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Jun 21, 2024
Best of A Numbers Game | June 21, 2024
Best of A Numbers Game | June 21, 2024
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45:31
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Transcript
0:00
The numbers told the story. They always do. He's one of those idiots who believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander on VSiN. Good Friday morning to you.
0:10
It is a numbers game at VSiN, the sports betting network, vsin.com, Game Plus, iHeartRadio, YouTube TV. However you're taking us in, we appreciate it.
0:17
It is Gil Alexander, and it is Dustin Swidelson sitting in for the vacationing Kelly Bidlin, who, uh, in a, uh, minus EV move flew right into Austin, Texan where- uh, Austin, Texas, where there's a tropical storm.
0:29
What's happening, man? Well, I mean, the audience is now going through something all of our bosses go through. Uh, I don't know if you know this, Gil, but Kelly and I look alike. It's just different- I know...
0:37
colors on the hair. Oh, that's true, actually. And there are- Never really thought about that.
0:41
Yeah, there are many days where I receive an email meant for Kelly, and I have to reply back to John Goulet and Brian Rogers, Len Mead, Bill AD, and I have to say, "Hey, wrong fat guy with a beard." Mm.
0:53
I s- [laughs] I see.
0:54
Well, speaking of that, for those who don't know, Dustin is the co-host and producer of Sharp Money, which he does with Patrick Maher, weekdays here, 6:00 PM Eastern, 3:00 PM Pacific, uh, right after the Lombardi Line.
1:04
You called yourself fat, but let's be clear, you, for those who, uh, just trying to, uh, sort of relate to this audience because I think they will know you most from your weight loss bet with Jonathan Von Tobel.
1:18
Please explain the parameters of that and how that's going. Yeah, so, uh, we are in a very long battle to lose a lot of weight, the ultimate fatness competition, we're calling it.
1:28
[laughs] And it basically started in February going all the way until week one of the NFL season. And whoever- Oh, that's when it ends... whoever loses the most body fat percentage wins the contest. Body fat percentage.
1:40
You're not talking strictly, but you're talking about- Weight... weight. Weight. Weight. Weight. Yeah. Weight percentage. Okay.
1:43
Wherever from, from the starting point that we, we began at, we have a couple weigh-ins along the way. I won the first weigh-in. I have a feeling JVT is gonna win the second weigh-in, which comes up in a few weeks here.
1:54
He's very determined. Yeah. Well, he, he slow played things. [laughs] He waited for me to shoot my best shot. Yeah. I came out of the gates hot, and he's sitting back in the weeds now.
2:03
So if you're live betting this at home, I think there is value on my competitor at the moment.
2:08
However, I think in the end I'll find a way to win this, 'cause we have until the, the Chiefs kick off on Thursday Night Football to start the season. What weights did you start at? I started at 376.1. Come on. Oh, yeah.
2:20
Oh, yeah, we got out of control. How tall are you? About 5'11". Okay. Oh, okay. You, yeah- Yeah... this is good then. So I, I did a body mass composition thing- Yeah... to get into the weeds here for a moment.
2:29
I have 124 pounds of, of muscle on my body. See? See what he did there? So- [laughs] So 376. Well, what was JVT? JVT was, uh, like, 301, I think. Okay. But it's percentage, so. Yeah. He lost 18 pounds the first shot.
2:45
I lost, I wanna say it was, like, 36. Oh, you were definitely the winner there. Yeah. So I won- Okay... the first round. It slowed up a lot. Okay.
2:53
Also, sometimes that affirmation, the positive affirmation of winning that first one, kind of, you lose, you lose your edge a bit as a competitor. And no... Oh. [laughs] You get complacent?
3:02
Yeah, no, Kelly, I know what you're gonna ask now. You're in a letdown spot? Kelly was ineligible because we said no PEDs. Right. No, that was what I was, exactly what I was gonna ask. You read my mind.
3:09
So no PEDs, and Kelly was PED. Yeah, yeah. Okay. K- K- Kelly- Okay... K- Kelly's using that BALCO stuff. All right. So the second weigh-in might be a letdown spot or was a letdown spot.
3:17
Yeah, I, well, it's gonna be J- Yeah... uh, the second weigh-in is July 15th, and I, I, I think he's gonna kill me. Okay. Good for the both of you. Honor system on the PEDs, not like you guys, you know, check by
3:29
analysis of any kind. Um, did you happen to catch any of the Negro League tribute game at Rickwood Field in Birmingham, Alabama yesterday? I saw, I, I caught parts and chunks of it.
3:41
I enjoyed what I saw, but I will add that I host a baseball podcast. Baseball is my favorite sport. I didn't know this event was happening until Monday when Adam Burke brought it up on Double Play, a baseball podcast.
3:53
Are you suggesting that Major League Baseball and Rob Manfred are not good marketers? Uh, well, Rob Manfred's good at a lot of things. Yeah.
3:59
It's just all of it involves making the owners happy and not anything to do with making baseball fans happy. I, I have to say about this, and I know this is... We'll get to the sports betting part of June.
4:08
Uh, we'll update June most wins, and Dustin has a thought about July as well, I believe, in, in most wins already. But I have to say the,
4:16
the lead up to this game, the game itself was whatever, Cardinals beat the Giants six to five. Um, but the lead up was unbelievable. This was not just Negro League baseball history. This was American history.
4:29
And having Reggie Jackson there before the game on the desk at Fox, he went on, you know, he went on for two minutes. I, it was amazing.
4:39
I was, I put on, as, as you might do, because we do this for a living, I put on my Kevin Burkhardt hat, like I put myself in his position, and I was like, "God, I wonder if someone's in his ear saying the segment has to end or whatever, and how awkward that would be.
4:51
Please let this go." And to Fox's credit, they did.
4:55
Uh, and Reggie Jackson, for two minutes, talked about the horrible discrimination he endured, uh, there in Birmingham and, uh, when, when his career, you know, had him there and, uh, with, uh, and, and you can imagine with restaurants and hotels, but it is a, it's, you know, it's a blight on American history, but it was just so,
5:17
so fascinating and I, I thought just something that folks need to hear after so much time again, lest we forget. And I just thought it was, it was so poignant. It was so, uh, unbelievable to listen to.
5:29
And by the way, uh, Barry Lamar Bonds, you know, uh, Willie Mays' godson, Willie Mays, who of course started at this ballpark, uh, at Rickwood Field when he was 17 years old, Willie Mays did, um, playing, playing for the Birmingham Black Barons.
