, top two advance.
41:20
Now, there is one 36-team league. Each team is playing eight games, so you obviously have different opponents. And the top eight will advance to the round of 16.
41:31
Teams 9 through 24 will go to the round of 32, essentially a, a play-in game. So it looks a lot different. It's not quite as clean to analyze. You have a lot of different match-ups, for better and worse.
41:41
I'm not a big fan of it. Uh, this is all about the money, getting more good teams, more games.
41:46
Uh, and there will be a lot of drama once we get to January when this group stage ends, but now it just looks a lot different, feels a lot different as we get started. All right.
41:55
Three pack of picks coming from Paul Carr, Champions League. Okay. Go. What you got? This is today. Uh, Bologna from Serie A versus Shakhtar Donetsk out of Ukraine.
42:04
Uh, Bologna's here for the first time in Champions League. They lost their coach, a good chunk of their team from last season because, you know, they were good. They got sold for a lot of money.
42:13
And Bologna's off to a slow start, but the underlying numbers look a lot better. They've outshot opponents by 21 this year. Their expected goal difference is positive, even though they don't have any wins.
42:22
And this is not quite the same Shakhtar team we see in recent years. They have big stars, often Brazilian. Decent team, a lot of players from Ukraine's Euro team. But I like Bologna at home, uh, minus 105.
42:33
You know, just taking the better team at home in this one. All right. Bologna with the, uh, win, minus 105, versus Shakhtar Donetsk from the Ukraine, or from Ukraine, I should say.
42:43
Bologna, Serie A, as you said, which is Italian. Um, okay, next. This is a big one. This one's big, yeah. Yeah. What do you got here? This is the big one.
42:51
This is why they kind of rejiggered the format to get some match-ups like this early on. Manchester City against Inter Milan, two of the three or four best teams in Europe over the past five years.
43:01
It's a rematch of the final from two years ago, or a year and a half ago, 2023 final. City won that one 1-nil, although Inter easily could've. Uh, and most of these teams are back.
43:11
Same managers, a good chunk of the players as well. City's off to a great start in the Premier League.
43:15
They're undefeated, but they haven't been all that great against Brentford and Chelsea, the two decent teams that they've played. Inter, defense good as usual. I think Inter keeps this tight.
43:24
I'm going under two and a half, which is a throw-up-in-your-mouth kind of play when Man City's involved. [laughs] But I like it here, getting plus money at plus 125. Well, at least it's in your mouth, Paul.
43:34
[laughs] Uh, and then Thursday, what do you got? Another under here. Atletico against RB Leipzig. Atletico has been really good so far. Their defense kind of looks vintage, like Atletico's been over the last decade.
43:45
RB Leipzig looks like they're off to a good start, but their underlying numbers indicate they're just finishing really well and not generating the type of scoring chances we're used to seeing.
43:54
So I think Atletico, as the defense come through at home, they grind out a low-scoring game. I like under here also, under two and a half at plus 120. This game and the City-Inter game are both tomorrow.
44:04
All right, Bologna to win, uh, and then two unders in the Man City-Inter Milan game and Atletico Ma- Madrid against RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig in what league, Kelly? The Bundesliga. The Bundesliga. Yeah. That's right.
44:17
Eins, zwei, drei. Sorry. Uh, thank you, Paul. Appreciate it as always. You're welcome. Paul Carr, everybody.
44:23
True Media Networks, @PaulCarr, and of course, the Expected Value Podcast with a three-pack from the Champions League. World Series exactas, let's do that next.
A Numbers Game
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A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026 | Hour 2
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A Numbers Game | September 16, 2026 | Hour 1
Sep 16, 2026
Best of A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 3
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 2
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 1
Sep 15, 2026
Best of A Numbers Game | September 11, 2026
Sep 11, 2026