5:42
Barry, Barry Bonds became Willie Mays' godson at the age of five, and he was super emotional.
5:48
And I thought for him, a guy who is usually testy with media, probably the most charming he's ever been, and I think we have some sound from Barry. Well, we will in a moment. Oh. Oh, we don't. Sorry. Sorry. I'm so sorry.
5:58
See what I did? Getting it set up. Uh, yeah, but Barry Bonds, you know him well obviously from your time in San Francisco. Yeah.
6:04
And very curmudgeonly, very angry, but also aggressive- Ahead of a question normally Let's put it this way.
6:12
I walked by him one time on Union Street in San Francisco, and the, what he exuded was, "Do not talk to me if you intend to." Right? You felt it. You're like, "Okay, there's not gonna be any contact here." Yeah.
6:24
Look- A lot of that... also, if we're being fair, uh, everyone talks about asterisk with Barry Bonds. Babe Ruth deserves an asterisk more than Barry Bonds. For, for, for obvious reasons. Yeah. That's right.
6:34
And so, I, I mean, look, I just thought that this was such a, a great broadcast, and it was, i- if anybody can r- particularly the Reggie Jackson part, if people can take time to, to watch that, it, it is well worth it.
6:46
It was just, uh, two minutes of awesome television, and again, credit to Fox for letting that happen. Um, as far as the, uh... Do you wanna, do you wanna do the Re- uh, we'll, we'll, we'll go to the Ju- June wins here.
6:58
Yeah.
6:59
Um, March, April wins, May wins, you know that, uh, credit to Circa, credit to DraftKings, credit to William Hill Caesars in March, April for putting up most wins in Major League Baseball that we could bet on those.
7:11
Um, you remember the Guardians being one out away at 65 to one. We don't have to rehash that.
7:16
In May, uh, DraftKings didn't do it, but Circa and William Hill Caesars did that market as well, where the Guardians at 60 to one, they went two and five against the White Sox and the Rockies.
7:27
Probably even worse outcome to be quite honest with you, because they should have won that. Uh, but even if they had gone, let's say, five and two or four and three, the outcome might have been different.
7:37
As far as the June update, we have the Astros, at least I do here, and those who have tailed. I know others have other things. I'm not sure if you're involved here, Dustin.
7:45
Uh, but right now the Orioles, as we sit here on June 21st, with 10 days left in the month, you'll see the number of games left for each of the teams on the far right of your screen.
7:55
The Orioles are in the lead, 13 and 6. 13 wins for the Orioles. 13 and 6 after they destroyed Luis Hill. Luis Hill with the very predictable regression game yesterday for the Yankees.
8:07
13 and 6 for the, uh, Orioles, plus 54 on the run differential. Now, remember here at Circa, the tiebreakers are fewest losses, then run differential. William Hill Caesars is a dead heat.
8:17
Mariners and Diamondbacks right behind them at 12 and six.
8:21
Mets, Red Sox, Dodge- uh, excuse me, Mets 11 and five, Red Sox 11 and six, then you have the Dodgers and Yankees at 11 and seven, and then a bevy of teams at 10 and seven. That's where the Astros are.
8:30
They're in ninth place at the current moment with a huge set against the Orioles now. Yeah, this is massive, right? Yeah. This weekend's massive. You've got the Astros.
8:38
They're starting a guy they brought up from double A today. Yes. A guy they drafted, what, uh, last year, I wanna say, 2023. And then you also have the Guardians after this.
8:47
The Guardians, who are all of a sudden mashing the ball for Baltimore, and then they wrap up the month with four against Texas. And look, Texas is underachieving.
8:56
But if they could play to their potential against a team challenging them, right? Yeah. To, to do what they did a year ago. This is Baltimore's schedule we're talking about. Yeah, Baltimore. Yeah.
9:03
So I mean, we're talking three against Houston, three against Cleveland, four against Texas. You're still live here with the Astros if the Astros can win this series. The o- if, if they can win the series.
9:12
You, I think you hit it. They, if you don't win two of three, you're done. No, you're done. But I said that about the White Sox series that they just had, that they had to sweep it. They went two and one.
9:21
The game they lost, they gave up two hits. Framber was awesome. It's just, it's brutal. So, yeah. Uh, the, the A- but this is, this is emblematic of the Astros right now, trying situations to buy in on them.
9:35
Gil, the, the, they're not hitting all of a sudden, and they're pitching- [laughs]... but they have no pitching, but the pitching's been better. It's a frustrating team.
9:42
It's not like, like when you, when I was on the Guardians in those two months, I could really count on them showing up, and then they were super gritty and in game and they were resilient.
9:50
The Astros you're like, "Oh, th- they're just, like, lying dogs in some of these." I don't know what it is, and the Guardians are another team that have flipped the script.
9:57
They've gone from a team that won by pitching in low-scoring games to now they're crushing the baseball and the pitching hasn't been as great.
10:04
So I, [laughs] I don't know what to do with some of these teams year to year, how much they flip-flop. You said that you already... Now, the, the markets are not up yet for July. No.
10:11
But you said you already did a little schedule peek? Yeah, look, I think the Mets, when we look at the run they've been on, and I am a Mets fan, I should point out, and I hate them. Disclaimer. I hate them.
10:22
I just, they've ruined my-- Being a Mets fan- [laughs]... has made my life worse. You are, it's like a, did Jeff Pearl just show up again? [laughs] Yeah. He's the exact same way. Yeah.
10:29
It, it, I can trace a lot of my decisions in life being bad, starting with being a Mets fan. Like, that decision started a train wreck of events down the road.
10:40
[laughs] Like, the butterfi- fly effect of me being a Yankee fan- Yeah... I wanna know what that life looks like. But I know it's better. Oh. You should, uh, I'm, I'm on texts with Felika and Will Hill.
10:50
They're Yankees fans. It's disgusting. Yeah, no, it's- You don't wanna be those guys either... it's obnoxious. It's annoying. Yeah, yeah. But they have fun watching baseball. They sure do. Uh, here's what I'd say.
10:57
The Mets had a very brutal open to the year schedule-wise. They faced a lot of good teams.
11:02
It's about to lighten up, and right before the All-Star break, if you're looking at July when that market comes up, they have seven games against Washington before the All-Star break, four against Pittsburgh, three against Colorado in New York.
11:14
You could get off to a very good start if the Mets continue to play the way, the way they've been playing recently. Yeah. We'll see what their number is, of course. Yes. Number dependent.
11:22
Uh, the Mets, remember we did that analysis before June, the Mets had the fewest scheduled games in the month of June, only 24 games scheduled. And yet, here they are at 11 and five, uh, de facto fourth place really.
11:37
'Cause not, you know, has tiebreakers involved, but actually they're right in fourth place by themselves at 11 and five. So that has not hampered them to this moment anyway. We'll see how it ends. We'll come back.
11:47
A little football strategy talk and some tennis picks. [upbeat music] A numbers game on VSiN, the- Sports Betting Network Next week we're releasing our VSiN NFL betting guide.
12:03
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12:11
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12:18
That's down from the regular price of $240, plus we're throwing in an extra month absolutely free.
12:23
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12:29
Do not miss your chance to sign up and stay ahead of the NFL season. Visit VSiN.com/subscribe right now. Use promo code ANG to claim your discount and bonus month. That's ANG, A Numbers Game, as Kelly would say.
12:42
It's VSiN.com/subscribe now, and use promo code ANG. It's Gil Alexander, Dustin Sweetelsen in for Kelly Bidlin. Dustin, uh, we're borrowing from Sharp Money for the day, though you're gonna be on Sharp Money. Yeah, yeah.
12:53
Are- It's a two-for-one special. [laughs] It is a two-for-one special. It's like, uh, it's like when they give, uh, McDonald's gives a couple of those as a two-for-one. Yeah, unfortunately I know those all too well.
13:03
Yeah, yeah. Sorry to bring that up. Um, is the lack of ambient noise tripping you out at this hour of the morning? Yeah, it's very odd.
13:11
Um, obviously I have a little PTSD walking in when the, it's still dark out here as I did this morning from when I used to produce Follow the Money. Yeah.
13:18
If you send me a email in all capitals, like capital letters like Pauly Howard- [laughs]... I'll have real PTSD. Um- He hasn't found that button yet... but it is weird being here this time of day, for sure. Yeah. Yeah.
13:29
I, it's, it's super loud when you're here? Oh yeah, in Sigma Derby there's people yelling the entire show. Oh, we got that too. Yeah, the entire show. Yeah, we got that this Saturday. It's coming.
13:36
Uh, ladies and gentlemen, courtesy of the Progressive guest line, you may know him as The Bear. We know him as Chris Fallica from Fox Sports. He joins us from lovely Los Angeles. What's happening, man?
13:47
So, so, so it's like the day-night double header for, uh, for Dustin there.
13:50
I know, don't remember they have baseball like used to get like the day-night, stay there, like the game like at, like at 2:00 in the afternoon, and then there'd be one at 7:00. Yeah.
14:00
So that, that's what we got for Dustin there, the early and the late. Yeah. No, we're, we're doing, we're do- we're doing good. Yeah, you'd be very happy of what, what I did yesterday. What'd you do?
14:09
I took a field trip to Arizona. Oh, wow. I, I, I had s- I had some, I had some, uh, some bets courtesy of DraftKings that I needed to use or else I was gonna lose 'em.
14:22
So I just hopped on a, a quick little flight to Phoenix, literally spent four hours in the Delta Sky Club at the Phoenix Airport, and threw, threw in some, uh, some stuff on DraftKings, and then flew back to, uh, flew back to LA.
14:33
That is impressive. I was gonna say, you drove? No, got on a plane. No, no. I was gonna say- Yeah, exactly...
14:40
Chris was here one time, and he's like, "Hey," and w- we went to dinner, uh, at the Aria, and so it's like, I don't know, 9:00, and he's like, "Hey, can I borrow your car? I need to go to Arizona."
14:47
And I thought he was joking. I'm like, "Yeah, funny." He goes... And then like the next day I was like, "Are you serious?" He was like, "Yes, I was." So- I was like, "Oh, sorry."
14:53
[laughs] So these bets were just placed in the airport? You flew to Arizona? Oh yeah. Yeah. In the airport, fly back? I mean, flew to Phoenix. Yeah. Mm-hmm. I love this. Yeah. Bro, that is, can I tell you something?
15:03
Like the more this is sinking in, that is such a player move right there that you just made. That is, that's the extra mile with the, with the plane. Getting on a flight- [laughs]... hanging out in the airport.
15:13
What was the, what was the, uh, time you spent in the airport before you, you s- headed back? Four, four and a half hours. This dude. Good for you. Okay. Well, you have a bunch of picks here, and I wanna get to these.
15:23
I do. All right. Starting, starting with the Stanley Cup Finals, game six tonight.
15:27
The Edmonton Oilers trying to make history, and by history I mean trying to be the fifth team ever in the NHL playoffs to come back from a three to nothing deficit to win a best of seven series, and trying to be the second team ever to do so in a Stanley Cup Finals.
15:41
The Toronto Maple Leafs in 1942. Man, 82 years ago, the only other team, uh, that could've pulled off this feat. Do I have that right? 82? Yes. All right. You, however, do not think this is going to happen.
15:55
You are anti-history. Well, you know, uh, well, I'm anti-history 'cause I do have a big Panthers, uh, position here to w- to win the series.
16:03
I'm, I'm curious to get, to hear what Eddie MacNeil would, would s- get the, the vibe up there, uh, in Edmonton prior to game six than, and knowing that he lives up there. Uh, but I like Florida tonight.
16:14
I think they win. I, I think this has kind of gone a complete 180 from where we were, uh, when the Panthers took the three-nothing series lead.
16:22
Uh, I, I think the fact that they're back in Edmonton, I think most people are kind of in this, in the thought like, "Oh my God, they're gonna, they're gonna do this now, and Connor McDavid's gonna win the Conn Smythe."
16:30
And I think he is gonna win the Conn Smythe, but i- if you look at what happened in the previous game, Florida completely dominated basically the last
16:38
35 minutes or so of, of that game, and were extremely unfortunate to not tie that up.
16:44
Um, I, I think you're looking at Edmonton with another short-handed goal, goal off the one of the, the, the keyster of the player in front of the net. Keyster.
16:52
They, they were, they, they were, they were fortunate, I, I think, to win that game. So I took Florida tonight, um, plus, like, what, what are we, what are we looking at right now? Like 105, 110, something like that?
17:03
I'm seeing, yeah- I, I think that the game-... even money on our screen, yeah. Yeah. Yeah, so I, I took 'em 105, plus 105.
17:10
Uh, so not, not as good of a price right now, but not, not bad, but, uh, I have them to win the series already, and I, I, I doubled down tonight. I think the series ends tonight. Okay. Um, strong conviction.
17:19
We shall see. Uh, thank God for hockey, 'cause basketball certainly didn't, uh, extend.
17:23
[laughs] All right, we're, we're gonna cr- we're gonna crescendo to, uh, to baseball and football, but let's get these others out of the way. Mm-hmm. LPGA, Nelly Korda, where do you stand with her? She's one shot back.
17:34
Um, she's one shot back, and she, she made everything on the greens yesterday. Uh, Lexi Thompson leads right now. She, she's at mi- and, uh, Nelly's at minus three.
17:42
I played her at three to one live t- to win this tournament. She was as high as 10 to one pre-tournament, and I, I messaged you and, uh, and, uh, Will, like I'm not playing her at 10 to one.
17:53
It's a, it's kind of an off-market price, uh, I thought at that time.
17:56
So I have her at, again, doubled down, played her 10 to one pre-tournament, and I think, still think three to one, one shot behind Lexi after, with, with the way she putted yesterday a- and the course kind of fits where she...
18:07
Look, I know she missed the cut in the previous major But like, she basically had like a bad half hour i- in like the previous two events. So it was like basically a hole or two.
18:15
And outside of that, she played really well. So I, I think, I think she's gonna wind up winning this week, so three to one I think is a good number on that.
18:20
That's a good way, that's a good way to put it, a bad half hour. Uh, okay, you are, by the way, and then let me just also respond to the Andy McNeil comment.
18:27
I texted, pull back the curtain, I texted Andy McNeil 'cause I wanted his on the spot- Mm-hmm... or, or down on boots on the ground Edmonton report, and, uh, he, uh, he lost my number apparently.
18:37
Oh, that's disappointing. It's very disappointing. Uh, let's go to soccer for a second. You are in LA, obviously, with Fox to cover not only Euro Cup 2024, but also Copa America. And you have a play in both.
18:49
Yeah, I, I played under two and a half in France, Netherlands. I know, uh, it looks like Mbappe is going to play.
18:54
But the, the way the French play, especially in the group stage, um, they just sit, sit, sit, sit, and wait, and counter.
19:02
A- and I think that kind of style here with Virgil van Dijk, and Aké, a- and the back line that the Dutch have, uh, I, I don't know if they're necessarily gonna get a ton of chances.
19:12
Uh, Netherlands looked some- somewhat dangerous, uh, i- in the first game where they, where they did get the comeback win, uh, over Poland.
19:19
But, but I do think at the same time, uh, the, the fact that both teams are sitting on three points,
19:26
I don't think either would be disappointed to come out of here with a, uh, with a point and be sitting on four going into the final group stage match. So I played under two and a half. We could have a pretty, uh...
19:37
It's hard to say a, a, a match with Kylian Mbappe and, a- and all the stars on that French side could be kind of a, a snoozer, but I, I, I don't think this is gonna be a thrilling match.
19:46
I think this is gonna be a very technical, strategical match, so I played under two and a half. And then in the n- in the, uh, in the Copa game tonight, I, I took Chile plus 115 against Peru.
19:55
Uh, Peru i- is a team kind of in between, like, really old or really young. Uh, they're, they're one of the w- I think they are the lowest ranked team in, uh, CONMEBOL right now.
20:07
So they, they, they, I, they don't have any stars really. It's nowhere near the same team that they had, uh, roughly about eight years ago or so.
20:16
At, at least Chile still have Alexis Sanchez, and Pulgar, and Vargas, and goal. Like, it's players who can get it done, uh, at this level of competition. So I took Chile plus 115, uh, to win tonight against Peru.
20:28
All right, we got a couple really long shots here. Mm-hmm. One is for AL MVP. What is your thought? I, uh, well, look, I, I... It's a dart throw.
20:37
But in, put yourself in a, in a, in a mindset here where maybe Aaron Judge gets hurt, maybe the Orioles wind up winning the AL East, and the Minnesota Twins maybe make a comeback, uh, i- in, in the Central.
20:50
And that all coincides with Roy Le- Royce Lewis coming back. Uh, he tore his hamstring, I think it was, uh, ga- first game of the year.
20:58
And since coming back, I think he's got, what, nine homers in 53 at bats or something like that. He's hitting close to 380.
21:06
So, like, what, what happens if the Twins wind up winning this division, and it coincides with Lewis coming back, and the Yankees maybe not winning, uh, that the Mariners really don't have an MVP candidate?
21:16
I played him yesterday at 200 to one to win AL MVP.
21:20
Now, I, I've certainly made worse stupider bets in my life, but I don't wanna say I think this really has a chance, but I, I'd be surprised if Lewis' price didn't get super short, uh, by, by the end of the year, especially, uh, i- if the Yankees wind up not winning that AL East.
21:35
Royce Lewis slash line right now, 377-452-925. Pretty, pretty good. And then, of course, your bread and butter is college football. You have a cagey Heisman bet.
21:47
Yeah, I, look, I don't think people expect anything other than Will Howard to be the Ohio State quarterback this year, uh, especially being that they, they went after him in NAL, and they brought him in 'cause they were kind of uncertain.
22:01
I can see a scenario where Howard starts the year at quarterback, however, they don't play anybody early on, and we see Julian Sayin get a good bit of time, uh, to develop throughout the year.
22:13
Uh, Sayin is a dude, he originally committed to Alabama and wind up transferring to Ohio State. He is a dual threat guy who, uh, who was the n- number one quarterback in the country.
22:22
I played him at 100 to one to win the Heisman, 'cause I think there's a scenario that by the time the big money games for Ohio State, Oregon, and Michigan a- at the end of the year happen, Sayin's the starting quarterback, and I'd like to be holding 100 to one on a team that's gonna be one, number one or number two in the country this year.
22:38
That is an outstanding Chris Fallica segment right there. Thank you, Chris. Enjoy LA. Appreciate you guys. Man got on a plane, made a bet in Arizona, flew right back. Good for him.
22:47
We're coming back with Jason Weingart next. The numbers told the story. They always do. You one of those idiots who believe in analytics? This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander on VSiN.
22:59
Hour number two of a numbers game at VSiN, the sports betting network, vsin.com, Game Plus, iHeartRadio, YouTube TV. It's all proudly brought to you by DraftKings here at Barcade at The D.
23:08
It's Gil Alexander, Dustin Sweetolsen, kind enough to do double duty today. Two for one.
23:14
Not only is he, uh, filling in for Kelly Bidlin this morning on a numbers game, but also filling his typical role as, uh, Patrick Maher's co-host and producer on Sharp Money, 6:00 PM Eastern, 3:00 PM weekdays, including today.
23:26
And you, you started the show by saying you are, you are a doppelganger for Kelly, just different coloring.
23:30
Yeah, I think there's a, a section of the audience waking up right now who is, like, color adjusting their TV set, 'cause they're like, "Wait, Kelly's hair is darker. I'm not sure what's going on here."
23:39
No, it's just another fat guy with a beard. That's all we have going on here. Also, Gil, I love the way you're like, "Oh, he's kind enough to come here," as if they gave me a choice. [laughs] I was trying to hook you up.
23:48
[laughs] I was trying to, I was trying to make it seem like you were like, "You know, I'd like to do that show." No. I'd like to work twice in one day. Oh. Who doesn't want to do that? Bro, I did it for two years.
23:56
[laughs] Yeah, that's crazy talk. Yeah, I don't know what I was doing. Um, we get tweets, we get texts.
24:01
Michael Montesano, who was the, uh, Circa Booby prize winner in, uh, the first Circa Millions, he says, "I have Jackson Merrill 50 to one. Let's go." Also have Skeens 25 to one, he says. Uh, this is from Richard Palma.
24:13
[laughs] Richard Palma said, uh, "Shabbat Shalom. Dude, triple tribesman Friday." L'Chaim, as Dustin said. And then, uh, Fezzik, who's gonna be joining us.
24:21
Steve Fezzik is gonna join us for, uh, for three segments here, uh, momentarily, who you are, you and Patrick are super familiar with 'cause y'all have him on all the time.
24:28
The only back to back winner of the, uh, Hilton Super Contest back in the day. He was commenting on our talk about, uh, you know, the monthly season wins in baseball.
24:37
And, um, I wanna get his exact quote, but I don't have it. We'll have him here momentarily.
24:40
But basically he was saying, "Think about how difficult it is to win that, and then think about how difficult it is to win some other season long stuff." Did you get that text as well? Yeah. Yeah.
24:50
Uh, also, uh, he, he doesn't know this, but we're gonna see if, uh, something I'm doing lately that is currently three and two this week, this new strategy I have- Oh, he's gonna kill you...
24:59
if I'm gonna make his head explode- Oh... where he tells me it's not positive EV, you're an idiot. Du- Dustin sent me something that we wanna talk about.
25:05
I'm like, "Save that for Fezzik," just 'cause I wanna see Dustin just get destr- [laughs] just get screamed at by Steve Fezzik. Uh, here's his comment.
25:12
He goes, "MLB Best Records June shows how damn hard it is to hit 70% for a year in a contest. You've got teams that are playing 600 ball and none of them," um,
25:22
uh, z- me- he messes up with the type 'cause he voices it, "none of them are u- been able to hit 700 ball for a 20 game small trial." What he's, what he's saying is, it's just,
25:31
yes, there's always somebo- some team, I believe, that catches fire, is what he's trying to say there. Well, we'll get him. It's, it's as if we don't have him. We'll have him on. We'll talk to him.
25:38
But voi- voice to text, by the way, that is an age thing. He's, he's, he's old. He's, he's old. He doesn't, he doesn't have the strength to use his fingers to actually text us something.
25:47
Uh, Paul Carr joins us from Topeka, Kansas, everybody, from the heartland, uh, courtesy of the Progressive guest line, to talk some soccer with us. Um, but also, uh, a little bit of, uh, Willie Mays as well.
25:59
Before we, uh, before we get to you, Paul, thank you for, for joining us. Let us play a little Barry Lamar Bonds. This is, uh- [laughs]...
26:05
Willie Mays' godson, uh, before the game yesterday on Fox, uh, talking about the event itself. This is on the Fox desk yesterday. Facing Satchel Paige. Facing Satchel Paige.
26:18
But we had a conversation earlier, and we were talking about the players that you would wanna play with that played against the Negro Leagues.
26:25
Now, playing against both of you, you two were probably two of the most confident players I ever played against. Tell me right now, on the spot, what would you do against Satchel Paige? Me? Yeah, you. Gone.
26:37
[laughs] You done lost your mind, Jeter. Gone. [laughs] Simple. Gone. [laughs] Read about it on ESPN, Fox. [laughs] Whatever else you wanna talk about. Girl, you- You gotta believe in yourself.
26:52
If I don't believe in me, who gonna believe in me? That's right. I'm gone. I'm a drag button. Derek, you said- I'm drag button. [laughs] I'm gonna take all those people off the field, Satchel.
27:00
We gonna, we gonna wreck you first. I don't care, gone. You done lost your mind, Jeter. Not lacking for confidence, Barry Bonds.
27:07
Um, who, by the way, I'm sure the Fox people were thrilled when he threw out ESPN in the middle of that. I'm sure they were thrilled. Oh, yeah. Yeah. Good job. Paul, you have, you have a Willie Mays story, yes?
27:15
Well, yeah. So my sister lives out in the Bay Area, and a few years ago she's out and about, and they're at a bookstore, and there's this line for something. She's not really sure what.
27:24
And she sees it's, she sees this, you know, the, the placard that's up is like, "Willie Mays signing autographs." My sister is not a sports fan.
27:33
She knows who Willie Mays is, so just saying something to his, you know, legacy and fame, especially out in the Bay Area. So she got in line, got a autograph.
27:42
I got a autographed Willie Mays baseball for Christmas a few years ago. Wow. Which is pretty cool. That's awesome. Yeah. Yeah. You can't, like, his signature's not obvious.
27:49
I, I opened it up, I genuinely didn't know who it was. But, you know, a little bit of googling and doing the math on where my sister would've gotten something and eventually figured it out.
27:56
[laughs] Beloved by, uh, by everyone, but certainly, uh, by everyone in the Bay Area for sure.
28:02
Permanent fixture at Giants games throughout these years that I've been, that I was living there, and oftentimes in a wheelchair in the later years, of course. But, uh, just a fixture there.
28:10
And, uh, 93 years old, of course. And, uh, just a shame that he wasn't able to quite experience the game yesterday, but he did write about it a few days earlier. Uh, okay, Paul, we have, we have soccer every which way.
28:25
Um, where do you wanna start here? Uh, we'll look at Euros. Let's look at today. How about France and Netherlands today? Wanna start there? Let's do it. 'Cause you mentioned this game yesterday, or the day before. Sure.
28:36
Yeah. Yeah. We don't have a ton more clarity on whether Kylian Mbappe would play. I think it's leaning toward that he will in some capacity.
28:42
Again, he broke his nose in the last game, uh, will likely have to wear a mask in this contest. So but we think he's gonna play. And honestly, look, he's maybe the best player in the world.
28:52
It obviously matters if he plays. But France is deep enough that I think they can handle Netherlands without him. So I have France to win at plus 125 in this one. Again, the depth is there.
29:01
They may look a little different in how they defend and attack, but they still have plenty of options.
29:06
And the Dutch, I just, their midfield's not quite the same without Frankie de Jong, the Barcelona star who's not here because of injury. So again, going with the better team here, I like France to win at 125.
29:15
The old Paul Carr going with the better team handicap on that. Yep. Um, what about Turkey and Portugal? This is tomorrow. Yeah. This one has, uh, the potential to get a little nuts.
29:25
Uh, so Portugal is just loaded with attackers, and even if you, you know, you're not dialed into the European club game, just, I can just tell you they have a guy from Man City and Manchester United and AC Milan and all these different clubs, and PSG, and I keep going.
29:39
All, just in, like, their front five or six. So they have, they're just loaded up top. And that's what they do. Roberto Martinez is their head coach. He's a offense first kind of guy.
29:48
And Turkey is kind of a poor man's version of that. They don't have quite as many stars, but they still tend to go for broke. So I think I like the over in this one, over three and a half plus 190.
29:58
Uh, just, it's got the potential to be open. They also both won their first games, so, you know, they're a little bit loose in this one. You know, it's not like they have to tighten up and get a point or, or three.
30:08
They can go for it a little bit more, and I think that sets up for a lot of goals here. All right. Since we don't have the opportunity to talk to you during the, uh, the weekend, let's go to Sunday.
30:17
Germany is playing Switzerland Uh, I, I sent you a text. Before you, before you get into your thoughts on this- [laughs]... Ger- who was Germany playing in the first game? Who did they play? Scotland. Okay.
30:28
So we're watching it, Kelly and I, right? It's on the screen behind us. I think it was right after the show, 'cause the game starts right, right after we get off.
30:34
And, uh, Germany, one of, one of their, uh, they're in the, they're in the Scotland penalty box, and one of their players just pushes one of the Scotland defenders to the ground, right?
30:46
And it sets up a goal opportunity and they score the goal. And so I text you, but I also texted Falica, who, who was on the set there, and I go, "Let me get this straight. In soccer- [laughs]...
30:56
in soccer if a defender in the penalty box so much as, like, coughs on you, right, they're like, 'Oh, PK. Here. Take it.' Which is essentially, right, a free goal. Like, the har- the percentage on PKs is very high.
31:08
It's like... And, and a, and a one-nothing, a one-nil, pardon me, one-nil lead in a soccer game is like- Pretty much... it's like a 14 to nothing, 17 to nothing lead in a, in an American football game for God's sakes.
31:18
But an offensive player apparently can just shove a defender down and, "Oh, that's fine. Yeah, go ahead. That's, you know, that, that's okay."
31:25
And so I, I texted Falica that and I, and he said he showed it to, uh, Alexi Lalas, and Alexi [laughs] and Alexi Lalas was like, "That is the greatest explanation of soccer I've ever heard."
31:34
Like, it's just, it's ridiculous, right? What am I missing here? I mean, nothing. I think you have a, a pretty much perfect grasp on the realities of the situation, so I, I commend you for your soccer knowledge.
31:43
Uh, it's... But, but what kind of sport are we... Though, how is that fair? Uh, here, here's the equivalent to me is in the NFL
31:50
there's offensive pass, pass interference, I'd say almost as often as defensive pass interference, and it never gets called.
31:56
You know, the receiver just shoves the DB out of the way and makes the catch, and that's fine 'cause, you know, we want to see touchdowns or something. Right. But we're- Like, and- Right, but you don't-...
32:02
the defender pulls on his towel- Right. But it doesn't-... and they get 25 yards. It, it's huge, but it's not quite as huge as a penalty kick- Yes... right? Like- Right... yeah. I hear you, though.
32:11
And- Anyway, I'm sorry... there's almost nothing as impactful as a peneti- penalty call. And, yeah, I, I wish there was some way to, to change it. You know, there's all kinds of crazy theories out there.
32:22
Change the size of the box or, you know- Yeah... take the penalties from further away if the foul is further away from goal.
32:28
Um, my one thing I would tweak is I would just have, if you draw the penalty, you have to take the penalty. But you don't get, you know, Lionel Messi to come take all your penalties for you if you draw a foul.
32:36
[laughs] That, that's true, right. The, the Harry Kane- Yeah... axiom. I know you liked it- Right... though, 'cause you were on Germany. What do you feel about this particular match, though?
32:46
So it's important, it's, uh, to note that again we are into the third day, or this is, Switzerland, Germany on Sunday is the first day of the third set of group games.
32:54
So you gotta know your scenarios and what's going on here. Germany has already advanced.
32:59
By game time, Switzerland may have already advanced because third place teams go through, so you gotta let the other group games play out- Sure... today and tomorrow. Yeah. So Germany has little incentive.
33:10
Switzerland may have little incentive.
33:11
So I like under two and a half at plus 105 here, uh, because especially on the Switzerland side, if they, you know, rest a few people or, or don't go forward in the same way because four points already gets them through, then this could be kind of a, you know, a training exercise.
33:24
They're kicking the ball around a little bit. Uh, so the, I don't anticipate either team having the urgency.
33:29
Uh, it's always a little scary to bet an under when Germany is involved, but getting plus money, plus 105, I'll take under two and a half for this one. Okay. Those are the three picks, uh, from Paul Carr.
33:40
Once again, um, France to win it versus the Netherlands today. Turkey, Portugal over three and a half goals at big plus money tomorrow.
33:47
And then Switz- uh, Switzerland, Germany with the under, uh, two and a half goals for the explanation, uh, uh, because of the explanation just given. Before you go, 30 seconds, uh, you live in Kansas.
33:57
We were just talking about the game at Rickwood Field yesterday. Uh, you are close- Yeah... to the Negro League Museum. You say it's worth every moment of it there. Yep? Yeah.
34:05
I've been a handful of times, several times, and you just wander through and if you read every single thing on there, I mean, you could be there for hours.
34:11
But there's just so much cool memorabilia, pictures, pennants, placards, whatever it is, that it's just a, a great experience for any baseball or historian fan. Okay. I love that. Paul, thank you.
34:21
Good luck with all the bets, man. Welcome. Have a good weekend. Paul Carr, @PaulCarr, the host of the Expected Value podcast, and of course, uh, works at True Media Networks, spreading analytics around. It's what he do.
34:34
Steve Fezzik on the shield here with me and Dustin. That is next. Numbers Game, VSiN, the sports betting network. [upbeat music] A Numbers Game on VSiN, the sports betting network.
34:51
Back on the Numbers Game, live here from Bar Canada at the D. It's Gil Alexander and Dustin Sweetolson, uh, in for Kelly Bidlin. Thank you for doing this, Dustin.
34:59
I know Dustin says he's being held hostage and he has to do it, but I appreciate you doing it nonetheless. You will be on Sharp Money, uh, coming up at, uh, 6:00 PM Eastern, 3:00 PM Pacific. 3- 3:00 PM Eastern.
35:10
Oh, 3:00 PM E- oh, I keep saying the wrong thing. 3:00 PM Eastern- Well-... 12 noon Pacific... like, when you choose this career- Yes...
35:16
no one ever tells you how much time zones will play a role in your day-to-day- Oh, this is, this is, uh, yeah... and how often you will just accidentally get them wrong. 'Cause- Yeah...
35:23
as the producer texting people in multiple time zones, I try to know what time zone they're in and convert to mine, and then some of them are traveling to other time zones, and we never know what time people are on.
35:33
3:00 PM Eastern, 12 noon Pacific, 1:00 PM Mountain. [laughs] Excuse me for that. There it goes. Gotta get Mountain in there. Uh, we get tweets at Betting The Book.
35:41
This is from NH Better, "Love the double dose of, uh, Dustin Sweetolson today. Worried he wouldn't be on Sharp Money." Oh, no, no. He'll be on there.
35:49
Paper Mike, "Are you sure you're not filling in for Kelly because he had shin surgery?" [laughs] Well, that, so that's my bit. I do it with Adam Burke. Yes. I did it with Kelly. I do it with Ben Wilson.
35:58
Whenever they're not on a show that I work with them on, I tell everyone to wish them well 'cause they had complications from calf replacement surgery.
36:06
Well, you know in the case of Kelly, he actually did get injured when, when Matt, me, and him did this, uh-... bet this field goal bet It looked bad. No. Yeah. I, oh, I saw it. Yeah. Kelly.
36:15
Yeah, Kelly was like, "We're just throwing the pa- we're just acting stupid, and we're just throwing passes," and Kelly, like, went out for a pass, and he, like, completely- I sent it to Dr. Chow.
36:23
He said he, he's gonna be out four to six weeks. [laughs] Yeah. Ah. You and Kelly also went to an athletic thing, and you guys were, like, wearing jeans and button downs, and Matt Brown was dressed up like spandex.
36:33
Well, because... Yeah, because Matt was the one- [laughs]... who was on, on the line there. Yeah, we weren't doing anything.
36:36
Uh, Bruce Dobigan, watching the touching Willie Mays ceremony in Birmingham, Alabama, what's sad is that the sports media who eat up this stuff never report... Oh, this is not true, Bruce.
36:47
He says, he said, "Black America has abandoned baseball. 7% of MLB players, 12% black American population." Bruce, that's not, that's not true. They've not abandoned.
36:55
There is not a conscious abandonment of Major League Baseball. There's a lot of factors that are involved in that, including facilities that are available, and equipment that is available, and there's a...
37:05
It's, it's, it's much more complicated than what you're making it out to be. Uh, Travis Sweet, "I saw Steve crossing," this is for you, Stevie.
37:12
"I saw Steve crossing the strip in front of The Cromwell earlier this week and shook his hand." This is from Travis Sweet. He said, "He had a big smile and gave me a big hello. Super nice guy." Travis, he is.
37:23
In real life, he's a super nice guy. Why is he not on Twitter, Steve? [laughs] That... There's a movie called Gung Ho- Yeah... where, like, the, a child is really misbehaving. Yeah.
37:34
And, and so the, uh, the, the guy's boss is there, and you see... A- and, and the Japanese child comes in and says, says, "GI Joe, GI Joe," and he's shooting a machine gun, fake one.
37:43
And the, um, and the g- the gung ho, um, the Japanese engineer says, "That's neighbor's child." [laughs] "That's not me." [laughs] That's, that's not me. Uh, okay. I, I've teased this a couple times.
37:55
You would like to give a shout-out to the Westgate, first of all. Yeah, so spot on with the Westgate Games of the Year. I've got my little packet here. So we got every game, including week 18. Nobody does this.
38:06
I mean, people, they, there's so much uncertainty. The squirreliest week of them all. Oh, are t- right, is Buffalo gonna be playing their starters? That's right. What's going on with Kansas City and the like?
38:15
And not only are they dealing every side, they're dealing every total. Wow. And they're dealing it, here's the key, at minus 110.
38:24
Not this minus 115, which is plaguing our industry, and we're seeing it even with team totals.
38:29
On week one, people are posting team totals routinely at minus 115, and one book just put up minus 120 in town on their Games of the Year. So, um- Who did that? Uh, I don't wanna say. Okay.
38:41
So- [laughs] Good job, Westgate. I'm, I'm, I'm running out of places to play in the town, so I'm tr- I'm, I'm, like, mental note, let's try... Let's, let's just focus, let's focus, people, on the positives.
38:52
So Jay Kornegay, um, and his crack staff, great job with, you know, doing this. And so you reviewed, 'cause you want...
39:00
You're the type of guy that when you find out this stuff is coming out, you are very keen on, oh, this is actually something special.
39:08
You, you recognize that immediately, so you dive into it, and, uh, something caught your eye here. Yeah, so I, I already bet a whole bunch of these, so I- Yeah...
39:15
I don't have a Game of the Year, Game of the Year, um, because I bet, like, 20 of them. But I was just looking through the schedule and I was thinking, "Oh, this one's good." So, um- A goy.
39:23
A goy, as we say on this show... I'm, I'm gonna give out a week eight play, Right Angle Sports style right now. Oh. Yes. Are we gonna move some lines? We are gonna sell... You're gonna go week eight, go to the Westgate.
39:33
Their app's open. Go to the Westgate.
39:35
If, if you're do- if you're doing it Right Angle Sports style, you have to give a, a dummy play first, and everybody has to put in their bets like- I'm gonna give the play, and it's, I'm either gonna say go- Yes, sir...
39:42
I'm gonna say cancel- That's-... or I'm gonna say opposite, oppo. [laughs] One of those three. So any of you people out there jumping the gun- That's right...
39:51
trying to take your little fat thumb and press, press enter before everyone else, no, no, no. I might go... I... This might well be an opposite play. I'm warning everyone, so don't play it, people.
40:00
Oh, don't confuse people. All right. Let's just do the go. Okay, we're gonna go to eight... Well, now I just gave it away. [laughs] Oh, well, okay. All right, week eight, game 80297.
40:09
You see, you know I like giving rotations. You love rotation numbers. Set up the Green Bay Packers plus one at the Jacksonville Jaguars. I can't pronounce that. Set up the Packers plus one at the Jaguars.
40:21
That's week eight at the Westgate. Go. Go. We are betting- It's, it is live... we are betting the Packers plus one. My handicap is very simplistic here. When this game is actually played- Yeah...
40:34
the Packers will be laying two and a half or three, I predict. Oh, wow. Yes.
40:38
Okay, 'cause you asked, just to pull back the curtain here, you asked me and Dustin r- uh, during the, during a break, a couple breaks ago, you said, "Without looking," and we didn't, "what would you make a week eight line between the Packers at the Jaguars?"
40:51
I said Jaguars minus two and a half. Justin then said Jaguars minus two, you said? Okay. Two. And you reacted. You're like... What was your reaction to that? So we weren't, we weren't far off at all. R- r- right.
41:02
B- well, I, I would make the case that, that the Jaguars are like the eight of clubs when... They're the most nondescript card in the deck. Yeah.
41:09
They have, like, almost no home field advantage, and they're just an average team- Yeah... with a very overpaid quarterback. Whereas the Packers are a little bit over-hyped.
41:18
They're a little bit, like, you know, g- g- you know, getting, you know, Super Bowl, uh, contender, um, consideration.
41:24
But the bottom line is the Packers are, like, a, they are a clear-cut playoff team, and Jacksonville's an average team.
41:30
And so a clear playoff contender i- they gotta be laying two, at least, at the Jaguars, where I don't, I don't consider the home field to be worth more than a point.
41:38
You, you think the way, and the way that the NFL season will go, that they will, Packers will end up being a road favorite there. Interesting. Yes. So that's a go.
41:46
Packers plus one from Stevie, uh, week number eight, if you have access to Games of the Year.
41:51
Did you hear, by the way, since you bring up Trevor Lawrence and this, uh, again, I've talked about it ad nauseam here, where it's, you know, absolutely this, this cruel moment in NFL franchises' arcs where they've gotta make a decision on a quarterback, that they're like, "Yeah, he's good, but I don't know if he's gonna win us a Super Bowl," but what's the alternative?
42:07
Here's $250 million guaranteed. Um, did you see this proposal now where the, the NF- a couple, few, or a few NFL owners are ch- are starting to Bring up this issue where they want to give quarterbacks.
42:20
We'll see if this gains steam. They want to make the quarterback position a separate category under the salary cap.
42:28
So I, I always say the, you, you win a Super Bowl with a Hall of Fame quarterback or a quarterback who's over-performing on a rookie salary, and then you can pay everybody else.
42:36
What's happening is this very thing that I'm talking about, this cruel moment in NFL franchises arc where they have to, all right, well, I guess we're gonna have to give, you know, Kirk Cousins the whole farm or, or, or Matt Ryan when he was in Atlanta.
42:50
Drew B- you know, Drew Brees is a different example because he actually won a Super Bowl. But some of these... You understand.
42:53
This, this level of quarterback, Dak, where you just don't know if they're gonna win you a Super Bowl or not.
42:58
And so the NFL owners are starting to say, a few, it's gaining steam, "Let's just give the quarterbacks their own cap because it's getting out of hand for that position."
43:09
Now, we'll see what the NFL Players Association has to say about that, because they protect all positions. Just like NBA, they g- give them a max deal.
43:17
They, you can't, you can't give a quarterback more than 47 million a year or something? Right. Well, it, it's gonna be interesting because the, uh, the NFLPA represents all players, including quarterbacks.
43:27
So they may say, "Yeah, no, sorry, you can't do that because w- we have to protect quarterbacks." Or they may say, "Well, we're protecting all these other players, too.
43:34
Maybe there'll be a trickle-down effect and the other players will get paid more as a result of this cap." It's a separate cap where it wouldn't- Yeah...
43:39
affect the reg- the regular cap would be the rest of the roster, and then there'd be a quarterback cap for just quarterbacks. I like the way it is because now if you want to overpay for a quarterback- I do, too...
43:47
then you got to pay the piper and have a bunch of crappy special teams players. I, I'm with you. It makes it more interesting. Yes. What did you determine? We got 90 seconds left.
43:55
What did, what did you determine about, have you made a determination about the new kickoff rules? Has it, has it- Yeah, uh, s- You have to see it first, though, don't you? Y- yeah. To s- to summarize, I'll go quickly.
44:04
Yeah. So, so you got a... Your, your, your kicker is kicking off from, um, the 35, and, and, but everyone else is gonna be on the other side of the field, the receiving side of the field.
44:13
So the people covering the kicker are gonna be on the 40, and the people blocking on the 30 to 35, and there's gonna be two dudes that are returning the kick.
44:19
And I forecast the average field position's gonna be the 29-yard line. So the better field position means more scoring. I think to answer your question, scoring will go up by about one point. The optimal kick- Hmm...
44:32
to kick- Hmm... is to k- ideally, you get a kicking specialist that can kick the most ugly corkscrewing, left-footed, if possible, hard-to-catch ball that's coming down. You'll, you'll appreciate this, Gilly.
44:43
Close to what I'll call the baseline, right there where the end zone is. Yes. Because if it goes into the baseline on, in, in the end zone on fly, you get the ball on the 20.
44:51
So if you're returning the kick, it's like, it's like when you and I play tennis, you're like, "Oh, that's a physic duck that's gonna land close to the, the base." [laughs] "Do I hit it? Do I, do I, do I let it bounce?"
45:01
Yeah. It's very difficult. You want to gi- make a tough decision for the kick returner. Wow, one point. That is your assessment so far. Yes. Subject to change- Subject... I guess. We'll see what happens.
45:10
No, I'm pretty- No? I'm, it's clear-cut to me. Wow. It's clear-cut. Not subject to change. Just under a point. 0.85 points. It's like this guy's confident in the stuff he says, Dustin.
45:19
Dustin, round of applause for Dustin. He'll be on, uh, Sharp Money here in a few hours. Thank you, sir. Dustin, a pleasure. Good yontif. As the college campuses protests continue. Uh, come back.
45:29
Visa, the sports betting network. Enjoy
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A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 2
Sep 15, 2026
A Numbers Game | September 15, 2026 | Hour 1
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Best of A Numbers Game | September 11, 2026
Sep 11, 2026
